QPR vs Swansea
QPR steamroll Swansea with Kone hat-trick
R. Kone's early treble sets the tone for a dominant home victory.
QPR delivered a commanding 5-0 win over Swansea, powered by R. Kone's hat-trick within the first 15 minutes, including a penalty. J. Dunne added two more goals, one just before half-time and another late on, sealing a comprehensive victory. While Fipster had low confidence in the exact scoreline, the prediction of a QPR win was spot on.
Outcome probability
This upcoming clash between QPR and Swansea promises a competitive encounter as both sides look to assert their league credentials. With Swansea leading the table and QPR eager to climb, expect a match full of tactical battles and moments of individual brilliance.
Match factors
Key Defensive Absences for Both Teams
QPR missing defender D. Cirkin (red card suspension) and several others; Swansea missing defender F. Lissah (suspension) impacting defensive stability
Swansea's Superior Scoring and Defensive Form
Swansea averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, better than QPR's 1.36 scored and 1.09 conceded
QPR's Recent Home Scoring Streak
QPR scored in 4 of last 5 home games but also conceded in 4 of last 5, indicating attacking strength but defensive vulnerability
QPR's Midfield Tackling Strength vs Swansea's Attacking Pressure
QPR's H. Vale shows above average tackling to disrupt Swansea's attackers like M. Yeo, who also contributes defensively
The context
Swansea currently top the league with 23 points from 10 games, while QPR sit fifth with 17 points. Historically, Swansea hold a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 20 matches compared to QPR's 6. Both teams have shown strong form, but Swansea's superior points per game highlights their recent consistency.
Key insights
- H
H. Vale
QPR
Vale's above-average tackling rate helps disrupt Swansea's attacking flow, crucial in a tight midfield battle.
Championship 26/271.75 tackles per game vs league average 1.19 for midfielders
- M
M. Yeo
Swansea
Yeo contributes both offensively and defensively, leading attackers in tackles to support Swansea's pressing game.
Championship 26/273.2 tackles per game and 52.9% duel win rate
- F
F. Lissah
Swansea
Lissah's suspension weakens Swansea's defensive stability, potentially exposing them to QPR's attacks.
Championship 26/270.5 yellow cards per game, currently suspended
Analysis
Despite Swansea's league-leading form and better points per game, QPR's home scoring streak and midfield tackling strength offer them a tactical advantage. Key defensive absences on both sides could influence the match's flow, with QPR's H. Vale standing out for his tackling prowess to disrupt Swansea's attackers like M. Yeo. Swansea's defensive solidity is challenged by the suspension of F. Lissah, while QPR miss D. Cirkin due to suspension, potentially opening spaces for attacking opportunities.
Key facts
- 1.Swansea lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to QPR's 6 in 20 matches.
- 2.Swansea top the league with 23 points; QPR are fifth with 17 points.
- 3.Swansea average 2.30 points per game, outperforming QPR's 1.70.
- 4.QPR have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games but conceded in 4 as well.
- 5.Key defenders F. Lissah (Swansea) and D. Cirkin (QPR) are suspended.
- 6.Midfielder H. Vale averages 1.75 tackles per game, above league average.
- 7.Swansea average 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, better than QPR's 1.36 and 1.09 respectively.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for QPR with a 2-1 scoreline. This result reflects QPR's ability to capitalize on home advantage and Swansea's slight defensive vulnerabilities. However, the match is finely balanced, and the low confidence in this call suggests it could easily swing the other way.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — QPR
Away — Swansea
The verdict
In summary, expect a closely fought match with QPR just edging Swansea thanks to their home form and midfield grit. Fans should prepare for an entertaining contest where small moments could decide the outcome.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 15:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kone
Assist: Smyth
Kone
Assist: Poku
Vigouroux
Yellow Card
Kone
Penalty
Kone
Yellow Card
Just
Yellow Card
Dunne
Assist: Vale
Just
Welsh
Stamenić
Yellow Card
Smyth
Yellow Card
Okopu
Stamenić
Smyth
Vale
Poku
Idah
Kemper
Dunne
Assist: Kone
Kone
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
Match Statistics
QPR
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 11P. SmythM
- 12B. KemperD
- 17K. PokuM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 20H. ValeM
- 22R. KoneF
- 40J. VaraneM
Substitutes
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 7K. DembéléM
- 13C. WardG
- 14K. SaitoF
- 19D. CirkinD
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 26Rayan Jawad KolliF
Swansea
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5B. CabangoD
- 6M. StamenićM
- 7M. WidellF
- 8E. JustM
- 14J. TymonD
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 26F. LissahD
- 30Joseph OkopuF
- 33A. IdahF
- 46S. EustáquioM
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 3J. SeeltD
- 4J. FultonM
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 10Eom Ji-SungF
- 12J. MongaF
- 17Gonçalo FrancoM
- 20Tiago ParenteD
- 31R. StewartF
QPR
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone | F | 87 | 9.4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Dunne | D | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| K. Poku | M | 72 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/4 |
| R. Edwards | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 72 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Charles | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Adamson | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Kemper | D | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cirkin | D | 10 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Dembélé | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| I. Alemayehu | M | 3 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Smyth | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| K. Saito | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Varane | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Morrison | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Idah | F | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 16 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Eom Ji-Sung | F | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Fulton | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Widell | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| S. Welsh | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Franco | M | 26 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Okopu | F | 64 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Just | M | 46 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tiago Parente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Stewart | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win QPR vs Swansea?
- Fipster's AI model predicted QPR to win against Swansea.
- What score did Fipster predict for QPR vs Swansea?
- Fipster predicted a final score of QPR 2–1 Swansea.
- What were the win probabilities for QPR vs Swansea?
- Fipster's model gave QPR a 35% chance of winning, Swansea a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.







