RB Bragantino vs Botafogo
Match recap
Botafogo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Lucas Barbosa scored for RB Bragantino; Telles and Barboza replied for Botafogo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.45 for RB Bragantino versus 1.18 for Botafogo. RB Bragantino sit 10th in the Serie A table while Botafogo are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 RB Bragantino win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Botafogo face off in the 8th round of the regular season, with Bragantino aiming to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form to secure a vital win.
Match factors
RB Bragantino's midfield scoring threat
Lucas Barbosa's 5 goals and 2 assists this season make him a key attacking threat from midfield for Bragantino
Botafogo's creative duo influence
Álvaro Montoro and Alex Telles combine for 9 assists this season, boosting Botafogo's chance to create scoring opportunities
Doubt over Juninho Capixaba's availability
Juninho Capixaba is doubtful due to injury, which may weaken Bragantino's defense and assist potential
Danilo Santos' strong recent form
Danilo Santos has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, indicating good form and goal threat for Botafogo
Bragantino's home scoring consistency
RB Bragantino averages 1.43 goals per home game, supporting their predicted 2-0 home win
The context
RB Bragantino currently sit 10th in the league with 37 points, narrowly ahead of Botafogo who are 13th with 35 points. Historically, Botafogo have had the upper hand in their 19 meetings, but Bragantino's recent home performances suggest a shift in momentum.
Key insights
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Lucas Barbosa’s 5 goals and 2 assists this season make him a key attacking threat from midfield, especially at home where he plays most minutes.
Serie A 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances, averaging 84 minutes per game.
Álvaro Montoro
Botafogo
Álvaro Montoro leads Botafogo’s assists with 5, providing creative spark and chances for his team.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 27 appearances, averaging 63 minutes per game.
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Juninho Capixaba’s doubtful status due to injury may weaken Bragantino’s defense and reduce their assist potential.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 25 appearances, 11 yellow cards this season.
Analysis
Bragantino's midfield dynamo Lucas Barbosa, with 5 goals and 2 assists this season, poses a significant threat, especially on home turf where the team averages 1.43 goals per game. Botafogo's creative duo, Álvaro Montoro and Alex Telles, combine for 9 assists, but Bragantino's defensive resilience and home scoring consistency are expected to prevail. The doubtful status of Bragantino's Juninho Capixaba could slightly weaken their defense, but the overall attacking edge remains with the home side.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino are ranked 10th with 37 points, just above Botafogo in 13th with 35 points.
- 2.In 19 head-to-head matches, Botafogo have won 12 times, RB Bragantino 3, with 4 draws.
- 3.Lucas Barbosa (RB Bragantino) and Alexander Barboza (Botafogo) each scored in this fixture.
- 4.RB Bragantino average 1.43 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Álvaro Montoro and Alex Telles have combined for 9 assists this season for Botafogo.
- 6.Juninho Capixaba is doubtful for RB Bragantino due to injury.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours a 2-0 home win for RB Bragantino, with a halftime lead of 1-0. This aligns with the team's strong home scoring record and the likelihood of controlling the match tempo. Expect a competitive game with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity of the encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Botafogo
No standout top scorers flagged for Botafogo
The verdict
In summary, RB Bragantino's blend of midfield creativity and home scoring prowess should see them edge out Botafogo by two goals. While Botafogo will offer resistance, the home side's form and key player contributions make a Bragantino victory the most probable outcome.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Telles
Penalty
Lucas Barbosa
Assist: Henry Mosquera
Goal cancelled
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Telles
Júnior Santos
Rodriguinho
Rodríguez
Henry Mosquera
Fernandes
Ferraresi
Barboza
Assist: Santos
Alix
Yellow Card
Sasha
Gabriel
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Yellow Card
Edenílson
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1CleitonG
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Substitutes
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 5FabinhoM
- 9I. PittaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 22GustavinhoM
- 27Davi GomesM
- 32J. HerreraF
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 52Ryan TavaresM
Botafogo
Starting XI
- 1RaulG
- 4M. PonteD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 11Matheus MartinsM
- 13Alex TellesD
- 17Júnior SantosF
- 20A. BarbozaD
- 23S. RodríguezM
- 30J. CorreaF
Substitutes
- 2VitinhoD
- 7ArturF
- 14J. BarreraM
- 16Nathan FernandesF
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 21MarçalD
- 24Léo LinckG
- 25AllanM
- 34G. JustinoM
- 45Caio ValleF
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 88EdenílsonM
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/7 |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 80 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Cleiton(C) | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fabinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Volpi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Augusto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 22 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Davi Gomes | M | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| José Herrera | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Barboza | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Raúl | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Correa | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 45 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/6 |
| Mateo Ponte | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Júnior Santos | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Léo Linck | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artur | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Valle | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Fernandes | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Justino | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Bragantino vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Bragantino to win against Botafogo.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Bragantino vs Botafogo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Bragantino 2–0 Botafogo.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Bragantino vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's model gave RB Bragantino a 86% chance of winning, Botafogo a 7% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 86% confidence — a high-confidence call.