Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Portsmouth and Blackburn share spoils in lively draw
Swanson and Bishop keep Portsmouth level against Blackburn's Morishita and Afolayan.
Portsmouth and Blackburn played out an entertaining 2-2 draw in the Championship, with early goals from Z. Swanson and O. Afolayan setting the tone. Blackburn took the lead after the break through R. Morishita, but C. Bishop's strike ensured Portsmouth salvaged a point. The result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Portsmouth win, proving the visitors had more fight than expected.
Outcome probability
Portsmouth and Blackburn face off in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both sides sit near the bottom of the league table, making every point crucial as the season progresses.
Match factors
Portsmouth's Defensive Midfield Strength
Terry Devlin's high tackle rate and duel success provide Portsmouth a defensive edge in midfield battles.
Blackburn's Passing Dominance from Defense
Sean McLoughlin's passing volume and accuracy surpass league averages, aiding Blackburn's build-up play.
Milovanović's Consistent Scoring Form
Marko Milovanović has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, showing reliable finishing for Portsmouth.
Portsmouth Missing Key Midfielders
Portsmouth's midfield is weakened by multiple confirmed outs, increasing reliance on Adams and Segecic.
Blackburn's Creative Midfield Threat
Oladapo Afolayan's creativity and assist potential pose a threat if he overcomes doubtful status.
The context
This fixture sees Portsmouth ranked 18th with 6 points from 5 games, while Blackburn are just behind in 19th with 5 points from 6 games. Their recent head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with Blackburn holding a slight edge having won 3 of their 6 meetings compared to Portsmouth's 2 wins and 1 draw. Matches between these two have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
Key insights
- T
Terry Devlin
Portsmouth
Devlin's high tackle rate and duel success provide Portsmouth a defensive edge in midfield battles.
Championship 26/272.6 tackles/game vs league avg 1.35
- S
Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
McLoughlin's passing volume and accuracy surpass league averages, aiding Blackburn's build-up play.
Championship 26/2772.8 passes/game vs league avg 43.3

Marko Milovanović
Portsmouth
Milovanović has scored 2 goals in 5 games, showing reliable finishing for Portsmouth.
Championship 26/272 goals in 5 appearances, 0.4 goals/game

Oladapo Afolayan
Blackburn
Afolayan's creativity and assist potential pose a threat if he overcomes doubtful status.
Championship 26/271 assist in 6 appearances, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
Portsmouth's attacking threat is led by Marko Milovanović, who has netted 2 goals in 5 appearances and is a key figure in their offensive play. Conor Shaughnessy also poses a threat on set pieces, contributing a goal in 4 games. Defensively, Terry Devlin's high tackle rate and duel success provide Portsmouth with a solid midfield shield. Blackburn's creativity largely depends on Oladapo Afolayan, who has 1 assist but is doubtful for this match, potentially limiting their attacking options. Sean McLoughlin's exceptional passing from defence aids Blackburn's build-up play, but the visitors have struggled to convert chances consistently. Portsmouth's midfield is somewhat weakened by injuries, increasing reliance on players like Ebrima Adams and Adrian Segecic to balance defence and attack.
Key facts
- 1.Portsmouth are 18th in the league with 6 points from 5 games (W2 D0 L3).
- 2.Blackburn sit 19th with 5 points from 6 games (W1 D2 L3).
- 3.In 6 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth have won 2, Blackburn 3, with 1 draw.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game.
- 5.Marko Milovanović is Portsmouth's top scorer with 2 goals in 5 games.
- 6.Terry Devlin averages 2.6 tackles per game, well above the league average.
- 7.Sean McLoughlin completes 72.8 passes per game, aiding Blackburn's build-up play.
- 8.Oladapo Afolayan is doubtful but key to Blackburn's creativity.
Prediction
Given the aggregate probabilities and player form, Portsmouth are favoured to edge this match 2-1. The home side's attacking consistency and defensive midfield strength should be enough to overcome Blackburn's challenge in a tight game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Portsmouth


Away — Blackburn
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with Portsmouth just shading the contest thanks to key contributions from Milovanović and a robust midfield performance. Blackburn will fight hard, but Portsmouth's slight advantages should see them claim the three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Swanson
Afolayan
Assist: Pickering
Pack
Yellow Card
Shein
Atcheson
Yellow Card
Morishita
Assist: Afolayan
Pack
Shaughnessy
Afolayan
Atcheson
Segecic
Bishop
Assist: Kavuma McQueen
Cantwell
Kavuma McQueen
Swanson
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 | |
| 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 7M. PackM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 17T. ShadeF
- 19R. SheinM
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
- 31D. BielicaG
- 55M. DiaD
Substitutes
- 1N. SchmidG
- 5R. PooleD
- 8J. SwiftM
- 9C. BishopF
- 24T. DevlinM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 32E. KennyM
- 37I. MohamedM
- 38E. AdamsM
Blackburn
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 10T. CantwellF
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 17H. CarterD
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 22B. TóthG
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 11J. FevrierF
- 14D. De NeveM
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 30J. GarrettM
- 39H. PatesD
Portsmouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bishop | F | 19 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kavuma McQueen | M | 87 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2/6 |
| R. Poole | D | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bielica | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Swanson | D | 90 | 6.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Meghoma | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Shein | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| T. Shade | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Dia | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Pack | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| I. Mohamed | M | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Swift | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Devlin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Kenny | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Schmid | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Afolayan | M | 68 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Morishita | M | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Fevrier | F | 7 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | F | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| M. Baradji | M | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Pickering | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Alebiosu | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| H. Carter | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 69 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Morsy | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Pears | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Pates | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. De Neve | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Garrett | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Portsmouth to win against Blackburn.
- What score did Fipster predict for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Portsmouth 2–1 Blackburn.
- What were the win probabilities for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's model gave Portsmouth a 50% chance of winning, Blackburn a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.



