PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven secure comfortable win over Heerenveen
G. Til's strike and an own goal seal a 2-0 victory for PSV.
PSV Eindhoven claimed a solid 2-0 victory against Heerenveen in the Eredivisie, with G. Til opening the scoring in the first half and M. Linday's own goal doubling the lead after the break. The result was a controlled performance from PSV, comfortably shutting out their opponents. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was less dramatic than the anticipated 4-3 thriller.
Outcome probability
PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen are set for an electrifying clash in the Eredivisie's eighth round. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, promising a match full of goals and drama.
Match factors
PSV's Midfield Scoring Dominance
Sven Mijnans and Guus Til combine for 9 goals in last 5 games, providing PSV a strong attacking midfield edge
Heerenveen's Reliance on Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow is Heerenveen's top scorer with 3 goals, highlighting their dependence on him for goals
PSV's Recent Scoring Streak
PSV has scored in their last 5 matches, averaging over 3 goals per game, indicating strong offensive form
PSV Missing Key Attackers
PSV is without S. Lammers and A. Pléa, reducing attacking depth and increasing reliance on current top scorers
The context
PSV currently sit second in the league with 16 points from six games, boasting an unbeaten record. Heerenveen, positioned tenth with nine points from seven matches, have been inconsistent but capable of causing upsets. Historically, PSV have the upper hand in their meetings, having won 11 of 19 encounters against Heerenveen.
Key insights
Sven Mijnans
PSV Eindhoven
Sven Mijnans has been a key attacking threat with 5 goals in the last 5 games, including a strong home scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game.
Eredivisie 26/275 goals in last 5 games, 5 appearances, 0.8 avg goals/game
Guus Til
PSV Eindhoven
Guus Til complements the attack well with 4 goals in the last 5 games, showing excellent form away from home.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in last 5 games, 6 appearances, 0.8 avg goals/game last 5
Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow
Heerenveen
Jacob Trenskow is crucial for Heerenveen's attack, being their top scorer with 3 goals and strong away form.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 7 appearances, 0.43 avg goals/game
Analysis
This fixture is expected to be a goal fest, with an average of 3.6 goals in their head-to-head clashes. PSV's midfield duo, Sven Mijnans and Guus Til, have been in fine scoring form, combining for nine goals in the last five games. Heerenveen will rely heavily on Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow, their top scorer with three goals this season. Despite PSV missing key attackers like S. Lammers and A. Pléa, their offensive momentum remains strong, having scored in each of their last five matches.
Key facts
- 1.PSV Eindhoven have won 11 of 19 meetings against Heerenveen.
- 2.PSV are 2nd in the league with 16 points from 6 games (W5 D1 L0).
- 3.Heerenveen are 10th with 9 points from 7 games (W2 D3 L2).
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals, indicating high-scoring affairs.
- 5.PSV have scored in their last 5 matches, averaging over 3 goals per game.
- 6.Sven Mijnans has 5 goals in the last 5 games, strong home form included.
- 7.Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow is Heerenveen's top scorer with 3 goals.
- 8.PSV are missing key attackers S. Lammers and A. Pléa, affecting depth.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for PSV Eindhoven with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-2, reflecting a closely contested first half. The match should feature four cards, indicating a competitive but fair encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — PSV Eindhoven
Away — Heerenveen
The verdict
In summary, expect PSV to leverage their superior form and attacking prowess to narrowly overcome Heerenveen in a match that promises plenty of goals and excitement. Fans should brace themselves for a rollercoaster of a game.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:25 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Til
Obispo
Yellow Card
Linday
Yellow Card
Smans
Rivera
Fernandez
Obispo
Bajraktarevic
Linday (OG)
Kersten
Yellow Card
Vente
Braude
van Bommel
Mauro Júnior
Courtens
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 7 |  Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4A. ObispoD
- 6R. FlamingoD
- 7R. van BommelM
- 8S. DestD
- 17Mauro JúniorD
- 19E. BajraktarevicM
- 20G. TilM
- 21S. MijnansF
- 24K. SanoM
- 31N. FernandezM
- 32M. KovářG
Substitutes
- 1N. OlijG
- 2L. GeertruidaD
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 5I. PerišićF
- 18F. KostićM
- 23M. HansenF
- 27D. ManF
- 35A. SantosM
- 37A. BouhamdiF
- 41Khadim NgomG
- 42S. CornecionM
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. WillemsenD
- 4S. KerstenD
- 7M. RiveraM
- 9D. VenteF
- 14L. SmansM
- 16M. LindayM
- 19V. ZagaritisD
- 20J. TrenskowM
- 22B. KlaverboerG
- 36N. CourtensM
- 45O. BraudeD
Substitutes
- 2M. HilgersD
- 10R. MeerveldM
- 11L. OyenF
- 15M. EgbringD
- 17R. UldriķisF
- 21M. FarjiF
- 23D. BladiD
- 28H. PetrovD
- 29L. MachineF
- 30T. SchreuderG
- 41J. ScholtenD
- 44A. NoppertG
PSV Eindhoven
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kovář | G | 90 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Til | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Flamingo | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dest | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Yarek Gasiorowski | D | 25 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Santos | M | 7 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Cornecion | M | 7 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 65 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Kostić | M | 25 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| I. Perišić | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. van Bommel | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| S. Mijnans | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Khadim Ngom | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bouhamdi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Man | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Olij | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Geertruida | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hansen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heerenveen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trenskow | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Willemsen | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Courtens | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Zagaritis | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| M. Farji | F | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Oyen | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Machine | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vente | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Meerveld | M | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Egbring | D | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Kersten | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Rivera | M | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Smans | M | 64 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| O. Braude | D | 75 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Klaverboer | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Linday | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Scholten | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Noppert | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Petrov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hilgers | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bladi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Schreuder | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted PSV Eindhoven to win against Heerenveen.
- What score did Fipster predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Heerenveen.
- What were the win probabilities for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster's model gave PSV Eindhoven a 56% chance of winning, Heerenveen a 22% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.