Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano cruise past Celta Vigo
Jorge de Frutos shines with a brace as Rayo secure a comfortable 3-0 win.
Rayo Vallecano put on a commanding display to defeat Celta Vigo 3-0 in La Liga. Jorge de Frutos was the star of the show, scoring twice before Unai López sealed the victory with a third goal after the break. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, as Rayo Vallecano comfortably outclassed their opponents.
Outcome probability
As the La Liga regular season reaches its 11th round, Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both teams have shown resilience and tactical discipline, setting the stage for a match where neither side is expected to dominate outright.
Match factors
Rayo's attacking duo in form
Sergio Camello and Álvaro García show strong recent scoring and assisting form, key to Rayo's goal threat
Unai López's playmaking edge
Unai López leads Rayo in assists and passing accuracy, crucial for creating chances
Celta's defensive stability
Yoel Lago and Javi Rodríguez provide solid passing and defensive contributions, aiding Celta's control
Sergio Camello's consistent scoring
Camello has scored in multiple recent matches, sustaining Rayo's scoring momentum
Hugo González's assist potential
If fit, Hugo González offers creative threat with 2 assists in 5 games for Celta
The context
Rayo Vallecano currently sit 13th in the league with 8 points from 7 games, while Celta Vigo are slightly better placed at 9th with 8 points from 8 games. Celta's superior goal difference suggests a more effective attack or tighter defence so far this season. Both teams have had mixed results, with Celta drawing five of their eight matches and Rayo showing a balance of wins, draws, and losses.
Key insights

Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
Camello's consistent scoring form makes him Rayo's key offensive threat, with 7 goals in 10 games.
La Liga 26/277 goals in 10 appearances, 0.7 avg per game

Unai López
Rayo Vallecano
López's playmaking ability, with 3 assists and 87% passing accuracy, is crucial for creating chances.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 10 appearances, 0.3 avg per game, 87% passing accuracy
- Y
Yoel Lago
Celta Vigo
Lago's high passing accuracy and defensive contributions help Celta maintain control and stability.
La Liga 26/2793% passing accuracy, 58+ passes per game

Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
García contributes both goals and assists, adding creativity and goal involvement from midfield.
La Liga 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 10 appearances
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome. The first half is expected to be cagey and goalless, reflecting the teams' cautious approach and balanced defensive setups. Rayo's attacking threat is led by Sergio Camello, who has netted 7 goals in 10 appearances, showing consistent form. Álvaro García also contributes both goals and assists, adding creativity to Rayo's forward play. For Celta Vigo, defensive stability is key, with players like Yoel Lago and Javi Rodríguez providing solid passing and defensive contributions. Hugo González offers an assist threat if fit, which could be crucial in breaking down Rayo's defence.
Key facts
- 1.Rayo Vallecano are 13th with 8 points from 7 games (W2 D2 L3).
- 2.Celta Vigo are 9th with 8 points from 8 games (W1 D5 L2).
- 3.Celta Vigo have a better goal difference (+7) than Rayo Vallecano this season.
- 4.Sergio Camello has scored 7 goals in 10 appearances for Rayo Vallecano.
- 5.Unai López leads Rayo Vallecano with 3 assists and 87% passing accuracy.
- 6.Halftime score 0-0 is the most probable first-half outcome.
- 7.Fulltime score 1-1 is the most likely final result.
- 8.Four total cards are expected, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
Expect a tight game with few clear-cut chances in the first half, leading to a 0-0 halftime score. The second half should see both teams finding the net once, resulting in a 1-1 draw. Discipline will be moderate, with around four cards likely to be shown as both sides contest possession and territory fiercely.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rayo Vallecano


Away — Celta Vigo
The verdict
In summary, this La Liga fixture looks finely balanced, with neither Rayo Vallecano nor Celta Vigo able to claim a decisive advantage. Fans can anticipate a competitive match with moments of quality from key players but ultimately a shared point apiece.
Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 14:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
López
Yellow Card
de Frutos
Assist: Camello
González
García
de Frutos
Assist: Rațiu
Pedrosa
Camello
Javi Galán
Jutglà
Cáceres
Óscar Valentín
Bouare
Yellow Card
López
Assist: Bouare
Álvarez
López
Swedberg
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. RațiuD
- 4Pedro DíazM
- 8Unai LópezM
- 10Sergio CamelloF
- 15Mujaid SadickD
- 17Adrià PedrosaD
- 18Álvaro GarcíaF
- 19Jorge de FrutosF
- 23Óscar ValentínM
- 24F. LejeuneD
- 25E. AuderoG
Substitutes
- 1Dani CárdenasG
- 7Isi PalazónM
- 9AlemãoF
- 11R. NtekaM
- 14G. TsitaishviliF
- 20I. BalliuD
- 21Fran PérezF
- 22Pelayo FernándezD
- 33J. VertrouwdD
- 36G. BouareM
- 37Rayane BelidF
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6I. MoribaM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 21S. CáceresD
- 22Javi GalánM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 4A. FayeD
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 10Iago AspasF
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 24C. DriouechF
- 25Iván VillarG
- 28Andrés AntañónM
- 30H. BurcioM
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge de Frutos | F | 90 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Unai López | M | 79 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 5/5 |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 61 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 61 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 64 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Vertrouwd | D | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Bouare | M | 26 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 29 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Audero | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Tsitaishvili | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Álvaro García | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nteka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Pérez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pelayo Fernández | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Belid | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Balliu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pablo Durán | F | 47 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| S. Cáceres | D | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 29 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Javi Rueda | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Hugo González | F | 43 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Javi Galán | M | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 75 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| C. Driouech | F | 15 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 29 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Burcio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo.
- What were the win probabilities for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's model gave Rayo Vallecano a 31% chance of winning, Celta Vigo a 30% chance, and a 39% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 39% confidence — a low-confidence call.



