QPR vs Burnley
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Challenge a friendQPR and Burnley face off in a regular season clash where the home side's recent form and league standing suggest a comfortable win. Burnley, struggling near the bottom, will need more than luck to turn this one around.
The context
QPR currently sit 9th in the league with 20 points from 12 games, boasting a solid goal difference of +16. Burnley, on the other hand, languish in 22nd place with just 8 points and a goal difference that tells a less flattering story. This gulf in form sets the stage for a challenging evening for the visitors.
Match factors
QPR missing key midfielders reduces creative depth
QPR has 6 confirmed outs including midfielders Burrell, Chair, and Madsen, limiting attacking options
QPR's defensive scoring threat from J. Dunne
Dunne's recent 3 goals and high ratings provide QPR an unusual scoring edge from defense
Burnley's defensive struggles likely to be exploited
Burnley concedes 1.92 goals per game with low clean sheet percentage (15%), favoring QPR's attack
QPR's positive home scoring streak supports predicted win
QPR scored in 4 of last 5 home games with average 2.17 goals, showing strong home form
Burnley's key defender K. Walker doubtful, weakening defense
Walker's doubtful status caps his impact probability but his absence would weaken Burnley's backline
Analysis
QPR's attacking threat is bolstered by defender J. Dunne, who has been unusually prolific with three goals this season and a recent standout performance earning a 9.02 rating. Midfielder H. Vale adds creativity and defensive solidity, while R. Kone's recent goal-scoring spree makes him a key figure up front. Burnley's defensive woes, conceding nearly two goals per game, are compounded by the doubtful status of key defender K. Walker, potentially leaving their backline vulnerable. QPR's home scoring streak, averaging over two goals in recent matches, aligns well with the predicted 3-1 scoreline.
Key insights
- J
J. Dunne
QPR
Dunne's recent form includes three goals and a 9.02 rating in the last home win, providing QPR with an unusual scoring threat from defence.
Championship 26/273 goals, 87% passing accuracy, consistent starter
- H
H. Vale
QPR
Vale contributes both defensively and creatively, with above-average tackles and recent assists, making him a key midfield presence.
Championship 26/27Strong defensive stats, recent assists, consistent starter
- R
R. Kone
QPR
Kone is a key attacking threat with multiple goals and assists recently, including a 9.38 rating in the last home win.
Championship 26/27Multiple goals and assists, high shot volume, recent 9.38 rating
- K
K. Walker
Burnley
Walker's doubtful status could weaken Burnley's defence, as he is a strong defender with high tackle and interception numbers.
Championship 26/2716 tackles, 11 interceptions, 85% passing accuracy
Prediction
Expect QPR to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before sealing a 3-1 victory. The match is likely to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Burnley's defensive frailties and QPR's attacking depth should prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.QPR are 9th with 20 points from 12 games (W5 D5 L2).
- 2.Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 12 games (W1 D5 L6).
- 3.QPR have a +16 goal difference, significantly better than Burnley.
- 4.QPR average 1.67 points per game compared to Burnley's 0.67.
- 5.Burnley concede 1.92 goals per game with a low clean sheet rate (15%).
- 6.QPR scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- 7.J. Dunne has scored 3 goals this season with a high passing accuracy of 87%.
- 8.K. Walker is doubtful for Burnley, potentially weakening their defence.
The verdict
All signs point to a confident QPR performance, leveraging their superior league position and form to secure three points. Burnley will need to tighten up defensively and find some attacking spark to avoid a heavy defeat.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — QPR
Away — Burnley
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 17:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 9 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win QPR vs Burnley?
- Fipster's AI model predicts QPR to win against Burnley.
- What is the predicted score for QPR vs Burnley?
- Fipster predicts a final score of QPR 3–1 Burnley.
- What are the win probabilities for QPR vs Burnley?
- Fipster's model gives QPR a 95% chance of winning, Burnley a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.