Real Madrid vs Malaga
Real Madrid steamroll Malaga with clinical display
Bellingham, Mbappé and an own goal set the tone before Güler seals the emphatic win.
Real Madrid delivered a dominant 4-0 victory over Malaga in La Liga, with J. Bellingham opening the scoring early on at 19 minutes. An own goal by Alfonso Herrero and a quick strike from Kylian Mbappé before half-time put the hosts firmly in control. A. Güler added the finishing touch in stoppage time to complete the rout. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual margin exceeded expectations.
Outcome probability
The new La Liga season kicks off with Real Madrid facing Malaga in what promises to be a straightforward encounter. With Malaga newly promoted, the stage is set for Los Blancos to assert their quality early on.
Key facts
- 1.Real Madrid finished 2nd last season with 86 points from 38 games.
- 2.Malaga are newly promoted and making their top-flight return this season.
- 3.Real Madrid have a significantly better goal difference than Malaga from last season.
- 4.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Real Madrid.
- 5.Predicted fulltime score is 2-0 to Real Madrid.
- 6.Three cards are expected during the match, indicating a moderately physical game.
The context
Real Madrid finished last season strongly, securing second place with 86 points from 38 games. Malaga, on the other hand, are stepping up to this level for the first time in this campaign, bringing fresh energy but untested at this tier. This match marks their first competitive meeting this season, setting the tone for both sides.
Analysis
The statistical outlook heavily favours Real Madrid, who boast a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio from last season. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with their ability to take early control, while the fulltime 2-0 scoreline reflects their capacity to maintain pressure and secure a clean sheet. Malaga will need to be cautious defensively to avoid being overwhelmed by the home side's attacking prowess.
Prediction
Expect Real Madrid to take the lead by halftime and extend their advantage in the second half, finishing 2-0. The match is also likely to see a moderate level of discipline with around three cards shown, reflecting a competitive but controlled game.
The verdict
In summary, Real Madrid should comfortably start their campaign with a win over Malaga. The newcomers face a tough challenge, but this match will provide valuable experience as they adapt to the demands of La Liga.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bellingham
Herrero (OG)
Mbappé
Assist: Alexander-Arnold
Rafa Rodríguez
Muñoz
Puga
Díaz
Chupe
Yellow Card
Galilea
Valverde
Bellingham
Merino
Güler
Assist: Vinícius Júnior
Enríquez
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 19 |  Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. CourtoisG
- 4D. HuijsenD
- 5J. BellinghamM
- 6E. CamavingaM
- 7Vinícius JúniorM
- 8F. ValverdeM
- 10Kylian MbappéF
- 12T. Alexander-ArnoldD
- 17Marc CucurellaD
- 21Brahim DíazM
- 22A. RüdigerD
Substitutes
- 13A. LuninG
- 15A. GülerM
- 16I. KonatéD
- 18Álvaro FernándezD
- 19Carlos EspíF
- 20Bernardo SilvaM
- 24D. DumfriesD
- 25Y. DiomandeF
- 29J. Cestero SanchoM
- 31J. Navarro JimenezG
- 33Mario RivasD
- 36A. CiriaM
Malaga
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Alfonso HerreroG
- 3PugaD
- 4Einar GalileaD
- 8Carlos DotorF
- 9ChupeF
- 10David LarrubiaM
- 11Joaquín MuñozM
- 14Rafa RodríguezM
- 15Ángel RecioD
- 23Izan MerinoM
- 31RafitaD
Substitutes
- 5Álex PastorD
- 6Ramón EnríquezM
- 7H. AbaidaF
- 12José SalinasD
- 13Carlos LópezG
- 17Eneko JauregiF
- 18Pablo MartínezM
- 19Juan CruzM
- 24Julen LobeteF
- 28Joseph OtunencheM
Real Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 92 | 8.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 5/6 |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 87 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | D | 92 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 92 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3/6 |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | D | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Valverde(C) | M | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dean Huijsen | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Thibaut Courtois | G | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | M | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Denzel Dumfries | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Ciria | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Navarro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Rivas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Espí | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Carreras | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andriy Lunin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Konaté | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Güler | M | 5 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Yan Diomande | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Malaga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero(C) | G | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chupete | F | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Carlos Dotor | F | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Larrubia | M | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3/7 |
| Izan Merino | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ángel Recio | D | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Puga | D | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Einar Galilea | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Rodriguez | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Rafa Garrido | D | 92 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Álex Pastor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eneko Jauregi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramón Enríquez | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julen Lobete | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Lopez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Otunenche | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haitam Abaida | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Cruz | M | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 47 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Salinas | D | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |