RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo
Match recap
Sao Paulo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Herrera scored for RB Bragantino; Sabino and Calleri replied for Sao Paulo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.65 for RB Bragantino versus 0.80 for Sao Paulo. RB Bragantino sit 10th in the Serie A table while Sao Paulo are 9th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 RB Bragantino win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Sao Paulo face off in the 6th round of the regular season, with Bragantino looking to capitalize on their home form and attacking strengths.
Match factors
RB Bragantino's attacking midfield strength
Lucas Barbosa and Henry Mosquera provide creative support and goal threat, boosting home attack potential
Sao Paulo's leading scorer Calleri absent
Luciano and Ferreira are out, weakening Sao Paulo's frontline and reducing their scoring threat
Isidro Pitta's consistent scoring form
Pitta has 6 goals this season with strong minutes played, key to RB Bragantino's predicted goals
RB Bragantino's defensive doubts
Juninho Capixaba and Hurtado doubtful, may weaken defensive stability against Sao Paulo attack
RB Bragantino's recent home scoring streak
Team has scored in 3 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 2-0 win
The context
Both teams sit mid-table, with RB Bragantino ranked 10th and Sao Paulo 11th in the league standings. Their head-to-head record is fairly balanced, but Bragantino have a slight edge with 8 wins to Sao Paulo's 6 in 20 meetings.
Key insights
- I
Isidro Pitta Saldívar
RB Bragantino
Pitta's 6 goals this season and strong home presence make him a key threat for Bragantino's attack.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 26 appearances, 1642 mins
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Barbosa's 5 goals and 2 assists, combined with his consistent starts, boost Bragantino's creative and scoring potential at home.
Serie A 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances, 2274 mins
Jonathan Calleri
Sao Paulo
Calleri's absence weakens Sao Paulo's frontline, reducing their goal-scoring threat significantly.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 25 appearances, 1936 mins
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Doubtful status for Capixaba may affect Bragantino's defensive stability, potentially exposing them to counterattacks.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 25 appearances, 2141 mins
Analysis
RB Bragantino's attacking midfield duo, Lucas Barbosa and Henry Mosquera, provide creative spark and goal threat, complementing top scorer Isidro Pitta's consistent form. Sao Paulo face a weakened frontline with key scorers Luciano and Ferreira absent, reducing their offensive threat. Defensive doubts for Bragantino, including the doubtful status of Juninho Capixaba, may pose some risk, but their recent home scoring streak supports a confident outlook.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino are 10th in the league with 37 points from 29 games.
- 2.Sao Paulo are 11th with 36 points from 29 games.
- 3.In 20 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino have won 8, Sao Paulo 6, with 6 draws.
- 4.RB Bragantino have scored in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- 5.Isidro Pitta is RB Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 6.Lucas Barbosa has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists this season.
- 7.Sao Paulo's leading scorer Jonathan Calleri is absent due to injury.
Prediction
We predict RB Bragantino to win 2-0, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The home side's attacking prowess and Sao Paulo's depleted frontline suggest Bragantino will control the match and secure a clean sheet.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Sao Paulo
The verdict
Expect RB Bragantino to build on their home momentum and deliver a solid performance to claim all three points against Sao Paulo in this regular season encounter.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Calleri
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Yellow Card
Herrera
Herrera
Yellow Card
Lucas Barbosa
Yellow Card
Sabino
Assist: Danielzinho
Gustavinho
Gabriel
Bobadilla
Yellow Card
Luciano
Yellow Card
Moura
Calleri
Danielzinho
Herrera
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Calleri
Sasha
Hurtado
Luciano
Díaz
Yellow Card
Bobadilla
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1CleitonG
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 32J. HerreraF
- 34J. HurtadoD
Substitutes
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 5FabinhoM
- 9I. PittaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 28Yuri LelesM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 52Ryan TavaresM
Sao Paulo
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 7Lucas MouraM
- 8Marcos AntônioM
- 9J. CalleriF
- 10LucianoF
- 13E. DíazD
- 16D. BobadillaM
- 23RafaelG
- 28A. FrancoD
- 35SabinoD
- 94DanielzinhoM
Substitutes
- 2R. TolóiD
- 4DóriaD
- 5R. ArboledaD
- 11FerreiraF
- 14G. TapiaF
- 17André SilvaF
- 18WendellD
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 33LuanM
- 42MaikD
- 80CaulyM
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Mosquera | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 12/13 |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| José Herrera | F | 73 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cleiton | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Leles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Volpi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Jonathan Calleri(C) | F | 83 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alan Franco | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Moura | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Luciano | F | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Enzo Díaz | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maik | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Tolói | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dória | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Coronel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Arboleda | D | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Cauly | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Bragantino to win against Sao Paulo.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Bragantino 2–0 Sao Paulo.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Bragantino vs Sao Paulo?
- Fipster's model gave RB Bragantino a 75% chance of winning, Sao Paulo a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.