RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
Match recap
RB Bragantino beat Cruzeiro 4–2 in their Serie A fixture. Lucas Barbosa, Kaio Jorge, Ramires, and Herrera scored for RB Bragantino; Zé Lucas and Matheus Henrique replied for Cruzeiro. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.68 for RB Bragantino versus 2.94 for Cruzeiro. RB Bragantino sit 10th in the Serie A table while Cruzeiro are 4th.
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro are set for an exciting encounter in the 30th round of the regular season. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, promising a match full of goals and drama.
Match factors
RB Bragantino's attacking midfield strength
Lucas Barbosa's 5 goals and 2 assists this season provide creative and scoring threat from midfield
Cruzeiro's prolific midfielder Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro with 8 goals and 3 assists, key to their attacking output
RB Bragantino's strong home scoring record
RB Bragantino averages 1.43 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3 goals
Cruzeiro's consistent scoring streak
Cruzeiro has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Cruzeiro missing key midfielder N. Villareal
N. Villareal is out injured, potentially weakening Cruzeiro's midfield depth and creativity
The context
Cruzeiro currently sit 6th in the league with 45 points, while RB Bragantino are 11th with 36 points after 28 games. Historically, Cruzeiro have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning six of the last ten encounters, with Bragantino managing just one victory. Matches between these sides tend to produce a moderate number of goals, averaging 2.7 per game.
Key insights
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Lucas Barbosa's 5 goals and 2 assists this season provide a significant attacking threat from midfield, boosting Bragantino's chances at home.
Serie A 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances
- I
Isidro Pitta Saldívar
RB Bragantino
Top scorer Isidro Pitta Saldívar is the focal point of Bragantino's attack, with 6 goals this season and consistent starting appearances.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 26 appearances
- M
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro's attack with 8 goals and 3 assists, making him a key player to watch despite the team's away challenge.
Serie A 26/278 goals and 3 assists in the season
Analysis
RB Bragantino boast a strong home scoring record, averaging 1.43 goals per home game, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Key players like Isidro Pitta Saldívar, the team's top scorer with six goals, and creative midfielder Lucas Barbosa, who has five goals and two assists this season, will be crucial. Cruzeiro, meanwhile, rely heavily on their prolific midfielder Matheus Pereira, who leads their scoring charts with eight goals and three assists. However, Cruzeiro will miss key midfielder N. Villareal due to injury, potentially weakening their midfield depth and creativity. Both sides have been consistent in front of goal recently, suggesting a high-scoring and closely fought match.
Key facts
- 1.Cruzeiro are 6th in the league with 45 points; RB Bragantino are 11th with 36 points after 28 games.
- 2.In 10 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro have won 6, RB Bragantino 1, with 3 draws.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating moderate scoring potential.
- 4.RB Bragantino average 1.43 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 5.Isidro Pitta Saldívar is RB Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 6.Lucas Barbosa has 5 goals and 2 assists, providing midfield creativity for Bragantino.
- 7.Matheus Pereira leads Cruzeiro with 8 goals and 3 assists this season.
- 8.Cruzeiro will miss key midfielder N. Villareal due to injury, affecting their midfield depth.
Prediction
The forecast is for a narrow home win with RB Bragantino edging out Cruzeiro 3-2. The predicted scoreline reflects the attacking strengths on display and the likelihood of a competitive match. Expect Bragantino to leverage their home advantage and goal-scoring form to clinch the victory in a thrilling contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Cruzeiro
No standout top scorers flagged for Cruzeiro
The verdict
This match promises to be a captivating affair with plenty of goals and end-to-end action. While Cruzeiro have the historical edge, RB Bragantino's recent form and home scoring prowess make them the favourites to take all three points in a 3-2 thriller.
Prediction generated 8 Oct 2026, 02:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Lucas Barbosa
Assist: Ramires
William
Yellow Card
Kaio Jorge (OG)
Tavares
Yellow Card
Ramires
Zé Lucas
Assist: Kaio Jorge
Rojas
William
Gustavo Marques
Zé Lucas
João Marcelo
Wallace
Ramires
Sasha
Felipe Morais
Yellow Card
Felipe Morais
Lucas Barbosa
Goal cancelled
Matheus Henrique
Herrera
Assist: Pitta
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 11FernandoM
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 47WallaceM
- 52Ryan TavaresD
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 12VanderlanD
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 19BruninhoF
- 22GustavinhoM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 32J. HerreraF
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Zé LucasM
- 8GersonM
- 10Matheus PereiraM
- 12WilliamD
- 19Kaio JorgeF
- 27G. RojasD
- 34JonathanD
- 38Felipe MoraisM
- 43João MarceloD
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG
- 99K. ArroyoM
Substitutes
- 1CássioG
- 2Kauã MoraesD
- 6M. ViñaD
- 7Matheus HenriqueM
- 9Bruno RodriguesF
- 11MarquinhosF
- 15Fabrício BrunoD
- 16Lucas SilvaM
- 20Wesley GassovaF
- 25L. VillalbaD
- 70KenjiF
- 97L. RodríguezF
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 66 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 9 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 81 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Fernando | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Wallace | M | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| I. Pitta | F | 24 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Fabinho | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Tavares | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel | M | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Sosa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sant'Anna | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruninho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanderlan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicius | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cruzeiro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zé Lucas | M | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gerson | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 27 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. Arroyo | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| Jonathan | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Wesley Gassova | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rojas | D | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Felipe Morais | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| João Marcelo | D | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Viña | D | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| William | D | 46 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cássio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenji | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Moraes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Villalba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Bragantino to win against Cruzeiro.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Bragantino 3–2 Cruzeiro.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
- Fipster's model gave RB Bragantino a 95% chance of winning, Cruzeiro a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.