RB Bragantino vs Santos
Bragantino edge Santos in tight tussle
A nervy first-half sees Bragantino clinch a narrow 2-1 victory.
RB Bragantino secured a narrow 2-1 win over Santos in Serie A, with an early own goal from Rodinei giving them the initial advantage. Philippe Coutinho pulled Santos level before Wallace restored Bragantino's lead just before the break. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Santos face off in a Regular Season - 34 fixture where Bragantino are expected to take control early and maintain their advantage. Both teams have shown competitive form, but the home side looks poised to edge this encounter.
Match factors
Lucas Barbosa's midfield scoring edge
Lucas Barbosa outperforms league midfielders with 7 goals this season, boosting Bragantino's attack
Gabriel Barbosa's prolific scoring form
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 15 goals in 24 games, a major threat especially away
Wallace's high assist rate in limited games
Wallace has 3 assists in 7 appearances, showing strong creative form recently
Juninho Capixaba's dual role impact
Juninho Capixaba contributes both defensively and offensively with 3 goals and 2 assists
Neymar's set-piece and scoring influence
Neymar's 8 goals and 3 assists in 15 games underline his key role in Santos' attack
The context
RB Bragantino currently sit 10th in the league with 41 points from 32 games, while Santos are slightly ahead in 8th place with 46 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings are fairly balanced, with Santos holding a slight edge in wins. This match could be pivotal for both sides as they aim to climb the table.
Key insights
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Lucas Barbosa's 7 goals this season make him a standout midfielder and a key threat for Bragantino at home.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 30 appearances, 0.23 goals/game
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa's 15 goals in 24 games highlight his role as Santos' main attacking threat, especially away from home.
Serie A 26/2715 goals in 24 appearances, 0.63 goals/game
Neymar
Santos
Neymar's 8 goals and 3 assists in 15 games underline his importance in Santos' attack and set-piece situations.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 15 appearances, 0.53 goals/game
Analysis
The prediction strongly favours a home win for RB Bragantino, supported by a 76% probability compared to just 15% for a draw and no chance for an away win. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, with Bragantino expected to lead 1-0 at halftime. Key players like Lucas Barbosa, who has netted 7 goals this season and thrives at home, will be crucial. Santos' top scorer Gabriel Barbosa, with 15 goals, poses a threat but may find it tough to overcome Bragantino's solid performance.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino are 10th in the league with 41 points from 32 games (W11 D8 L13).
- 2.Santos are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (W12 D10 L10).
- 3.In 17 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino have won 4, Santos 5, with 8 draws.
- 4.Home win probability stands at 76.3%, far above draw and away win chances.
- 5.3-1 is the most probable fulltime scoreline for a home win.
- 6.Halftime score prediction is 1-0, consistent with the final score.
- 7.Lucas Barbosa has scored 7 goals this season, a key home contributor for Bragantino.
- 8.Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 15 goals, showing strong away form.
Prediction
Expect RB Bragantino to take an early lead and extend it to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The home side's attacking midfield and forward line should break through Santos' defence multiple times, while Santos will manage a consolation goal. Four cards are predicted, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Santos
The verdict
In summary, RB Bragantino's home advantage and attacking form should see them through to a confident 3-1 win over Santos. Fans can look forward to an entertaining match with goals and some spirited challenges.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 00:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rodinei (OG)
João Alencar
Yellow Card
Coutinho
Assist: Barbosa
Wallace
Assist: Henry Mosquera
Barreal
Yellow Card
Lucas Barbosa
Yellow Card
Sasha
Oliva
Ramires
Fabinho
Barreal
Peres
Yellow Card
Coutinho
Everton
Gabriel Bontempo
Henry Mosquera
Wallace
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 47WallaceM
- 52Ryan TavaresD
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 12VanderlanD
- 17ViniciusF
- 19BruninhoF
- 22GustavinhoM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 32J. HerreraF
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Santos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1DiógenesG
- 7EvertonM
- 8Gabriel BontempoM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 11Philippe CoutinhoM
- 14Luan PeresD
- 22Á. BarrealD
- 23RodineiD
- 28C. OlivaM
- 42João AlencarD
- 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
Substitutes
- 6ArthurM
- 17G. CaballeroF
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 25Gabriel MeninoM
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 30M. TercerosM
- 32B. RollheiserF
- 33RonyF
- 34João PauloG
- 38Rafael GonzagaD
- 45LimaM
- 81S. PierriM
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Marques(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Augusto | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3/4 |
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallace Yan | M | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 2/4 |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Goncalves | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanderlan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Herrera | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe Coutinho | M | 79 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Gabriel Barbosa(C) | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Christian Oliva | M | 59 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 79 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Gustavinho | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Everton Cebolinha | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| João Alencar | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | D | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogenes | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodinei | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Paulo Ananias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 21 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Bragantino vs Santos?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Bragantino to win against Santos.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Bragantino vs Santos?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Bragantino 3–1 Santos.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Bragantino vs Santos?
- Fipster's model gave RB Bragantino a 80% chance of winning, Santos a 10% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 80% confidence — a high-confidence call.