Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
Real Madrid cruise past Leipzig with ease
A commanding 4-1 victory sees Real Madrid assert their Champions League credentials.
Real Madrid delivered a dominant performance against RB Leipzig, with Bernardo Silva opening the scoring just before half-time. After the break, A. Güler and Kylian Mbappé extended the lead, making it a comfortable affair despite a late reply from T. Gomis. Y. Diomande sealed the emphatic win in the closing minutes. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was far more convincing than expected.
Outcome probability
The Group Stage fixture between Real Madrid and RB Leipzig promises an intriguing contest. Both teams have full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive match where fine margins could decide the outcome.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Real Madrid and RB Leipzig have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability.
Balanced scoring and assisting data missing
Neither team has top scorers or assisters data available, limiting individual impact predictions.
Insufficient recent form data
Lack of recent match and player form data reduces confidence in individual performance forecasts.
The context
This Group Stage match sees Real Madrid, also known as Los Blancos, face off against RB Leipzig, the Red Bulls. Both sides enter the game without any confirmed injuries, ensuring their best players are on show. While detailed recent form data is scarce, the encounter is expected to be tightly contested given the balanced nature of the teams.
Key facts
- 1.Real Madrid and RB Leipzig have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 2.The predicted scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Real Madrid.
- 3.Draw probability is significant but less than the home win probability.
- 4.No standout individual scoring or assisting data is available for either team.
- 5.The match is part of the Group Stage of the competition.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Real Madrid with a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting the highest combined probability among home win outcomes. Despite the draw being a notable possibility, the 2-1 result edges ahead as the most likely. The lack of standout individual scoring or assisting data limits the ability to single out key players, but the full squad availability for both teams suggests a competitive match with chances at both ends.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Madrid
Away — RB Leipzig
Prediction
Expect Real Madrid to clinch a narrow 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig. The match should feature goals from both sides, but the home side’s slight edge in probability points to them taking the spoils in what promises to be a closely fought encounter.
The verdict
In summary, Real Madrid are favoured to win 2-1 against RB Leipzig in this Group Stage fixture. With no injuries and balanced squads, the game is set to be a tight affair, but the home side’s marginal advantage should see them through.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Silva
Güler
Assist: Mbappé
Gruda
El Aynaoui
Fernández
Yellow Card
Fernández
Reitz
Yellow Card
Vinícius Júnior
Raum
Nusa
Nkunku
Güler
Mbappé
Assist: Diomande
Gomis
Assist: Baumgartner
Diomande
Assist: Díaz
Bellingham
Mbappé
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 |  Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 |  Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 |  AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. CourtoisG
- 4D. HuijsenD
- 5J. BellinghamM
- 6E. CamavingaM
- 7Vinícius JúniorM
- 8F. ValverdeD
- 10Kylian MbappéF
- 15A. GülerM
- 18Álvaro FernándezD
- 20Bernardo SilvaM
- 22A. RüdigerD
Substitutes
- 3Éder MilitãoD
- 9EndrickF
- 12T. Alexander-ArnoldD
- 13A. LuninG
- 14A. TchouaméniM
- 16I. KonatéD
- 17Marc CucurellaD
- 19Carlos EspíF
- 21Brahim DíazM
- 24D. DumfriesD
- 25Y. DiomandeF
- 27Thiago PitarchM
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4W. OrbánD
- 7A. NusaM
- 10B. GrudaM
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 17R. BakuD
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 22D. RaumD
- 23C. LukebaD
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 28C. NkunkuM
- 40RômuloF
Substitutes
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 2A. KonéD
- 3M. EstèveD
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 11J. BakayokoF
- 14C. BaumgartnerM
- 16L. KlostermannD
- 20R. ReitzM
- 27T. GomisF
- 30A. MaksimoviÄM
- 35Max FinkgräfeD
- 39B. HenrichsD
Real Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 88 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Güler | M | 78 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3/3 |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Valverde | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| Y. Diomande | F | 20 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| J. Bellingham | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | D | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Endrick | F | 2 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Carlos Espí | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 12 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lunin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Éder Militão | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gomis | F | 17 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Lukeba | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| R. Baku | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Raum | D | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Rômulo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Seiwald | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 12 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Nkunku | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | M | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Gruda | M | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| R. Reitz | M | 27 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Henrichs | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Koné | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Klostermann | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Estève | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Banzuzi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bakayoko | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Real Madrid to win against RB Leipzig.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Madrid 2–1 RB Leipzig.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's model gave Real Madrid a 35% chance of winning, RB Leipzig a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.