Real Salt Lake vs Austin
Match recap
Real Salt Lake beat Austin 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Svatok and Spierings scored for Real Salt Lake; Bell replied for Austin. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.15 for Real Salt Lake versus 0.61 for Austin. Real Salt Lake sit 10th in the Major League Soccer table while Austin are 14th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Austin win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture sees Real Salt Lake and Austin face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have shown resilience and attacking intent, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Real Salt Lake's attacking trio in form
S. Solans and Z. Gozo lead Real Salt Lake's attack with strong scoring and assist form, posing a threat to Austin's defense
Austin's top scorer C. Ramirez in good recent form
Ramirez has scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, providing Austin with a key goal threat away from home
Austin missing key assister J. Rosales
Rosales is confirmed out due to suspension, reducing Austin's creative options in midfield
Real Salt Lake's midfield creativity
Caliskan and Guilavogui provide above-average assists and passing, enhancing Real Salt Lake's chance creation
Defensive matchup: J. Glad vs C. Ramirez
Glad's defensive solidity will be tested by Ramirez's pace and finishing ability, a key duel in the match
The context
Real Salt Lake currently sit 11th in the league with 32 points from 28 games, while Austin are just behind in 13th with 31 points. The teams have met 12 times before, with Real Salt Lake winning half of those matches and Austin claiming three victories. Goal difference favors Real Salt Lake by 10 goals this season, highlighting their slightly stronger overall performance.
Key insights
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer with 11 goals this season and strong recent home form, making him a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 apps, 0.42 goals/game
C. Ramirez
Austin
Leading scorer with 9 goals and excellent recent form, scoring 4 in last 5 games, vital for Austin's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 24 apps, 0.38 goals/game
N. Caliskan
Real Salt Lake
Creative midfielder with 4 assists and high involvement in attack, boosting Real Salt Lake's chance creation.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 28 apps, 0.14 assists/game
Analysis
Real Salt Lake boast a potent attacking trio led by S. Solans, who has netted 11 goals this season and is in fine form at home. Z. Gozo also contributes both goals and assists, while midfield creativity from N. Caliskan and M. Guilavogui enhances their chance creation. Austin, however, rely heavily on C. Ramirez, their top scorer with 9 goals, who has been particularly effective recently with 4 goals in his last 5 matches. The absence of Austin's key assister J. Rosales due to suspension could hamper their creativity, but Ramirez's sharp finishing remains a threat. Defensively, the duel between Real Salt Lake's J. Glad and Austin's Ramirez will be pivotal.
Key facts
- 1.Real Salt Lake are 11th in the league with 32 points from 28 games (W9 D5 L14).
- 2.Austin are 13th with 31 points from 28 games (W7 D10 L11).
- 3.Real Salt Lake have a superior goal difference by 10 goals this season.
- 4.In 12 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 6, Austin 3, with 3 draws.
- 5.S. Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- 6.C. Ramirez leads Austin with 9 goals, scoring 4 in his last 5 games.
- 7.Austin's key assister J. Rosales is suspended for this match.
Prediction
Despite Real Salt Lake's home advantage and attacking prowess, the prediction leans towards an Austin victory by 2-1. Austin's clinical edge in front of goal and recent form suggest they will narrowly overcome the hosts in this league stage match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — Austin
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends, but Austin's ability to capitalise on key moments should see them take all three points. Real Salt Lake will push hard, but Austin's resilience and finishing quality are likely to make the difference.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gallagher
Yellow Card
Bell
Assist: Torres
Svatok (OG)
Guilavogui
Yellow Card
Nelson
Yellow Card
Nelson
Dubersarsky
Bell
Hezarkhani
Solans
Stuver
Yellow Card
Dillon
Spierings
Assist: Glad
Sánchez
Yellow Card
Hines-Ike
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 4L. EngelD
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 15J. GladD
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 27G. DillonM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 72Z. GozoM
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 3K. HenryD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 10D. LunaM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 34L. MoisaM
- 98A. KatránisD
Austin
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 7J. NelsonM
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresM
- 15J. BellD
- 17J. GallagherD
- 20N. DubersarskyM
- 30J. RosalesM
Substitutes
- 3M. DeslerD
- 12D. LasG
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 19C. FodreyM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 38Ervin TorresM
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Gozo | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/4 |
| Lukas Engel | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Manuel Sanabria | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philip Quinton | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/6 |
| Sergi Solans | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sam Junqua | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobi Henry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Moisa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 9 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Luna | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bell | D | 70 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Brad Stuver | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 4/5 |
| Facundo Torres | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Jayden Nelson | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mikkel Desler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Las | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Alastuey | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs Austin?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Austin to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs Austin?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 1–2 Austin.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs Austin?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 24% chance of winning, Austin a 52% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 52% confidence — a medium-confidence call.