PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna snatch late draw at PSV
Michut's stoppage-time strike denies PSV a home win.
Fortuna Sittard fought back from a first-half deficit to earn a 2-2 draw at PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie. O. Romeny's opener for Fortuna was cancelled out by goals from R. Flamingo and N. Fernandez for PSV, but É. Michut's goal deep into stoppage time secured a share of the spoils. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the visitors' resilience.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, PSV Eindhoven face Fortuna Sittard in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides are yet to open their accounts in the league, setting the stage for a tactical battle where every goal will count.
PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard enter this match with no points on the board, ranked 5th and 2nd respectively in the league standings before the first game. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of their 16 meetings, which adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming clash.
Despite Fortuna's higher league position, PSV's historical dominance and home advantage give them the edge. The head-to-head average of 3.9 goals suggests attacking intent, but the prediction leans towards a tight 1-0 scoreline, indicating a match where defences might hold firm and a single goal could decide the outcome.
Prediction
The forecast is for PSV Eindhoven to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory. The confidence level sits at a moderate 39%, reflecting some uncertainty but a clear preference for the home side to come out on top in this opening fixture.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Head-to-Head Dominance
PSV Eindhoven have won 14 of 16 meetings against Fortuna Sittard, indicating strong historical advantage.
Goal Scoring Trends
Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, suggesting potential for scoring but synthesis favors a narrow draw.
League Standings Context
PSV ranked 5th and Fortuna 2nd in league with no games played yet, indicating similar league strength but historical dominance favors PSV.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a cautious start to the season with PSV Eindhoven leveraging their historical advantage to secure a slender win. Fortuna Sittard will no doubt push hard, but the prediction suggests the hosts will hold firm to claim all three points.
- PSV Eindhoven have won 14 of 16 meetings against Fortuna Sittard.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating potential for scoring.
- PSV are ranked 5th in the league with no games played yet.
- Fortuna Sittard are ranked 2nd in the league with no games played yet.
- The predicted scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for PSV.
- The confidence in the home win prediction is moderate at 39%.
- Total cards predicted in the match are three, suggesting a competitive game.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zeefuik
Yellow Card
Romeny
van Bommel
Flamingo
Assist: Perišić
Zeefuik
Til
Mijnans
Fernandez
Assist: Pléa
Man
Yellow Card
Brittijn
van Ottele
Pepi
Dahlhaus
Oukili
Michut
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4A. ObispoD
- 5I. PerišićD
- 6R. FlamingoD
- 7R. van BommelM
- 9R. PepiF
- 10P. WannerM
- 17Mauro JúniorD
- 20G. TilM
- 21S. MijnansM
- 31N. FernandezM
- 32M. KovářG
Substitutes
- 1N. OlijG
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 14A. PléaF
- 19E. BajraktarevicF
- 25K. SildilliaD
- 27D. ManF
- 35J. van den BergM
- 38F. MeriénD
- 51T. SmolenaarsG
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2S. WylinD
- 5Y. OukiliM
- 6S. van OtteleD
- 8J. DahlhausD
- 10O. RomenyF
- 12Ivo PintoD
- 23P. BrittijnM
- 25L. ZeefuikF
- 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
- 31M. BranderhorstG
- 52M. IhattarenM
Substitutes
- 1L. KoopmansG
- 9A. DescotteF
- 20É. MichutM
- 38Moussa GbemouM
- 39Ganni BuyukhanM
PSV Eindhoven
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fernandez | M | 92 | 8.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Mauro Júnior(C) | D | 92 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ryan Flamingo | D | 92 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Perišić | D | 92 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | — |
| Matěj Kovář | G | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armando Obispo | D | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Paul Wanner | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ruben van Bommel | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Guus Til | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Sven Mijnans | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ricardo Pepi | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Esmir Bajraktarević | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabian Merién | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Van Den Berg | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Olij | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijn Smolenaars | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yarek Gasiorowski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiliann Sildillia | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alassane Pléa | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Dennis Man | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Romeny | F | 92 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Mohamed Ihattaren | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ivo Pinto(C) | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Siebe Wylin | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Syb Van Ottele | D | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mattijs Branderhorst | G | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yassin Oukili | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Philip Brittijn | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lequincio Zeefuik | F | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Hubner | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jasper Dahlhaus | D | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ganni Buyukhan | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Moussa Gbemou | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luuk Koopmans | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Édouard Michut | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Descotte | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


