Portsmouth vs Birmingham
Match recap
Portsmouth and Birmingham drew 1–1 in their Championship fixture. Segecic scored for Portsmouth; Priske replied for Birmingham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.74 for Portsmouth versus 1.67 for Birmingham. Portsmouth sit 18th in the Championship table while Birmingham are 10th.
Analysis
Portsmouth welcome Birmingham to Fratton Park for what promises to be a tightly contested fixture in the regular season. Both sides have shown resilience and attacking flair, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Portsmouth sit 18th in the league with 55 points, while Birmingham hold a stronger position at 10th with 64 points. Their recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with two wins apiece and a draw in their last five clashes, highlighting the evenly matched nature of this fixture.
The match is expected to be a balanced affair, with both teams boasting key offensive players in Adrian Segečić for Portsmouth and August Priske for Birmingham, each having scored in this fixture. Defensive solidity from Portsmouth's Ibane Bowat and Birmingham's consistent form suggest a tight game. The predicted total of four cards indicates a competitive but fair contest.
Prediction
Our forecast sees the match ending in a 1-1 draw, mirroring the halftime scoreline. With a 35% confidence level, this outcome reflects the teams' balanced head-to-head record and similar goal-scoring capabilities, making a shared point the most likely scenario.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Segecic's Creative Influence
Segecic's high involvement in goals and assists gives Portsmouth a creative edge in midfield.
Bowat's Defensive Solidity
Bowat's defensive metrics surpass league averages, strengthening Portsmouth's backline.
Birmingham's Scoring Streak
Birmingham has scored in last 5 matches, indicating strong attacking form.
Recent Draws Indicate Balanced Contest
Previous encounters ended in draws, suggesting a tight match likely to repeat.
No Key Injuries Reported
Both teams have full squads available, maintaining tactical consistency.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-fought match with both sides cancelling each other out. Fans should anticipate a competitive game with moments of quality from key players, ultimately resulting in a draw that keeps both teams in the hunt for their season objectives.
- Portsmouth and Birmingham have each won 2 of their last 5 meetings, with 1 draw.
- Average goals per match in their head-to-head is 3.0, with Portsmouth scoring 8 and Birmingham 7 in total.
- Birmingham ranks 10th with 64 points, ahead of Portsmouth's 18th place with 55 points.
- Adrian Segečić (Portsmouth) and August Priske (Birmingham) each scored 1 goal in this fixture.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Portsmouth
Away — Birmingham
No standout top scorers flagged for Birmingham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Segecic
Assist: Williams
Stansfield
Priske
Assist: Wagner
Swift
Le Roux
Yellow Card
Ogilvie
Solis
Vicente
Yellow Card
Matthews
Alli
Segecic
Yellow Card
Osayi-Samuel
Yellow Card
Le Roux
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 64 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -14 | 53 |
Match Statistics
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. WilliamsD
- 3C. OgilvieD
- 8J. SwiftM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 14H. MatthewsD
- 16L. Le RouxM
- 17I. BowatD
- 21A. DozzellM
- 27M. AlliM
- 30B. KillipG
- 40J. BrownF
Substitutes
- 1N. SchmidG
- 5R. PooleD
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 7M. PackM
- 20T. WaddinghamF
- 25M. KirkF
- 28R. SwannM
- 36C. ChaplinF
- 38E. AdamsM
Birmingham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4C. KlarerD
- 5P. NeumannD
- 14J. SolisM
- 17I. OsmanM
- 23Carlos VicenteM
- 24T. IwataM
- 25J. BeadleG
- 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
- 28J. StansfieldM
- 29A. PriskeF
- 31K. WagnerD
Substitutes
- 2E. LairdD
- 7T. DoyleM
- 8Paik Seung-HoM
- 10D. GrayF
- 16P. RobertsM
- 20A. CochraneD
- 21R. AllsopG
- 33M. DuckschF
- 37J. PanzoD
Portsmouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Segečić | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/5 |
| Ibane Bowat | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luke Le Roux | M | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Killip | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| John Swift | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayden Matthews | D | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Lee Williams | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Connor Ogilvie(C) | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Millenic Alli | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Jacob Brown | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Reuben Swann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Schmid | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebou Adams | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Makenzie Kirk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Chaplin | F | 69 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Regan Poole | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Shaughnessy | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Pack | M | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Thomas Waddingham | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
Birmingham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Wagner | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Christoph Klarer(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ibrahim Osman | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Phil Neumann | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| August Priske | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jhon Solís | M | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| James Beadle | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomoki Iwata | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Stansfield | M | 17 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Demarai Gray | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Allsop | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marvin Ducksch | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Roberts | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Panzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Cochrane | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Laird | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Tommy Doyle | M | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |