RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
Match recap
RB Leipzig beat FC Augsburg 5–2 in their Bundesliga fixture. Banzuzi, Nkunku, Raum, Rômulo, and Baumgartner scored for RB Leipzig; Kade and Ogundu replied for FC Augsburg. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.68 for RB Leipzig versus 1.37 for FC Augsburg. RB Leipzig sit 4th in the Bundesliga table while FC Augsburg are 13th.
Outcome probability
RB Leipzig, also known as the Red Bulls, face FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga regular season match that promises plenty of goals and action. Leipzig's recent performances and statistical advantages suggest they will control the game from start to finish.
Match factors
Key attackers missing for RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig's confirmed outs include key attacker Marc Guiu and midfielder A. Ouédraogo, reducing attacking options.
Doubtful status for Leipzig's Nkunku
C. Nkunku is doubtful due to a groin injury, capping his scoring and assist probability if fit to start.
RB Leipzig's strong home scoring form
RB Leipzig averages 4.5 goals per home game with a 4-game scoring streak at home, indicating offensive dominance.
Augsburg's defensive struggles away
FC Augsburg concedes 2.67 goals per away game with a 3-game conceding streak, vulnerable defensively on the road.
Leipzig defenders excel in passing and control
W. Orbán and D. Raum show passing accuracy and volume well above league averages, aiding Leipzig's build-up play.
The context
RB Leipzig currently sit 6th in the league with 12 points from 7 games, while FC Augsburg are 9th with 9 points. Historically, Leipzig have dominated this fixture, winning 12 of their 20 meetings against Augsburg, who have managed just one victory. The average goals per match between these sides is nearly three, with Leipzig scoring the lion's share.
Key insights
- W
W. Orbán
RB Leipzig
Orbán's exceptional passing accuracy (91-92%) and high volume (~75 passes per game) help Leipzig control the game from the back.
Bundesliga 26/27Passing accuracy 91-92%, ~75 passes per game
- D
D. Raum
RB Leipzig
Raum supports build-up play with 88% passing accuracy and averages 58 passes per game, contributing to Leipzig's attacking dominance.
Bundesliga 26/27Passing accuracy 88%, ~58 passes per game
- H
Hennes Behrens
FC Augsburg
Behrens leads Augsburg in tackles (3.4+ per game) and interceptions, showing physical dominance despite the team's defensive struggles.
Bundesliga 26/273.4+ tackles per game, high duel win rate (~63%)
Analysis
Leipzig's attacking strength is evident in their home form, averaging 4.5 goals per game and riding a four-game scoring streak at home. Augsburg, on the other hand, have struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per away game and currently on a three-game streak of conceding. Leipzig's defenders, particularly W. Orbán and D. Raum, excel in passing accuracy and volume, facilitating effective build-up play. Despite some injury concerns for Leipzig's key attackers, their squad depth and tactical control should see them dominate.
Key facts
- 1.RB Leipzig have won 12 of 20 head-to-head matches against FC Augsburg.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, with Leipzig scoring 43 and Augsburg 14.
- 3.RB Leipzig are 6th in the league with 12 points from 7 games.
- 4.FC Augsburg are 9th with 9 points after 7 games.
- 5.Leipzig have a +9 goal difference compared to Augsburg's +4 this season.
- 6.Leipzig average 4.5 goals per home game with a 4-game scoring streak at home.
- 7.Augsburg concede 2.67 goals per away game and have a 3-game conceding streak away.
- 8.Leipzig defenders W. Orbán and D. Raum have exceptional passing accuracy and volume.
Prediction
Expect Leipzig to take an early lead and maintain control, with a halftime score of 2-0. The Red Bulls are predicted to extend their advantage in the second half, finishing comfortably with a 4-1 victory. The match is likely to feature a moderately physical edge, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Leipzig
Away — FC Augsburg
The verdict
All signs point to a strong home win for RB Leipzig, who have the quality and form to outclass FC Augsburg. Augsburg will need to tighten their defence significantly to avoid a heavy defeat. For Leipzig fans, this should be a satisfying afternoon of football.
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 16:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kade
Raum
Yellow Card
Banzuzi
Assist: Gruda
Nkunku
Assist: Gruda
Raum
Ibrahimović
Gouweleeuw
Yellow Card
Rômulo
Assist: Nkunku
Rômulo
Gruda
Baku
Baumgartner
Assist: Nusa
Fellhauer
Yellow Card
Massengo
Orbán
Ribeiro
Lukeba
Kade
Ogundu
Assist: Rieder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
Match Statistics
RB Leipzig
4-5-1Starting XI
- 4W. OrbánD
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 10B. GrudaM
- 17R. BakuD
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 22D. RaumD
- 23C. LukebaD
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 27T. GomisM
- 28C. NkunkuM
- 40RômuloF
Substitutes
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 2A. KonéD
- 3M. EstèveD
- 7A. NusaM
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 14C. BaumgartnerM
- 20R. ReitzM
- 30A. MaksimoviÄM
- 39B. HenrichsD
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 14Y. KeitelD
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 30A. KadeM
- 32F. RiederM
Substitutes
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 10M. KömürM
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 20A. Claude-MauriceM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 27M. WolfD
- 37T. SchnitzerM
- 39U. OgunduF
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nkunku | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| B. Gruda | M | 65 | 8.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 5 | 10/11 |
| Rômulo | F | 65 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Banzuzi | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/4 |
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| C. Baumgartner | M | 25 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| W. Orbán | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Lukeba | D | 77 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Henrichs | D | 25 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Baku | D | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/7 |
| M. Estève | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| A. Koné | D | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Gomis | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4/9 |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Seiwald | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kade | M | 87 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| U. Ogundu | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| H. Massengo | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Claude-Maurice | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| C. Matsima | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Kömür | M | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Schnitzer | M | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Ibrahimović | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| F. Dahmen | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Keitel | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Labrović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seol Young-Woo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Wolf | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Leipzig to win against FC Augsburg.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Leipzig 4–1 FC Augsburg.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's model gave RB Leipzig a 95% chance of winning, FC Augsburg a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.