Racing Santander vs Valencia
Match recap
Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2 in their La Liga fixture. Zabiri and Martín scored for Racing Santander; Dani Raba and Otorbi replied for Valencia. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.32 for Racing Santander versus 1.10 for Valencia. Racing Santander sit 15th in the La Liga table while Valencia are 19th.
Outcome probability
Racing Santander and Valencia face off in the eighth round of the regular season, with Racing showing better form and a potent attack at home. This match promises goals and a clear edge for the home side.
Match factors
Racing Santander's prolific striker advantage
Mohamed Zabiri's 6 goals in 6 games and strong home form give Racing a clear attacking edge
Creative midfield presence of Iñigo Vicente
Vicente's 2 assists and high passing accuracy (73%) underpin Racing's attacking creativity
Valencia missing key defender César Tárrega
Tárrega's absence weakens Valencia's defense, increasing vulnerability to Racing's attack
Racing's better recent home scoring form
Racing averages 2.33 goals per home game, significantly higher than Valencia's 0.5 away goals
Defensive solidity from Jorge Salinas and Iván Martín
Their above-average tackling and interceptions help Racing control midfield and defense
The context
Racing Santander currently sit 16th in the league with 7 points from 7 games, while Valencia are struggling in 19th place with just 4 points from 6 matches. Both teams have had their share of challenges, but Racing's home performances have been notably stronger.
Key insights
Mohamed Zabiri
Racing Santander
Zabiri's 6 goals in 6 games, including 5 at home, give Racing a clear attacking edge.
La Liga 26/276 goals in 6 appearances, 5 goals at home
Iñigo Vicente
Racing Santander
Vicente's 2 assists and 73% passing accuracy underpin Racing's attacking creativity.
La Liga 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 73% passing accuracy
Jorge Salinas
Racing Santander
Salinas' strong defensive stats help Racing control midfield and defense.
La Liga 26/2720 tackles and 9 interceptions in 6 games
Analysis
Racing Santander's Mohamed Zabiri leads the charge with 6 goals in 6 games, including 5 at home, making him a key threat. Midfielder Iñigo Vicente's creativity, with 2 assists and high passing accuracy, further boosts their attacking potential. Valencia, missing key defender César Tárrega, face defensive vulnerabilities. Racing's defensive duo Jorge Salinas and Iván Martín provide solidity, helping control the midfield and defense. The home side's average of 2.33 goals per home game contrasts sharply with Valencia's 0.5 away goals, highlighting the attacking advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Racing Santander are 16th with 7 points from 7 games (W2 D1 L4).
- 2.Valencia are 19th with 4 points from 6 games (W1 D1 L4).
- 3.Mohamed Zabiri has scored 6 goals in 6 games, including 5 at home.
- 4.Iñigo Vicente leads Racing with 2 assists and 73% passing accuracy.
- 5.Valencia are missing key defender César Tárrega.
- 6.Racing averages 2.33 goals per home game this season.
- 7.Valencia have scored only 0.5 goals per away game this season.
- 8.Jorge Salinas and Iván Martín provide strong defensive support for Racing.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favors a home win with a 3-1 final score. A 1-0 halftime lead is expected, aligning well with the final result. Racing's attacking edge and home form make them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Racing Santander
Away — Valencia
No standout top scorers flagged for Valencia
The verdict
Expect Racing Santander to continue their strong home performances and capitalize on Valencia's defensive issues. A confident 3-1 victory looks on the cards, with Zabiri likely to be the star man.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 20:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dani Raba
Assist: de Haas
Ramón
Yellow Card
Zabiri
Assist: Vicente
Salinas
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Dani Raba
Yellow Card
Diakhaby
Martín
Original decision changed
Ugrinic
Dani Raba
André Almeida
Ramón
Otorbi
Assist: Javi Guerra
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
Canales
Javi Guerra
Pablo Maffeo
Prati
Zabiri
Martín
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Álvaro MantillaD
- 5Pablo RamónD
- 8André AlmeidaM
- 10Iñigo VicenteM
- 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 17Jorge SalinasD
- 18M. PratiM
- 20Sergio CanalesM
- 21M. ZabiriF
- 23Iván MartínM
- 24J. BelocianD
Substitutes
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 4Manu HernandoD
- 6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
- 7G. GuliashviliF
- 9Juan Carlos AranaF
- 11Andrés MartínF
- 12Asier VillalibreF
- 14M. GueyeM
- 15Pablo GarcíaF
- 16Facundo GonzálezD
- 19Iker LuqueF
- 31Laro GómezG
Valencia
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 2G. RodríguezM
- 4M. DiakhabyD
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 12J. de HaasD
- 14José GayàD
- 18PepeluD
- 19Dani RabaM
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 24Pablo MaffeoD
Substitutes
- 5César TárregaD
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 10H. ElliottM
- 15A. DiengM
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 25K. van OevelenG
- 27David OtorbiF
- 33Aaron MayolM
- 36Iker CórdobaD
- 37Aimar BlázquezF
- 39R. SatoM
Racing Santander
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Martín | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Zabiri | F | 87 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Iñigo Vicente | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3/3 |
| M. Prati | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Pablo García | F | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Andrés Martín | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Asier Villalibre | F | 3 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Almeida | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Canales | M | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Aarón Martín | D | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Mantilla | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ramón | D | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julen Agirrezabala | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Salinas | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Gueye | M | 3 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Hernando | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Sainz-Maza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Carlos Arana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Guliashvili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Laro Gómez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Otorbi | F | 32 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | M | 58 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/5 |
| J. de Haas | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Javi Guerra | M | 85 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| A. Danjuma | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Pepelu | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| José Gayà | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hugo Duro | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Diakhaby | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Elliott | M | 32 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Dieng | M | 5 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 86 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| César Tárrega | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. van Oevelen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Mayol | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Córdoba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sato | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aimar Blázquez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Racing Santander vs Valencia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Racing Santander to win against Valencia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Racing Santander vs Valencia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Racing Santander 3–1 Valencia.
- What were the win probabilities for Racing Santander vs Valencia?
- Fipster's model gave Racing Santander a 85% chance of winning, Valencia a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.