Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split snatch extra-time win
A dramatic finish sees Hajduk Split edge Raków Częstochowa in a five-goal thriller.
Hajduk Split stunned Raków Częstochowa with an early strike from R. Raci and sealed their 3-2 victory after extra time thanks to R. Pukštas's decisive goal. Despite Raków's spirited comeback through L. Diaby-Fadiga's penalty and M. Emreli's late equaliser, Hajduk's M. Šego kept them ahead before the break. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the visitors' resilience in a gripping UEFA Europa Conference League encounter.
Outcome probability
The playoff round clash between Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split promises an intriguing battle, with both sides boasting solid recent scoring form. Raków aims to leverage their home advantage and defensive resilience, while Hajduk will look to their potent attack to break through.
Match factors
Raków's strong recent scoring form
Raków has scored in 4 of last 5 matches with a positive scoring streak away from home
Hajduk Split's consistent scoring streak
Hajduk Split has scored in all last 3 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
Raków's defensive solidity at home
Raków concedes only 0.5 goals per home game, likely to challenge Hajduk's attack
Hajduk Split's high away scoring average
Hajduk averages 5 goals away, indicating strong offensive threat even on the road
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
Both teams come into this fixture with unbeaten records in the competition so far. Raków have played five matches with three wins and two draws, scoring 10 goals and conceding just three. Hajduk Split have played three matches, winning two and drawing one, with an impressive 11 goals scored and four conceded. Their previous meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, setting the stage for a tight encounter.
Key insights
- M
M. Emreli
Raków Częstochowa
Consistent scorer with goals in recent fixtures against Hajduk Split, making him a key threat at home.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Above league average attacker goal rate in this competition.
- P
P. Makuch
Raków Częstochowa
Strong attacking midfielder with multiple goals and assists recently, heavily involved in Raków’s goal creation.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27High involvement in goal creation and above average passing and assist metrics.
- M
M. Šego
HNK Hajduk Split
Prolific scorer for Hajduk with multiple goals in recent games, posing a significant offensive threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Strong home and away scoring form with key set-piece involvement.
- D
Dali
HNK Hajduk Split
Regular goal scorer and assist provider, important in linking play and finishing chances for Hajduk.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27High goal involvement rate for a midfielder in this competition.
Analysis
Raków's recent form shows a strong scoring streak, netting in four of their last five matches, and their defensive solidity at home is notable, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. Hajduk Split, on the other hand, have maintained a consistent scoring run, finding the net in all their last three matches and boasting a high away scoring average. Key players like Raków's M. Emreli and P. Makuch have been instrumental in attack, while Hajduk's M. Šego and Dali pose significant threats. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Raków's ability to contain Hajduk's offensive prowess while capitalising on their own chances.
Key facts
- 1.Raków Częstochowa have played 5 matches in this competition (W3 D2 L0, GF 10 / GA 3).
- 2.HNK Hajduk Split have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 11 / GA 4).
- 3.Previous head-to-head meeting ended in a 2-2 draw.
- 4.Raków concedes only 0.5 goals per home game in this competition.
- 5.Hajduk Split averages 5 goals away in this competition, showing strong offensive threat.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads at full strength.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Raków.
- 8.Predicted fulltime score is 2-1 to Raków Częstochowa.
Prediction
We predict Raków Częstochowa to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Despite Hajduk Split's efforts to equalise, Raków's defensive resilience and attacking efficiency should see them secure a 2-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature three cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Raków Częstochowa
Away — HNK Hajduk Split
No standout best passers flagged for HNK Hajduk Split
The verdict
This playoff round encounter is set to be a closely fought affair with Raków Częstochowa narrowly coming out on top. Their home form and tactical discipline should be enough to edge past Hajduk Split, who will no doubt push hard for an equaliser. Expect a lively match with moments of quality from key players on both sides.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Raci
Assist: Dali
Goal Disallowed - offside
Otieno
Sigur
Yellow Card
Ameyaw
Yellow Card
Diaby-Fadiga
Penalty
Acapandié
Yellow Card
Šego
Assist: Šotiček
Sanyang
Struski
Acapandié
Dali
Šotiček
Ameyaw
Makuch
Emreli
Emreli
Yellow Card
Tudor
Šego
Pukštas
Assist: Marešić
Marešić
Yellow Card
Diaby-Fadiga
Match Statistics
Raków Częstochowa
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1K. TrelowskiG
- 4S. SvarnasD
- 6O. RepkaM
- 7F. TudorD
- 9P. MakuchF
- 11M. EmreliF
- 19M. AmeyawM
- 23K. StruskiM
- 25B. RacovițanD
- 26E. OtienoM
- 80L. Diaby-FadigaF
Substitutes
- 2J. NapierajD
- 3A. BrorssonD
- 10V. KocherginM
- 15O. KwiatkowskiM
- 17J. JendrykaM
- 20Jean CarlosM
- 21T. PieńkoM
- 29W. ZolneczkoG
- 39I. BrusbergF
- 71T. KarićG
- 77Didi GauchoD
- 88Adin MolnarM
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7A. SanyangM
- 8N. SigurM
- 9DaliM
- 11M. ŠegoF
- 14R. RaciD
- 15D. MarešićD
- 21R. PukštasM
- 22M. AcapandiéD
- 23M. ŠotičekM
- 32Š. HrgovićD
- 33T. SilićG
Substitutes
- 1I. IvušićG
- 3Roko GabrićD
- 5A. Van HoorenbeeckD
- 10M. LivajaF
- 16A. SutaloM
- 17D. MelnjakD
- 19E. BrrutiM
- 20Alberto del MoralM
- 26A. GuramM
- 36M. SkelinD
- 38L. HodakD
- 44D. StipicaG
Raków Częstochowa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahir Emreli | F | 119 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Michael Ameyaw | M | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Lamine Diaby | F | 105 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Fran Tudor(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stratos Svarnas | D | 119 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kacper Trelowski | G | 119 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Racovițan | D | 119 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Erick Otieno | M | 49 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Patryk Makuch | F | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Oskar Repka | M | 119 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Karol Struski | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Didí Gaucho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jerzy Napieraj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Żołneczko | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Jendryka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarik Karić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomasz Pieńko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wladyslaw Kocherhin | M | 48 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Oliwier Kwiatkowski | M | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Silva | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Arvid Brorsson | D | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ádin Molnár | M | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Isak Brusberg | F | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
HNK Hajduk Split
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rokas Pukštas | M | 119 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ron Raçi | D | 119 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Dalisson de Almeida | M | 71 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Toni Silić | G | 119 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michele Šego(C) | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dario Marešić | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mathieu Acapandié | D | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marin Šotiček | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Niko Sigur | M | 119 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Šimun Hrgović | D | 119 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dante Stipica | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivica Ivušić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roko Gabrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Hodak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Etnik Brruti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Skelin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Melnjak | D | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto del Moral | M | 48 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anđelo Šutalo | M | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | D | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Adam Huram | M | 40 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Marko Livaja | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |