Norway vs Portugal
Portugal edges Norway in tight contest
João Félix and Gonçalo Ramos strike to secure a narrow win away from home.
Portugal claimed a 2-1 victory over Norway in the UEFA Nations League, with João Félix opening the scoring in the first half and Gonçalo Ramos restoring their lead shortly after Haaland's equaliser early in the second half. Despite Norway's spirited response through Erling Haaland, Portugal held on for the win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Norway home win, proving the visitors' resilience.
Outcome probability
This League A match between Norway and Portugal promises a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to assert their dominance early in the campaign.
Match factors
Haaland's clinical finishing boosts Norway's scoring chances
Haaland scored twice in last match with high rating, likely to lead Norway's attack effectively
Ødegaard's creative playmaking to unlock Portugal's defense
Ødegaard provided 2 assists and high passing volume, key to Norway's attacking transitions
Portugal's defensive solidity reflected in clean sheet and defensive ratings
Portugal kept a clean sheet with Dias and Costa performing strongly, challenging Norway's attack
Portugal's João Félix in good attacking form
Félix scored and had multiple shots with high rating, providing offensive threat for Portugal
No confirmed injuries for either team maintains full strength
Both teams have no confirmed outs, allowing key players to start and impact the match
The context
Both teams have started the competition strongly, each with a 1-0-0 record. Norway have scored three goals and conceded two, while Portugal have kept a clean sheet with one goal scored. This sets the stage for a keenly contested second round fixture.
Key insights
- E
E. Haaland
Norway
Haaland's clinical finishing and high impact make him the key threat for Norway's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored 2 goals in last home match, rated 9.49
- M
M. Ødegaard
Norway
Ødegaard's creative playmaking and high passing volume are crucial to unlocking Portugal's defence.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Provided 2 assists and completed 86 passes in last home match, rated 8.33
- R
Rúben Dias
Portugal
Dias anchors Portugal's defence, contributing to their clean sheet and defensive solidity.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Strong defensive presence with 84 passes and 7.55 rating
- J
João Félix
Portugal
Félix is in good attacking form, providing a significant offensive threat for Portugal.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored in last home match with 4 shots total, rated 8.2
Analysis
Norway's attack, spearheaded by Erling Haaland, who scored twice in their last home match and boasts a high impact rating, looks potent. Martin Ødegaard's creative playmaking, with two assists and a high passing volume, will be crucial in unlocking Portugal's defence. On the other side, Portugal's defensive solidity, led by Rúben Dias and goalkeeper Diogo Costa, who kept a clean sheet in their last match, will test Norway's forwards. João Félix provides an attacking threat for Portugal, having scored and taken multiple shots recently. Both teams are at full strength, which should make for an intriguing tactical battle.
Key facts
- 1.Norway have a 1-0-0 record in this competition with 3 goals scored and 2 conceded.
- 2.Portugal have a 1-0-0 record with 1 goal scored and none conceded.
- 3.Erling Haaland scored 2 goals in Norway's last home match, rated 9.49.
- 4.Martin Ødegaard provided 2 assists and completed 86 passes in the last home match.
- 5.Portugal kept a clean sheet in their last match, with strong defensive performances from Rúben Dias and Diogo Costa.
- 6.João Félix scored and had 4 shots in Portugal's last home match, rated 8.2.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, both at full strength.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Norway with a 2-1 scoreline. This outcome reflects the highest probability home win scoreline, despite the overall low confidence due to limited match history and missing standings data. The match is expected to be closely fought, with Norway just edging out Portugal.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Norway
Away — Portugal
The verdict
Expect a tight contest where Norway's attacking edge and home advantage might just tip the scales. Portugal's defensive resilience will keep them in the game, but the hosts are favoured to claim the three points in this League A fixture.
Prediction generated 24 Sep 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Ryerson
Yellow Card
Félix
Assist: Neto
Yellow Card
Aursnes
Yellow Card
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
Haaland
Assist: Berg
Ramos
João Neves
Conceição
Goal cancelled
Ajer
Yellow Card
Ryerson
Veiga
Yellow Card
Berg
Vitinha
Yellow Card
João Cancelo
Yellow Card
João Palhinha
Nusa
Ramos
Neto
Dias
Yellow Card
Silva
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Norway
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 3K. AjerD
- 6P. BergM
- 7F. AursnesD
- 8S. BergeM
- 9E. HaalandF
- 10M. ØdegaardM
- 14J. RyersonD
- 17T. HeggemD
- 20A. NusaF
- 21A. SchjelderupF
Substitutes
- 2O. BjørtuftD
- 4L. ØstigårdD
- 5F. SjøvoldD
- 11J. Strand LarsenF
- 12S. TangvikG
- 13E. SelvikG
- 15O. Didrik BlombergM
- 16M. PedersenD
- 18K. ThorstvedtM
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 22Oscar BobbM
- 23E. BotheimF
Portugal
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 1Diogo CostaG
- 3Rúben DiasD
- 6João PalhinhaM
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 11João FélixF
- 13Renato VeigaD
- 14Francisco ConceiçãoM
- 15João NevesM
- 18Pedro NetoM
- 19Nuno MendesD
- 20João CanceloD
Substitutes
- 2Diogo DalotD
- 4Tomás AraújoD
- 5Nuno TavaresD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 8Gonçalo InácioD
- 10Bernardo SilvaM
- 12Rui SilvaG
- 16TrincãoF
- 17Rafael LeãoF
- 21Rúben NevesM
- 22Samuel SoaresG
- 23VitinhaM
Norway
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 7 | 4 | — | 0/2 |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| A. Nusa | F | 81 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 7/10 |
| S. Berge | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3/4 |
| T. Heggem | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| P. Berg | M | 72 | 6.1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Ryerson | D | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| F. Aursnes | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Sjøvold | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Selvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Bjørtuft | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Didrik Blomberg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tangvik | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Aasgaard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Botheim | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Portugal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Félix | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | M | 56 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Neto | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Rúben Dias | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Trincão | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/8 |
| Vitinha | M | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 80 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Soares | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Norway vs Portugal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Norway to win against Portugal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Norway vs Portugal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Norway 2–1 Portugal.
- What were the win probabilities for Norway vs Portugal?
- Fipster's model gave Norway a 35% chance of winning, Portugal a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.