Qarabag vs Vestri

UEFA Europa League1st Qualifying Round

Qarabag

Full Time
3–0
HT: 2–0

Vestri

Ref: Roman Jitari, MoldovaTofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku · 31,850 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Qarabag 6 0 Vestri
Advances:
Qarabag

Match recap

Qarabag beat Vestri 3–0 in their UEFA Europa League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-0 Qarabag win

Actual

3–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Qarabag 85%Draw 8%Vestri 7%

Qarabag and Vestri face off in the 1st Qualifying Round, with Qarabag aiming to extend their unbeaten run in this competition. Both teams have shown contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for a closely contested encounter.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Qarabag's Defensive Solidity

Qarabag has kept clean sheets in all 4 recent matches, conceding zero goals, indicating strong defensive form.

Form Momentumhigh

Z. Sawo's Goal Involvement

Z. Sawo scored 3 goals and assisted multiple times in recent matches against Vestri, showing excellent form.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Midfield Creativity Fuels Qarabag Attack

Midfielders like R. Almeyda, O. Kashchuk, and Kady have provided key assists and goals, enhancing Qarabag's attacking threat.

Injury Impacthigh

Full Squad Availability for Both Teams

No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so all key players are available to influence the match.

The context

In this competition, Qarabag remain unbeaten in four matches, boasting two wins and two draws while keeping a clean sheet in all games. Vestri, on the other hand, have struggled with two losses and no goals scored, conceding six. Previous head-to-head clashes have seen Qarabag dominate with 3-0 victories in both meetings.

Key insights

  • Z

    Z. Sawo

    Qarabag

    Z. Sawo scored 3 goals and assisted multiple times in recent matches against Vestri, showing excellent form.

    UEFA Europa League 26/273 goals in recent matches vs Vestri

  • R

    R. Almeyda

    Qarabag

    R. Almeyda scored the opening goal in a recent home win against Vestri, contributing significantly to Qarabag's attacking threat.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Scored opening goal vs Vestri

  • O

    O. Kashchuk

    Qarabag

    O. Kashchuk provided the assist for the opening goal against Vestri, highlighting his creative role in midfield.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Provided assist for opening goal vs Vestri

Analysis

Qarabag's defensive solidity is a key factor, having conceded no goals in recent matches. Their midfield creativity, led by players like R. Almeyda and O. Kashchuk, fuels their attacking threat, while forward Z. Sawo has been a standout performer with multiple goals and assists against Vestri. Vestri's difficulties in finding the net and their defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will find it tough to break down Qarabag's organised setup.

Key facts

  1. 1.Qarabag unbeaten in 4 matches in this competition with 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 6 and conceding 0.
  2. 2.Vestri have lost both matches in this competition conceding 6 goals and scoring none.
  3. 3.Qarabag won both previous meetings against Vestri with 3-0 scorelines each.
  4. 4.Qarabag have kept clean sheets in all 4 recent matches, showing strong defensive form.
  5. 5.Z. Sawo has scored 3 goals and assisted multiple times against Vestri in this competition.
  6. 6.Midfielders R. Almeyda and O. Kashchuk have contributed key assists and goals for Qarabag.
  7. 7.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so full squads are available.

Prediction

Expect Qarabag to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, reflecting their strong defensive form and ability to capitalise on chances. The match is likely to be tight, but Qarabag's experience and recent dominance over Vestri should see them through.

The verdict

Qarabag's blend of defensive resilience and creative midfield play makes them favourites to secure the win. Vestri will need to improve their attacking output to challenge effectively, but for now, Qarabag look set to maintain their unbeaten run in this competition.

Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 13:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Qarabag vs Vestri?
Fipster's AI model predicted Qarabag to win against Vestri.
What score did Fipster predict for Qarabag vs Vestri?
Fipster predicted a final score of Qarabag 1–0 Vestri.
What were the win probabilities for Qarabag vs Vestri?
Fipster's model gave Qarabag a 85% chance of winning, Vestri a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.
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