Real Salt Lake vs San Diego
Match recap
Real Salt Lake beat San Diego 4–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Luna, Solans, Solans, and Guilavogui scored for Real Salt Lake; Ingvartsen and Dreyer replied for San Diego. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.27 for Real Salt Lake versus 1.90 for San Diego. Real Salt Lake sit 10th in the Major League Soccer table while San Diego are 12th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Real Salt Lake win
Actual
4–2
Outcome probability
Real Salt Lake and San Diego are poised for an exciting match with plenty of goals expected. Both sides have shown attacking flair this season, promising a lively contest.
Match factors
Real Salt Lake's attacking trio in form
S. Solans leads with 11 goals and strong home form, supported by Z. Gozo and M. Guilavogui's creativity, giving RSL a potent attack
San Diego's creative midfield led by Dreyer
A. Dreyer's 12 assists and 11 goals this season make him a key playmaker and goal threat for San Diego, crucial for breaking down RSL's defense
Real Salt Lake missing key midfielder Diego Luna
D. Luna is confirmed out with a knee injury, removing a midfielder who scored 5 goals this season and contributed assists, impacting creativity
Home advantage boosts Real Salt Lake scoring
RSL averages 1.93 goals per home game, above league average, enhancing likelihood of their attackers scoring
San Diego's recent scoring streak despite defensive struggles
San Diego has scored in 4 of last 5 away games but conceded in all, indicating an open game favoring attackers
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's eighth round, where both teams sit closely in the league standings—Real Salt Lake 11th and San Diego 12th, each with 32 points. Their recent head-to-head meetings have been goal-rich affairs, averaging 4.5 goals per game, setting the stage for another entertaining encounter.
Key insights
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer with 11 goals and strong home form, key to Real Salt Lake's attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 apps, 0.42 goals/game
A. Dreyer
San Diego
Leading assist provider with 12 assists and 11 goals, crucial for San Diego's creativity and goal threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 12 assists in 27 apps
Analysis
Real Salt Lake boast a strong home scoring record, averaging nearly two goals per game on their turf, with Sergi Solans leading the charge with 11 goals this season. San Diego, meanwhile, rely heavily on Anders Dreyer, who contributes both goals and assists, making him a key creative force. Despite missing midfielder Diego Luna due to injury, Real Salt Lake's attacking trio, including Z. Gozo and Morgan Guilavogui, provide ample firepower. San Diego's recent away form shows they score regularly but also concede, suggesting an open game that favours the attackers.
Key facts
- 1.Real Salt Lake and San Diego are ranked 11th and 12th respectively, both with 32 points.
- 2.Their last four head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals per game.
- 3.Sergi Solans leads Real Salt Lake with 11 goals this season.
- 4.Anders Dreyer is San Diego's key player with 11 goals and 12 assists.
- 5.Real Salt Lake average 1.93 goals per home game, above league average.
- 6.San Diego have scored in 4 of their last 5 away games but conceded in all.
- 7.Diego Luna is out with a knee injury, impacting Real Salt Lake's midfield creativity.
- 8.The predicted match will likely see around four cards, indicating a competitive game.
Prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Real Salt Lake with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, reflecting a competitive start before Real Salt Lake pull ahead. The match should feature around four cards, indicating a spirited but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — San Diego
The verdict
Expect a thrilling match with both teams pushing forward. Real Salt Lake's home advantage and attacking depth should just edge out San Diego's creative midfield and goal threat. Fans can look forward to a close, high-scoring game.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luna
Solans
Assist: Luna
Ingvartsen
Assist: Morgan
Solans
Assist: Gozo
Duke
Yellow Card
Guilavogui
Assist: Solans
Godoy
Duke
Guilavogui
Yellow Card
Dreyer
Penalty
Valakari
Ingvartsen
Yedlin
Luna
Solans
Spierings
Guilavogui
Morgan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 4L. EngelD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 9M. GuilavoguiM
- 10D. LunaM
- 15J. GladD
- 22S. SolansF
- 72Z. GozoD
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 98A. KatránisD
Substitutes
- 7P. RuizM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 27G. DillonM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
San Diego
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6J. TverskovM
- 7M. IngvartsenF
- 8O. ValakariM
- 9L. MorganF
- 10A. DreyerF
- 17O. SøeD
- 18D. FerreeG
- 20A. GodoyM
- 21B. DukeD
- 26M. DuahD
- 33O. VerhoevenD
Substitutes
- 1C. dos SantosG
- 14B. B. ZambleF
- 15P. SomaM
- 19D. VazquezM
- 24E. BoatengM
- 29A. SaidiF
- 77A. MightenF
- 90A. PellegrinoF
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergi Solans | F | 77 | 9.7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | M | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Diego Luna | M | 70 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Zavier Gozo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Lukas Engel | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pablo Ruíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Booth | M | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Diego
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Dreyer | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | F | 66 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jeppe Tverskov(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Anibal Godoy | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Morgan | F | 84 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Duran Ferree | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Duah | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Osvald Soe | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | D | 45 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Anisse Saidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CJ dos Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Boateng | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| David Vazquez | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Soma | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amahl Pellegrino | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Real Salt Lake to win against San Diego.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 3–2 San Diego.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 69% chance of winning, San Diego a 15% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 69% confidence — a high-confidence call.