RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig steamroll Hamburger SV
A commanding five-goal display leaves Hamburg in tatters at the Red Bull Arena.
RB Leipzig delivered a dominant performance with goals from T. Gomis and A. Nusa in the first half setting the tone. After the break, W. Orbán, C. Nkunku, and Rômulo added to the tally, sealing a comprehensive 5-0 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin of victory far exceeded expectations.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV prepare to face off in what promises to be a compelling encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, with Leipzig bolstered by key signings and Hamburg looking to make an impact with new additions of their own.
Key facts
- 1.RB Leipzig have strengthened their squad with the arrivals of R. Reitz, M. Estève, and C. Nkunku.
- 2.Hamburger SV have added P. Daka to their ranks on a free transfer.
- 3.RB Leipzig parted ways with Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi over the summer.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of RB Leipzig.
- 5.The fulltime score prediction is 2-0 to RB Leipzig.
- 6.Four cards are expected to be shown during the match.
- 7.RB Leipzig have a superior goal difference and points per game from last season compared to Hamburger SV.
The context
RB Leipzig have made notable summer signings including R. Reitz, M. Estève, and C. Nkunku, while parting ways with Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi. Hamburger SV have welcomed P. Daka on a free transfer. These changes set the stage for a fresh contest as both sides aim to start the season on the right foot.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Leipzig
Away — Hamburger SV
Analysis
Leipzig enter the season with a clear advantage in squad strength and depth, reflected in their summer business and overall team quality. Their ability to control matches and convert chances is expected to be a decisive factor. Hamburger SV, while eager to prove themselves, face an uphill battle against a side with superior goal difference and points per game from last season.
Prediction
The forecast is for RB Leipzig to take an early lead by halftime, going 1-0 up, and then extend their advantage to 2-0 by fulltime. The match is also expected to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
The verdict
In summary, RB Leipzig look set to make a confident start to their campaign with a 2-0 victory over Hamburger SV. Their summer reinforcements and tactical edge should see them through, while Hamburg will need to regroup quickly for their next challenge.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Capaldo
Yellow Card
Gomis
Assist: Banzuzi
Nusa
Ouédraogo
Poulsen
Lukeba
Yellow Card
Nandja
Yellow Card
Orbán
Assist: Nusa
Nandja
Daka
Gomis
Henrichs
Lukeba
Nkunku
Assist: Nusa
Rômulo
Nusa
Sambi Lokonga
El Ouahdi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Match Statistics
RB Leipzig
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4W. OrbánD
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 7A. NusaF
- 8A. OuédraogoM
- 10B. GrudaF
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 22D. RaumD
- 23C. LukebaD
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 27T. GomisF
- 39B. HenrichsD
Substitutes
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 3M. EstèveD
- 9Marc GuiuF
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 17R. BakuD
- 28C. NkunkuF
- 30A. MaksimoviÄM
- 35Max FinkgräfeD
- 40RômuloF
Hamburger SV
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
- 3D. Møller WolfeM
- 6A. Sambi LokongaM
- 7Z. El OuahdiM
- 11A. GrønbækM
- 15Y. PoulsenF
- 21N. RembergM
- 23J. TorunarighaD
- 24N. CapaldoD
- 27P. DakaM
- 43S. NandjaD
Substitutes
- 4B. NadirM
- 5M. AdelineM
- 9T. MoffiF
- 12S. TangvikG
- 17W. OmariD
- 18B. JattaM
- 19Otto Emerson StangeF
- 20Fábio VieiraM
- 37L. LemkeD
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nusa | F | 78 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/3 |
| T. Gomis | F | 74 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| C. Nkunku | F | 55 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 16 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| E. Banzuzi | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Estève | D | 16 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| B. Henrichs | D | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Baku | D | 16 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Ouédraogo | M | 35 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gruda | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/7 |
| C. Lukeba | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Guiu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Seiwald | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moffi | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Grønbæk | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/6 |
| N. Remberg | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Poulsen | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Daka | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Otto Emerson Stange | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | M | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Z. El Ouahdi | M | 89 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Torunarigha | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Vieira | M | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Jatta | M | 1 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Omari | D | 17 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Møller Wolfe | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nandja | D | 73 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Capaldo | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Lemke | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tangvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Adeline | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Nadir | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Leipzig to win against Hamburger SV.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Leipzig 2–0 Hamburger SV.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
- Fipster's model gave RB Leipzig a 85% chance of winning, Hamburger SV a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.