Preston vs West Brom
Preston and West Brom share late spoils
A late flurry of goals sees both sides settle for a point each.
Preston and West Brom fought out a 1-1 draw in the Championship, with A. Hughes putting Preston ahead in the 78th minute only for A. Heggebø to equalise for West Brom shortly after in the 82nd minute. The match ended in a balanced stalemate despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring a West Brom win. This result defied the forecast, delivering a fair share of the spoils for both teams.
Outcome probability
Preston and West Brom face off in the 12th round of the regular season, with both sides looking to improve their league standings. West Brom currently hold a clear advantage in form and goal difference, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Match factors
Preston missing key midfielders weakens creativity and defense
Five confirmed outs in midfield and defense reduce Preston's ability to control midfield and create chances
West Brom's defensive solidity and passing superiority
West Brom defenders have higher passing accuracy and tackle rates than Preston, aiding ball retention and defense
West Brom's positive recent form contrasts Preston's struggles
West Brom has a 54.5% win rate and positive scoring streak; Preston has only 10% win rate and concedes frequently
West Brom's midfielders and defenders dominate duels and tackles
Players like Styles and Phillips outperform league averages in duels and tackles, likely disrupting Preston's attack
Preston attackers lack top scorers in current data
No Preston players appear in topScorers, limiting clear scoring threats compared to West Brom's balanced attack
The context
West Brom sit comfortably in 7th place with 17 points from 10 games, while Preston languish near the bottom at 24th with just 4 points. Historically, West Brom have dominated this fixture, winning 10 of the 14 meetings between the two sides. This season, West Brom's positive momentum contrasts sharply with Preston's struggles, making the visitors favourites despite the low confidence in the prediction.
Key insights
- C
C. Styles
West Brom
Styles leads with a high tackle rate and excellent passing accuracy, anchoring West Brom's defence.
Championship 26/273.6 tackles per game, 84% passing accuracy
- N
N. Phillips
West Brom
Phillips combines strong duel wins and interceptions with precise passing, bolstering defensive stability.
Championship 26/2766% duel win rate, 9 interceptions in 9 games, 88% passing accuracy
- A
A. Devine
Preston
Devine shows solid passing and defensive work for an attacker but lacks the firepower to turn the tide alone.
Championship 26/2779% passing accuracy, 14 tackles, 9 interceptions
Analysis
West Brom's defensive unit boasts higher passing accuracy and tackle rates, with players like Styles and Phillips excelling in duels and interceptions. Preston's midfield is weakened by multiple absences, reducing their ability to control the game and create chances. West Brom's attackers, supported by a balanced team effort, pose a greater threat than Preston's limited scoring options. The statistical edge and current form suggest West Brom will likely secure the win, though the margin remains narrow.
Key facts
- 1.West Brom have won 10 of 14 meetings against Preston, with only 2 draws and 2 Preston wins.
- 2.West Brom are 7th in the league with 17 points from 10 games (W5 D2 L3).
- 3.Preston are 24th with 4 points from 10 games (W1 D1 L8).
- 4.West Brom's goal difference (+2) is significantly better than Preston's (-12).
- 5.West Brom defenders have higher passing accuracy and tackle rates than Preston.
- 6.Preston are missing five key midfield and defensive players, weakening their squad.
- 7.West Brom midfielders and defenders dominate duels and tackles, disrupting opposition attacks.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for West Brom, reflecting their superior league position and historical head-to-head record. While the most probable full-time scoreline is close, the away side's defensive solidity and tactical discipline should see them edge out Preston in a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Preston
No standout best passers flagged for Preston
Away — West Brom
The verdict
Expect a tightly contested game with West Brom's quality and form giving them the upper hand. Preston will fight hard but face an uphill battle against a well-organised West Brom side. The predicted 2-1 scoreline captures the likely outcome, with both teams contributing to an entertaining encounter.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 15:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Whitwell
Yellow Card
Devine
Stewart
Whitwell
Moran
Yellow Card
Potts
Kenny
Hughes
Assist: Leroy
Heggebø
Yellow Card
Myhre
Diakité
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Preston
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1D. IversenG
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 7A. DevineM
- 14J. StoreyD
- 16A. HughesD
- 17S. MillsM
- 24O. OffiahD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 37D. BurgzorgM
- 38J. KennyF
- 44B. PottsM
Substitutes
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 9J. ErabiF
- 10C. LangF
- 11T. SmallD
- 12C. WileyD
- 21L. NichollsG
- 23A. MoranM
- 32Ed NolanD
West Brom
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 2C. MephamD
- 4C. StylesD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 7F. MyhreF
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 9B. StewartF
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 18B. PereiraD
- 21I. PriceM
- 29Harry WhitwellM
Substitutes
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 11J. MorganF
- 13M. IngramG
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 22C. TownsendD
- 23T. BanyF
- 26K. TundeF
- 35M. CrowtherM
Preston
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hughes | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Leroy | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 5/6 |
| O. Offiah | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Storey | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Kenny | F | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Devine | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Moran | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Iversen | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| S. Mills | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Lang | F | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Erabi | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Vukčević | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| B. Potts | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pol Valentín | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Nicholls | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ed Nolan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Small | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Wiley | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
West Brom
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Heggebø | F | 30 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| J. Molumby | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Morgan | F | 30 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| C. Mepham | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| G. Campbell | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Myhre | F | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0/2 |
| I. Price | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | — |
| B. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Stewart | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 2 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Tunde | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. O’Leary | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Whitwell | M | 60 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| T. Bany | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Crowther | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Townsend | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ingram | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Phillips | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Preston vs West Brom?
- Fipster's AI model predicted West Brom to win against Preston.
- What score did Fipster predict for Preston vs West Brom?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Preston 1–2 West Brom.
- What were the win probabilities for Preston vs West Brom?
- Fipster's model gave Preston a 32% chance of winning, West Brom a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.