Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Lineups

ChampionshipMatchweek 4

Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM GMT+1

DerbyDerby

Ref: S. AllisonFratton Park, Portsmouth · 20,821 cap

Fipster Pick

Home Winhigh

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The new season kicks off with Portsmouth facing Derby in what promises to be an engaging contest. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive opener.

Predicted Scoreline

Pre-Match

3–1

Half-time1–0

Portsmouth Win

HIGH

Confidence

Portsmouth 85%Draw 8%Derby 7%

The context

Portsmouth have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of D. Bielica and M. Milovanović, while losing A. Dozzell and J. Williams. Derby, meanwhile, have added A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and C. Taylor to their squad. This fresh business on both sides adds intrigue to the fixture as they look to make a strong start.

Key facts

1.Portsmouth have signed D. Bielica and M. Milovanović ahead of the new season.
2.Portsmouth have lost A. Dozzell and J. Williams during the summer.
3.Derby have added A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and C. Taylor to their squad.
4.Derby finished higher in the league last season with a better goal difference.
5.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Portsmouth.
6.The fulltime score prediction is 3-1 to Portsmouth.
7.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.

Analysis

Despite Derby's higher league ranking and superior goal difference last season, the prediction leans heavily towards a Portsmouth victory. The home side is expected to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 1-0 halftime score, and extend their advantage to finish 3-1. The match is also anticipated to be competitive with around four cards shown, indicating a lively encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Portsmouth

C. Shaughnessy

Defender

Portsmouth

Total Passes

149

3 played

3 starts

277 mins

~92 mins/game

Z. Swanson

Defender

Portsmouth

Total Passes

136

3 played

3 starts

259 mins

~86 mins/game

N. Schmid

Goalkeeper

Portsmouth

Total Passes

127

3 played

3 starts

277 mins

~92 mins/game

Away — Derby

A. Mowatt

Midfielder

Derby

Total Passes

134

3 played

2 starts

204 mins

~68 mins/game

L. Travis

Midfielder

Derby

Total Passes

132

3 played

3 starts

260 mins

~87 mins/game

Prediction

Portsmouth are forecasted to win 3-1, asserting control from the first half and maintaining momentum throughout. The early goal should set the tone, with Derby struggling to keep pace despite their summer reinforcements.

The verdict

This season opener looks set to favour Portsmouth, who appear ready to make a statement with a confident home win. Derby will need to regroup quickly if they are to bounce back in their next fixture.