Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

La LigaMatchweek 35
Ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, SpainEstadio de Vallecas, Madrid · 15,500 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinmediumMiss

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano and Girona drew 1–1 in their La Liga fixture. Alemão scored for Rayo Vallecano; Stuani replied for Girona. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.09 for Rayo Vallecano versus 0.86 for Girona. Rayo Vallecano sit 8th in the La Liga table while Girona are 19th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
10
HT 1–0
Final Result
11
HT 0–0
15%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review13 May 2026

Analysis

As the La Liga season nears its climax, Rayo Vallecano host Girona in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are eager to secure valuable points, but the home side holds a slight edge.

Rayo Vallecano currently sit 11th with 42 points, comfortably ahead of Girona who are 16th with 38 points. The home team boasts a superior goal difference by 9 goals, reflecting their more consistent performances this season.

Despite injuries to key attackers Jorge de Frutos and Álvaro García, Rayo's defensive stability, led by Florian Lejeune and A. Rațiu, provides a solid foundation. Girona, missing their top scorer Viktor Tsygankov, will struggle to break down a well-organised home defence. Sergio Camello's recent scoring form offers Rayo a glimmer of attacking threat.


Prediction

The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Rayo Vallecano, with the halftime score also predicted at 1-0. Expect a disciplined match with around four cards issued, reflecting the competitive but controlled nature of the game.

Outcome probability

Rayo Vallecano 54%Draw 23%Girona 23%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Rayo's key attackers unavailable

Jorge de Frutos, Álvaro García, and Sergio Camello are injured, limiting Rayo's attacking options.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Defensive solidity with Lejeune and Rațiu

Lejeune and Rațiu provide strong defensive and passing stability, crucial against Girona's attack.

Form Momentummedium

Camello's recent scoring form

Camello scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing potential to impact despite limited minutes.

Statistical Edgemedium

Girona's midfield passing strength

Daley Blind and Arnau Martínez lead Girona's passing, aiding control and chance creation.

Injury Impacthigh

Girona missing top scorer and creator

V. Vanat and Viktor Tsygankov are injured, weakening Girona's offensive threat.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Rayo Vallecano's home advantage and stronger goal difference should see them edge out Girona in a tight contest. While injuries hamper attacking options, their defensive resilience and recent form tip the scales in their favour.

  • Rayo Vallecano are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (W10 D12 L12).
  • Girona are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (W9 D11 L14).
  • Rayo Vallecano have a 9-goal better goal difference than Girona this season.
  • Jorge de Frutos and Álvaro García are key Rayo attackers currently injured.
  • Florian Lejeune and A. Rațiu provide defensive solidity for Rayo Vallecano.
  • Girona's top scorer Viktor Tsygankov is injured, weakening their attack.
  • Sergio Camello has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games, showing good form.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeRayo Vallecano

Jorge de Frutos

Jorge de Frutos

Attacker

Rayo Vallecano

Total Goals
10
League avg: 1.18
31 played
28 starts
2182 mins
~70 mins/game
Sergio Camello

Sergio Camello

Attacker

Rayo Vallecano

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.18
18 played
5 starts
567 mins
~32 mins/game
Alemão

Alemão

Attacker

Rayo Vallecano

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.18
21 played
9 starts
916 mins
~44 mins/game

AwayGirona

No standout top scorers flagged for Girona