Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad
Match recap
Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad drew 3–3 in their La Liga fixture. Camello, Lejeune, and Alemão scored for Rayo Vallecano; Oyarzabal, Óskarsson, and Oyarzabal replied for Real Sociedad. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.22 for Rayo Vallecano versus 1.79 for Real Sociedad. Rayo Vallecano sit 8th in the La Liga table while Real Sociedad are 10th.
Analysis
Rayo Vallecano host Real Sociedad in what promises to be a tightly contested La Liga fixture. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, and with key players sidelined, the match could hinge on tactical discipline and defensive resilience.
Rayo Vallecano currently sit 11th with 38 points, while Real Sociedad are slightly ahead in 8th place with 42 points. Both teams have struggled with injuries to key attackers, which could limit their goal-scoring prowess. The home advantage might just give Rayo a slight edge, but Sociedad's better goal difference suggests a balanced contest.
Rayo Vallecano's top scorer Jorge de Frutos and top assister Álvaro García are both injured, reducing their offensive threat. Similarly, Real Sociedad miss key forwards Mikel Oyarzabal and Gonçalo Guedes. Defensively, Rayo's Florian Lejeune and A. Rațiu have been solid, potentially neutralising Sociedad's attack. The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects these factors, with a cautious first half expected to end goalless.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a 35% confidence level. The halftime score is likely to be 0-0, reflecting a tight and tactical opening period. Expect three total cards as tempers flare in this competitive fixture. Both teams will share the spoils, each scoring once in a balanced encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Rayo Vallecano missing key attackers
Jorge de Frutos and Álvaro García are injured, reducing scoring and creativity options.
Real Sociedad attack weakened by injuries
Mikel Oyarzabal and Gonçalo Guedes are injured, limiting goal threat potential.
Defensive strength in Rayo's backline
Lejeune and Rațiu show strong defensive stats, potentially neutralizing Sociedad's attack.
Rayo's home scoring slightly better than away
Rayo scores 1.1 goals at home vs 0.8 away, may leverage home advantage despite injuries.
Real Sociedad's moderate recent form
Sociedad has a 34% win rate with some scoring consistency but also defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this match is set to be a classic stalemate with neither side able to dominate fully. Injuries to key attackers and strong defensive performances suggest a draw is the fairest result. Fans should prepare for a disciplined, hard-fought game with moments of quality from both sides.
- Rayo Vallecano are 11th with 38 points from 32 games (W9 D11 L12).
- Real Sociedad are 8th with 42 points from 32 games (W11 D9 L12).
- Real Sociedad have a better goal difference (+0) compared to Rayo Vallecano (-8).
- Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) is top scorer with 10 goals but currently injured.
- Álvaro García (Rayo) leads assists with 5 but is also injured.
- Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) top scorer with 12 goals, currently injured.
- Florian Lejeune and A. Rațiu provide defensive strength for Rayo Vallecano.
- Predicted total cards in the match is 3, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rayo Vallecano
Away — Real Sociedad
No standout top scorers flagged for Real Sociedad
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Isi Palazón
Red Card
Mendy
Yellow Card
Kubo
Yellow Card
Oyarzabal
Assist: Barrenetxea
Goal cancelled
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
Camello
Gómez
Yellow Card
Ciss
Yellow Card
Barrenetxea
Óskarsson
Yellow Card
Kubo
Óskarsson
Assist: Gómez
Mendy
Camello
Martín
Turrientes
Óskarsson
Isi Palazón
Goal cancelled
Rațiu
Yellow Card
Oyarzabal
Penalty
López
Lejeune
Gómez
Soler
Yellow Card
Lejeune
Yellow Card
Alemão
Yellow Card
Alemão
Assist: Díaz
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Dani CárdenasG
- 2A. RațiuD
- 3Pep ChavarríaD
- 6P. CissM
- 7Isi PalazónM
- 10Sergio CamelloF
- 12Ilias AkhomachM
- 14Carlos MartínM
- 17Unai LópezM
- 24F. LejeuneD
- 32N. MendyD
Substitutes
- 4Pedro DíazM
- 8Ó. TrejoM
- 9AlemãoF
- 15GumbauM
- 16A. MuminD
- 19Jorge de FrutosF
- 20I. BalliuD
- 21Fran PérezM
- 22A. EspinoD
- 23Óscar ValentínM
- 30JuanpeG
- 33J. VertrouwdD
Real Sociedad
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Álex RemiroG
- 2J. AramburuD
- 7BarrenetxeaM
- 8Beñat TurrientesM
- 9O. ÓskarssonF
- 10Mikel OyarzabalF
- 14T. KuboM
- 16D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 17Sergio GómezD
- 18Carlos SolerM
- 31Jon MartínD
Substitutes
- 3Aihen MuñozD
- 4Jon GorrotxategiM
- 6ElustondoD
- 12Y. HerreraM
- 13Unai MarreroG
- 15Pablo MarínM
- 21A. ZakharyanM
- 22Wesley GassovaF
- 23Brais MéndezM
- 24L. SučićM
- 32Aitor FragaG
- 38Luken BeitiaD
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | F | 64 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 105 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nobel Mendy | D | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Florian Lejeune | D | 105 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Unai López | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ilias Akhomach | M | 105 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2/4 |
| Carlos Martín | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | M | 105 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | D | 105 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| Isi Palazón(C) | M | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Josep Chavarría | D | 105 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jozhua Vertrouwd | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juanpe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Balliu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Mumin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Trejo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pacha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 41 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 37 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Alemão | F | 41 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | M | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 41 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Oyarzabal(C) | F | 105 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Sergio Gómez | D | 91 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | F | 67 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ander Barrenetxea | M | 56 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Beñat Turrientes | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Álex Remiro | G | 105 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duje Caleta-Car | D | 105 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Takefusa Kubo | M | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Carlos Soler | M | 105 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Jon Martin | D | 105 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Aramburu | D | 105 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wesley | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Marrero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsen Zakharyan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fraga | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luken Beitia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Marín | M | 49 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luka Sučić | M | 49 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | M | 38 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | D | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yangel Herrera | M | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |