Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Match recap
Real Betis and Real Madrid drew 1–1 in their La Liga fixture. Bellerín scored for Real Betis; Vinícius Júnior replied for Real Madrid. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.08 for Real Betis versus 1.19 for Real Madrid. Real Betis sit 5th in the La Liga table while Real Madrid are 2nd.
Analysis
The upcoming La Liga fixture sees Real Betis hosting Real Madrid in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have their strengths, but the visitors hold a statistical edge that could prove decisive.
Real Betis currently sit 5th in the league with 49 points from 32 games, while Real Madrid are 2nd with 73 points. Madrid's superior goal difference (+37 vs +8) and higher points per game (2.28 vs 1.53) highlight their stronger campaign so far.
Real Madrid's attacking prowess, despite missing key players like Mbappé and Vinícius Jr., remains formidable. Betis face defensive injury concerns, potentially exposing them to Madrid's midfield control and goal-scoring threat. The predicted halftime score of 0-1 aligns with Madrid's tendency to start strong away from home.
Prediction
We expect Real Madrid to secure a 2-1 victory, with the first goal likely coming before halftime. The match should feature around three cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 61%, supported by recent form and statistical trends.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for both teams
Real Betis missing Ezzalzouli, Antony, and Hernández; Real Madrid missing Mbappé and Vinícius Jr. affects attacking potency.
Real Madrid's midfield passing edge
Valverde and Tchouaméni (if fit) provide superior passing and control, likely to dominate midfield.
Real Madrid's higher goal scoring rate
Real Madrid averages 2.1 goals/game vs Betis 1.5, indicating stronger offensive output.
Real Madrid's strong recent form
Real Madrid has a 71.9% win rate recently, showing momentum advantage over Betis' 37.5%.
Betis defensive injuries weaken backline
Multiple defenders injured or doubtful for Betis, potentially exposing defense to Madrid's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Real Madrid's consistent performance and Betis' injury setbacks suggest an away win. Fans can anticipate a close game with Madrid edging it by a single goal margin.
- Real Betis are 5th with 49 points from 32 games (W12 D13 L7).
- Real Madrid are 2nd with 73 points from 32 games (W23 D4 L5).
- Real Madrid's goal difference (+37) significantly surpasses Betis's (+8).
- Real Madrid averages 2.28 points per game compared to Betis's 1.53.
- The highest probability fulltime scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Real Madrid.
- Predicted halftime score is 0-1, consistent with the fulltime outcome.
- Total cards expected in the match is 3, indicating moderate discipline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Betis
Away — Real Madrid
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vinícius Júnior
Bartra
Amrabat
Yellow Card
Huijsen
Yellow Card
Bakambu
Fidalgo
Fornals
Alexander-Arnold
Yellow Card
Pitarch
Amrabat
Huijsen
Mbappé
Díaz
Bellerín
Assist: Lo Celso
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
Match Statistics
Real Betis
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 4NatanD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 7AntonyM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 10A. EzzalzouliM
- 11C. BakambuF
- 12R. RodríguezD
- 14S. AmrabatM
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
Substitutes
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 6Sergi AltimiraM
- 9E. ÁvilaF
- 16V. GómezD
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 18N. DeossaM
- 19C. HernándezF
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 22IscoM
- 24Aitor RuibalF
- 25Pau LópezG
Real Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5J. BellinghamM
- 7Vinícius JúniorF
- 8F. ValverdeM
- 10Kylian MbappéF
- 12T. Alexander-ArnoldD
- 13A. LuninG
- 21Brahim DíazM
- 22A. RüdigerD
- 23F. MendyD
- 24D. HuijsenD
- 45Thiago PitarchM
Substitutes
- 2Dani CarvajalD
- 4D. AlabaD
- 6E. CamavingaM
- 16Gonzalo GarcíaF
- 17Raúl AsencioD
- 18Álvaro FernándezD
- 20Fran GarcíaD
- 27Diego AguadoD
- 28J. Cestero SanchoM
- 29J. Navarro JimenezG
- 30Franco MastantuonoF
- 37Manuel ÁngelM
Real Betis
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Valles | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Hector Bellerin | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marc Bartra(C) | D | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Cedric Bakambu | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sofyan Amrabat | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pau Lopez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentín Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chimy Ávila | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Ruibal | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Deossa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Llorente | D | 58 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giovani Lo Celso | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Isco | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cucho Hernández | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Marc Roca | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Júnior | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2/5 |
| Andriy Lunin | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dean Huijsen | D | 73 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Valverde(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Jude Bellingham | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Antonio Rudiger | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ferland Mendy | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fran García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Carreras | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Asencio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Aguado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Navarro Jimenez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Carvajal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | M | 17 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Manuel Ángel Morán | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alaba | D | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |