RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense
Match recap
RB Bragantino and Atletico Paranaense drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. Juninho Capixaba scored for RB Bragantino; Julimar replied for Atletico Paranaense. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.64 for RB Bragantino versus 1.15 for Atletico Paranaense. RB Bragantino sit 10th in the Serie A table while Atletico Paranaense are 4th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 RB Bragantino win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
RB Bragantino and Atletico Paranaense are set for a high-scoring clash in the Regular Season - 4 of the league. Both teams have shown attacking intent, and this fixture promises to be a nail-biter with goals on both sides.
Match factors
Atletico Paranaense's prolific striker advantage
Kevin Viveros leads with 19 goals, significantly outscoring RB Bragantino's top scorer, providing a key attacking edge
RB Bragantino's defensive doubts
Juninho Capixaba is doubtful due to injury, potentially weakening RB Bragantino's defense and attacking support from fullback
RB Bragantino's recent scoring inconsistency
Isidro Pitta has not scored in last 10 matches despite season total of 6, indicating potential scoring drought
Lucas Barbosa's dual threat for RB Bragantino
Lucas Barbosa contributes 5 goals and 2 assists with high minutes, key to RB Bragantino's attacking output
RB Bragantino's creative midfield presence
Henry Mosquera provides creativity with 3 assists and good passing stats, crucial for chance creation
The context
Atletico Paranaense currently sit higher in the league standings, occupying 4th place with 50 points from 29 games, while RB Bragantino are 10th with 37 points from the same number of matches. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced with 5 wins each and 5 draws from 16 meetings, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
- K
Kevin Viveros Rodallega
Atletico Paranaense
League top scorer with 19 goals, averaging 0.7 goals per game, and excellent recent form with 8 goals in last 10 matches, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/2719 goals in 27 appearances, 2386 mins
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
Contributes 5 goals and 2 assists with high minutes, key to RB Bragantino's attacking output and strong home form.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 27 appearances, 2274 mins
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Doubtful status due to injury, potentially weakening RB Bragantino's defense and attacking support from fullback.
Serie A 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 25 appearances, 2141 mins
- I
Isidro Pitta Saldívar
RB Bragantino
Top scorer for RB Bragantino with 6 goals but has not scored in last 10 matches, indicating a recent scoring drought.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 26 appearances, 1642 mins
Analysis
The halftime scoreline of 1-1 suggests an evenly matched first half, with both sides finding the net. Atletico Paranaense boast the league's top scorer, Kevin Viveros Rodallega, who has netted 19 goals this season and is in excellent form. RB Bragantino will rely heavily on Lucas Barbosa's creativity and goal threat, alongside Isidro Pitta Saldívar, despite his recent scoring drought. Defensive doubts for RB Bragantino, particularly regarding Juninho Capixaba's doubtful status, could be a factor Atletico might exploit. Expect a tactical battle with both teams pushing forward, resulting in a closely contested and entertaining match.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino are 10th in the league with 37 points from 29 games.
- 2.Atletico Paranaense sit 4th with 50 points from 29 games.
- 3.In 16 head-to-head matches, both teams have won 5 times each with 5 draws.
- 4.Kevin Viveros Rodallega is the league's top scorer with 19 goals this season.
- 5.Lucas Barbosa has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists for RB Bragantino this season.
- 6.Isidro Pitta Saldívar is RB Bragantino's top scorer with 6 goals but has not scored in the last 10 matches.
- 7.Juninho Capixaba is doubtful for RB Bragantino, potentially weakening their defense and attack from fullback.
Prediction
We predict RB Bragantino to narrowly win this encounter 3-2. The home side is expected to edge ahead in the second half after a balanced first 45 minutes. Both teams will find the net, but Bragantino's attacking midfield and forward line should provide just enough firepower to secure the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — RB Bragantino
Away — Atletico Paranaense
The verdict
This fixture promises goals and excitement, with both teams eager to claim valuable points. While Atletico Paranaense have the league's top scorer and a higher table position, RB Bragantino's home advantage and key creative players could make the difference in a thrilling 3-2 victory.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fabinho
Yellow Card
Zapelli
Yellow Card
Dias
Yellow Card
Juninho Capixaba
Alix
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Mendoza
Pedro Henrique
Yellow Card
Fabinho
Red Card
Fabinho
Yellow Card
Pitta
Zapelli
Portilla
Gustavinho
Julimar
Assist: Benavídez
Sasha
Hurtado
Henry Mosquera
Alix
Red Card
Alix
Yellow Card
Luiz Gustavo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
Match Statistics
RB Bragantino
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1CleitonG
- 4AlixD
- 5FabinhoM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 9I. PittaF
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 34J. HurtadoD
Substitutes
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 11FernandoF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 27Davi GomesM
- 32J. HerreraF
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 57MarcelinhoM
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaF
- 9K. ViverosF
- 10B. ZapelliF
- 13C. TeránD
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 23SantosG
- 27J. PortillaM
- 29G. BenavídezM
- 33J. AguirreD
- 37L. EsquivelM
Substitutes
- 1MycaelG
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 16JádsonM
- 20JulimarF
- 21LeozinhoF
- 47ChiquetiM
- 48BruninhoM
- 53DuduM
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Cleiton | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 67 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Eduardo Sasha(C) | F | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 51 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marcelinho Braz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davi Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Reis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Volpi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Herrera | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fernando | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Esquivel | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4/5 |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gastón Benavídez | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Kevin Viveros | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Terán | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Santos(C) | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Stiven Mendoza | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Camilo Portilla | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Bruno Zapelli | F | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Leonardo Derik | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leozinho | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Léo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Junior | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mycael | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julimar | F | 45 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| João Cruz | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Dudu | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Chiqueti | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Bragantino to win against Atletico Paranaense.
- What score did Fipster predict for RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?
- Fipster predicted a final score of RB Bragantino 3–2 Atletico Paranaense.
- What were the win probabilities for RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense?
- Fipster's model gave RB Bragantino a 51% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.