PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II
Match recap
PSV Eindhoven beat Willem II 7–0 in their Eredivisie fixture. Mauro Júnior, Til, Mijnans, van Bommel, Pepi, Sano, and Cornecion scored for PSV Eindhoven. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.55 for PSV Eindhoven versus 1.33 for Willem II. PSV Eindhoven sit 3rd in the Eredivisie table while Willem II are 18th.
Outcome probability
PSV Eindhoven face Willem II in the 11th round of the regular season, with the hosts looking to extend their strong run of form. PSV currently sit comfortably in third place, while Willem II struggle near the bottom of the table.
Match factors
PSV's Defensive Leadership and Passing Edge
Mauro Júnior's high passing accuracy and defensive stats provide PSV with control and stability at the back, aiding build-up play.
Willem II's Scoring Reliance on Devin Haen
Devin Haen leads Willem II with 3 goals this season, but overall team scoring is low, limiting their offensive threat.
PSV's Consistent Scoring Streak
PSV has scored in their last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive form likely to continue against Willem II.
Absence of Sven Mijnans Weakens PSV's Midfield Attack
Mijnans is out due to suspension, removing a recent key goal scorer and creative midfielder from PSV's lineup.
The context
PSV Eindhoven have accumulated 19 points from 9 games, boasting a +15 goal difference, reflecting their offensive and defensive strengths. In contrast, Willem II have just 2 points from 10 games and a -22 goal difference, highlighting their difficulties this season.
Key insights
- M
Mauro Júnior
PSV Eindhoven
Mauro Júnior's high passing accuracy and defensive stats provide PSV with control and stability at the back, aiding build-up play.
Eredivisie 26/2790-92% passing accuracy, 2+ tackles and interceptions per game
Devin Haen
Willem II
Devin Haen leads Willem II with 3 goals this season, but overall team scoring is low, limiting their offensive threat.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 9 appearances, 90 avg mins
Analysis
PSV's dominance is clear from the statistics: they average over two points per game compared to Willem II's meagre 0.20. PSV's defensive stability, led by Mauro Júnior with his impressive passing accuracy and tackling, provides a solid foundation. Meanwhile, Willem II rely heavily on Devin Haen for goals, but their overall attacking threat remains limited. PSV's consistent scoring streak at home further tips the scales in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.PSV Eindhoven rank 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (W6 D1 L2).
- 2.Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (W0 D2 L8).
- 3.PSV have a +15 goal difference; Willem II have -22.
- 4.PSV average 2.11 points per game; Willem II average 0.20.
- 5.PSV have scored in their last 5 home matches.
- 6.Devin Haen is Willem II's top scorer with 3 goals.
- 7.Mauro Júnior leads PSV's defence with high passing accuracy and tackles.
- 8.Willem II's offensive threat is limited beyond their top scorer.
Prediction
Expect PSV to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, with a halftime score of 2-0 and a fulltime result of 4-0. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — PSV Eindhoven
No standout top scorers flagged for PSV Eindhoven
Away — Willem II
The verdict
With their superior form, goal difference, and home advantage, PSV Eindhoven are set to comfortably dispatch Willem II. Fans can anticipate a dominant performance and a clear victory for the hosts.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mauro Júnior
Dekker
Yellow Card
Til
Assist: Obispo
Mijnans
Assist: Dest
van Bommel
Assist: Mijnans
Perišić
Mauro Júnior
ter Avest
van Bommel
Dest
Pepi
Assist: Bajraktarevic
Zarrouk
van Crooij
Stam
Yellow Card
Sano
Assist: Pepi
Til
Uriel van Aalst
Stam
Cornecion
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 23 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2L. GeertruidaD
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 4A. ObispoD
- 5I. PerišićF
- 7R. van BommelM
- 8S. DestM
- 17Mauro JúniorM
- 20G. TilM
- 21S. MijnansM
- 24K. SanoM
- 32M. KovářG
Substitutes
- 1N. OlijG
- 6R. FlamingoD
- 9R. PepiF
- 18F. KostićM
- 19E. BajraktarevicF
- 23M. HansenF
- 25K. SildilliaD
- 27D. ManF
- 31N. FernandezM
- 35A. SantosM
- 37A. BouhamdiF
- 42S. CornecionM
Willem II
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 3F. StamD
- 5H. ter AvestM
- 6C. TwigtM
- 9D. HaenF
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 26M. DelangheG
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 83M. LemmensD
Substitutes
- 2A. CiranniD
- 8K. BoogaardM
- 10J. SchuurmanM
- 11A. CulumF
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 17O. MartinF
- 21W. van der SteenG
- 22Per van LoonM
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 31K. de LeeuwG
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 52T. VilhenaM
PSV Eindhoven
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mijnans | M | 89 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| R. van Bommel | M | 71 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| K. Sano | M | 89 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 89 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mauro Júnior | M | 60 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 29 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| G. Til | M | 78 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Geertruida | D | 89 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Dest | M | 71 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Yarek Gasiorowski | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cornecion | M | 11 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kovář | G | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Santos | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Perišić | F | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Hansen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bouhamdi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kostić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Olij | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Sildillia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Flamingo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Willem II
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Haen | F | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| K. Boogaard | M | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vilhena | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemmens | D | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Twigt | M | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| H. ter Avest | M | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Delanghe | G | 89 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. van Crooij | M | 75 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Ciranni | D | 9 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Et-Taïbi | D | 9 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Zarrouk | M | 74 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per van Loon | M | 27 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Uriel van Aalst | M | 80 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Dekker | D | 89 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | D | 89 | 4.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Stam | D | 80 | 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Verheydt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. van der Steen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. de Leeuw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Culum | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Martin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schuurman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
- Fipster's AI model predicted PSV Eindhoven to win against Willem II.
- What score did Fipster predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
- Fipster predicted a final score of PSV Eindhoven 4–0 Willem II.
- What were the win probabilities for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
- Fipster's model gave PSV Eindhoven a 95% chance of winning, Willem II a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.