Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano edge Espanyol in tight contest
Álvaro García and Adrià Pedrosa set the pace for Rayo Vallecano's narrow La Liga victory.
Rayo Vallecano secured a 2-1 win over Espanyol thanks to early strikes from Álvaro García and Adrià Pedrosa, who put their side firmly in control before half-time. Roberto Fernández pulled one back for Espanyol after the break, but it wasn't enough to prevent the hosts from taking all three points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved slightly optimistic.
Outcome probability
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol face off in what promises to be an entertaining La Liga clash. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Match factors
Rayo's attacking trio in strong form
Sergio Camello leads with 6 goals in last 5, supported by Rațiu's rare defender goal threat
Unai López's creative influence
Top assister with 3 assists in 4 games, key to Rayo's goal creation
Espanyol's Roberto Fernández scoring streak
5 goals in last 5 games, including strong away form, boosts Espanyol's attack
Rayo missing key players including Jorge de Frutos
De Frutos out due to red card, reducing midfield creativity and assist potential
The context
The two sides have a nearly even head-to-head record, with Rayo Vallecano winning 9 of their 20 meetings and Espanyol 8, alongside 3 draws. Their matches typically produce goals, averaging 2.7 per game, which bodes well for fans craving action. Currently, Espanyol sit 7th in the league, ahead of Rayo Vallecano in 14th, but the prediction leans towards a home win.
Key insights
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
Leading scorer with 6 goals in last 5 games, strong home form makes him a key threat.
La Liga 26/276 goals in last 5 games, 4 apps, 248 mins
Unai López
Rayo Vallecano
Top assister with 3 assists in 4 games, crucial in creating chances and linking play.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 4 games, 333 mins
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
In fine scoring form with 5 goals in last 5 games, vital for Espanyol's attack especially away.
La Liga 26/275 goals in last 5 games, 4 apps, 353 mins
Analysis
Rayo Vallecano's attacking trio is in fine form, spearheaded by Sergio Camello who boasts 6 goals in his last 5 games and a strong home scoring record. Unai López's creativity, with 3 assists in 4 games, adds to their offensive threat. Espanyol's Roberto Fernández is no slouch either, with 5 goals in his last 5 games and solid away form. However, Rayo's slight edge in home form and attacking depth could tip the scales in their favour. The predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects the expected tight but thrilling contest.
Key facts
- 1.Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol have met 20 times: 9 wins for Rayo, 8 for Espanyol, 3 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals per game.
- 3.Espanyol currently rank 7th in the league, Rayo Vallecano 14th.
- 4.Sergio Camello has scored 6 goals in his last 5 games for Rayo Vallecano.
- 5.Unai López leads Rayo with 3 assists in 4 games.
- 6.Roberto Fernández has 5 goals in his last 5 games for Espanyol.
- 7.Rayo Vallecano have 4 points from 4 games (W1 D1 L2).
- 8.Espanyol have 7 points from 5 games (W2 D1 L2).
Prediction
Expect Rayo Vallecano to secure a narrow 3-2 victory. The match should be a goal fest, with both sides finding the net but the home side just edging it thanks to their attacking prowess and home advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rayo Vallecano
Away — Espanyol
The verdict
This fixture promises excitement and goals, with Rayo Vallecano's attacking momentum likely to see them through. Espanyol will push hard, but the home side's firepower should prove decisive in a closely fought encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
García
Pedrosa
Assist: García
López
Yellow Card
Hinojo
Gabriel Moscardo
Bauzà
Fernández
Assist: Javier Hernandez
Sadick
López
Fernández
Yellow Card
Tsitaishvili
Yellow Card
Ciss
Yellow Card
Javier Hernandez
Tsitaishvili
Camello
Bouare
Yellow Card
García
González
Alemão
Yellow Card
El Hilali
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 10 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. RațiuD
- 4Pedro DíazM
- 6P. CissM
- 8Unai LópezM
- 10Sergio CamelloF
- 14G. TsitaishviliF
- 15Mujaid SadickD
- 17Adrià PedrosaD
- 18Álvaro GarcíaF
- 24F. LejeuneD
- 25E. AuderoG
Substitutes
- 1Dani CárdenasG
- 3M. KumbullaD
- 9AlemãoF
- 20I. BalliuD
- 21Fran PérezF
- 22Pelayo FernándezD
- 23Óscar ValentínM
- 26Marco de las SíasD
- 30Adrián MolinaG
- 31M. RomanM
- 36G. BouareM
- 37Rayane BelidF
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Q. HartmanM
- 4Urko GonzálezM
- 5C. RiedelD
- 6L. CabreraD
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 13M. DmitrovićG
- 20Gabriel MoscardoM
- 21Roger HinojoD
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 26Rafel BauzàM
- 28Javier HernandezM
Substitutes
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 10Pol LozanoM
- 11Pere MillaM
- 14Unai NúñezD
- 15Bryan ZaragozaF
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 18Marcos FernándezF
- 22Álex CalatravaF
- 24T. DolanF
- 31Llorenç SerredG
- 32J. A. LopezD
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Álvaro García | F | 84 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Ciss | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 61 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/6 |
| Unai López | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Balliu | D | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sergio Camello | F | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| G. Bouare | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alemão | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Audero | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| G. Tsitaishvili | F | 76 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pelayo Fernández | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Belid | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco de las Sías | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Molina | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Roman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kumbulla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Espanyol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Fernández | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Javier Hernandez | M | 74 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0/2 |
| Bryan Zaragoza | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Riedel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Hartman | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| L. Cabrera | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marcos Fernández | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Edu Expósito | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Roger Hinojo | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Álex Calatrava | F | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Dmitrović | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko González | M | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pol Lozano | M | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafel Bauzà | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. El Hilali | D | 98 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Unai Núñez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Drkušić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. A. Lopez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Llorenç Serred | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Dolan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Fortuño | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pere Milla | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Rayo Vallecano to win against Espanyol.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Espanyol.
- What were the win probabilities for Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
- Fipster's model gave Rayo Vallecano a 95% chance of winning, Espanyol a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.