RB Bragantino vs Gremio
Bragantino snatch victory with last-gasp goal
Gustavo Marques seals a narrow 1-0 win deep into stoppage time.
RB Bragantino secured a tight 1-0 win over Gremio thanks to Gustavo Marques' dramatic goal in the fifth minute of added time. The match was a tense affair with the breakthrough coming only at the very end, denying Gremio any chance to respond. Fipster had confidently tipped a home win, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction of Bragantino prevailing proved spot on.
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Gremio face off in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to extend their advantage in the league standings. Both teams have had their moments this season, but the stats suggest a clear favourite.
Match factors
RB Bragantino's attacking midfield strength
Lucas Barbosa and Henry Mosquera provide creative support and goal threat, enhancing Bragantino's attack
Carlos Vinícius' scoring prowess for Gremio
Vinícius leads Gremio with 10 goals, a significant threat despite team's overall struggles
RB Bragantino's home scoring form
Bragantino averages 1.5 goals per home game, supporting predicted 2-0 win
Gremio missing key forward Tetê
Tetê is confirmed out, reducing Gremio's attacking options and creativity
The context
This match is part of the 24th round of the league, with RB Bragantino currently sitting 7th with 32 points, while Gremio are 14th with 25 points. The head-to-head record slightly favours Bragantino, who have won five of their 11 meetings against Gremio's two victories.
Key insights
I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
Top scorer with 6 goals this season and strong home form, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 19 appearances, 0.32 goals/game
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Creative midfielder with 4 goals this season, providing both goals and assists to support the attack.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 19 appearances, 0.21 goals/game
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
Leading scorer with 10 goals, a significant threat despite the team's struggles.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 20 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Analysis
RB Bragantino's better goal difference (+7 compared to Gremio's -3) and stronger league position underline their superior form. Key players like I. Pitta, the team's top scorer with six goals, and creative midfielders Lucas Barbosa and Henry Mosquera provide a potent attacking threat. Gremio's main offensive outlet, Carlos Vinícius, has netted 10 goals but may struggle against Bragantino's solid defence. Additionally, Gremio will miss key forward Tetê, which could hamper their attacking options.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Gremio's 2 in 11 meetings.
- 2.RB Bragantino have a goal difference of +7 this season, compared to Gremio's -3.
- 3.RB Bragantino are 7th in the league with 32 points from 22 games.
- 4.Gremio sit 14th with 25 points from 21 games.
- 5.I. Pitta is RB Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 6.Carlos Vinícius leads Gremio with 10 goals this season.
- 7.Gremio will miss key forward Tetê due to injury.
Prediction
Expect RB Bragantino to take an early lead and maintain control, finishing the first half 1-0. Their attacking midfield strength and home form should see them add a second goal in the second half, sealing a 2-0 victory. The match is also likely to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Gremio
The verdict
In summary, RB Bragantino's combination of form, goal difference, and key player performances make them the clear favourites to win this fixture 2-0. Gremio will need to overcome the absence of Tetê and find a way to break down a well-organised Bragantino side to avoid defeat.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal Disallowed - video review
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Noriega
Yellow Card
Tetê
Amuzu
Ramires
Herrera
Sant'Anna
Yellow Card
Lucas Barbosa
Weverton
Yellow Card
Vinicius
Wallace
Yellow Card
Rodriguinho
Krovinović
Noriega
Gustavo Marques
Assist: Gustavinho
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 |  RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 14 |  Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 25 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 9I. PittaF
- 14Pedro HenriqueD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 17ViniciusM
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 32J. HerreraM
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 4AlixD
- 5FabinhoM
- 6GabrielM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 30Henry MosqueraF
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 41YuriM
Gremio
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1WevertonG
- 3Wagner LeonardoD
- 8E. NoriegaM
- 9F. AmuzuM
- 10F. KrovinovićM
- 20M. VillasantiM
- 21TetêM
- 22M. BraithwaiteF
- 23MarlonD
- 27Diego CaitoD
- 82WallaceD
Substitutes
- 2F. BalbuenaD
- 7C. PavónF
- 12Gabriel GrandoG
- 14Marcos RochaD
- 30Matheus NascimentoF
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 43Luis EduardoD
- 54Pedro GabrielD
- 77Jovane CabralF
- 95Carlos ViníciusF
- 99J. EnamoradoF
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Henrique | D | 94 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | M | 86 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8/10 |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 94 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Rodriguinho | M | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Marques(C) | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| José Herrera | M | 64 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Eric Ramires | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Tiago Volpi | G | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 30 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 30 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Yuri Alves de Aquino | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gremio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallace | D | 94 | 8.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weverton | G | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Marlon | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francis Amuzu | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tetê | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mathias Villasanti(C) | M | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matheus Nascimento | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Grando | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Guedes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabián Balbuena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | F | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |