QPR vs Derby
Your time to shine.
Fancy your chances? Challenge a mate on this game.
Challenge a friendAs the regular season unfolds, QPR and Derby prepare to face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture. With QPR sitting comfortably in the top five and Derby struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for an intriguing battle.
The context
QPR currently rank 5th in the league with 14 points from 9 games, showcasing solid form and a positive goal difference of 10. Derby, on the other hand, find themselves 22nd with just 5 points from 8 games, highlighting their struggles this season. This contrast in league standings sets the tone for the upcoming match.
Match factors
QPR's midfield creativity vs Derby's defensive gaps
QPR's Ilias Chair and Rumarn Burrell offer strong attacking creativity against Derby's struggling defense missing key players
QPR's superior goal scoring form
QPR averages 1.22 goals per game with multiple players scoring regularly, while Derby struggles with 0.9 goals and many injuries
QPR's positive scoring streak
QPR has scored in 3 of last 5 matches and maintains a positive scoring streak at home, supporting predicted 2-1 win
Derby's defensive injury crisis
Derby missing key defender Charlie Taylor (out) weakens their backline against QPR's attacking midfielders
Analysis
QPR's midfield creativity, led by Ilias Chair and Rumarn Burrell, poses a significant threat to Derby's defence, which is weakened by injuries including the absence of key defender Charlie Taylor. QPR's scoring form is superior, averaging 1.22 goals per game compared to Derby's 0.9, and they have maintained a positive scoring streak at home. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with QPR's ability to start strong, while Derby's defensive vulnerabilities suggest they may concede twice by fulltime. The match is also expected to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Key insights
Ilias Chair
QPR
Ilias Chair is a key creative hub with 2 goals and 1 assist this season, showing strong impact in home matches.
Championship 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 5 appearances this season
Rumarn Burrell
QPR
Rumarn Burrell provides consistent goal scoring and assists, making him an important attacking outlet for QPR.
Championship 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances this season
Samuel Szmodics
Derby
Samuel Szmodics is Derby's leading scorer with 2 goals, but the team struggles offensively overall.
Championship 26/272 goals in 7 appearances this season
- C
Charlie Taylor
Derby
Derby's defensive injury crisis includes the absence of Charlie Taylor, weakening their backline against QPR's attack.
Championship 26/27Confirmed out due to injury
Prediction
The forecast sees QPR taking the lead by halftime at 1-0 and ultimately securing a 2-1 victory. Key players such as Ilias Chair, who has scored twice this season and contributed an assist, are expected to influence the outcome. Derby's efforts may yield a goal, but QPR's home advantage and form should see them through.
Key facts
- 1.QPR rank 5th with 14 points from 9 games (W3 D5 L1).
- 2.Derby rank 22nd with 5 points from 8 games (W1 D2 L5).
- 3.QPR have a goal difference of +10, significantly better than Derby.
- 4.QPR average 1.22 goals per game; Derby average 0.9 goals per game.
- 5.Ilias Chair leads QPR with 2 goals and 1 assist this season.
- 6.Derby are missing key defender Charlie Taylor due to injury.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
The verdict
In summary, QPR's stronger league position, attacking prowess, and Derby's defensive challenges point towards a home win. While Derby will fight hard, the balance of form and player quality suggests a 2-1 result in favour of QPR.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — QPR
Away — Derby
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 15:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win QPR vs Derby?
- Fipster's AI model predicts QPR to win against Derby.
- What is the predicted score for QPR vs Derby?
- Fipster predicts a final score of QPR 2–1 Derby.
- What are the win probabilities for QPR vs Derby?
- Fipster's model gives QPR a 65% chance of winning, Derby a 17% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 65% confidence — a medium-confidence call.