Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City
Match recap
Portland Timbers beat Sporting Kansas City 6–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Velde, Kelsy, Bassett, Davis, Lassiter, and Kelsy scored for Portland Timbers. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.50 for Portland Timbers versus 0.49 for Sporting Kansas City. Portland Timbers sit 11th in the Major League Soccer table while Sporting Kansas City are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-2 Portland Timbers win
Actual
6–0
Outcome probability
Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City face off in this Regular Season - 13 fixture, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Portland currently sits 10th with 33 points, while Sporting Kansas City lingers in 15th with 22 points. Expect an entertaining clash as Portland's attacking trio looks to exploit Sporting's defensive vulnerabilities.
Match factors
Portland's attacking trio in strong form
Kelsy, Velde, and Lassiter combine for 22 goals this season, driving Portland's offense effectively
André Luiz's scoring surge boosts Sporting KC
André Luiz has 7 goals in 7 games, providing a potent attacking threat for Sporting Kansas City
Portland's defense weakened by multiple absences
Key defenders Bye, Surman, and others are out, potentially exposing Portland's backline
Sporting KC's consistent scoring streak
Sporting Kansas City has scored in their last 5 matches, showing offensive resilience despite defensive struggles
David Pereira da Costa's creative influence
David Pereira da Costa leads Portland with 7 assists, key to unlocking Sporting KC's defense
The context
Portland Timbers have a solid head-to-head record against Sporting Kansas City, winning 10 of their 20 encounters. The average goals per match between these sides is 3.3, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. Portland's goal difference of -3 is notably better than Sporting's -33, reflecting their relative defensive stability this season.
Key insights
Kevin Kelsy
Portland Timbers
Top scorer for Portland with 9 goals, including 2 in this fixture, showing strong home form and key goal involvement.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 20 apps, 0.45 goals/game
David Pereira da Costa
Portland Timbers
Leading assister with 7 assists, creative hub unlocking Sporting KC's defence effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 24 apps, 0.29 assists/game
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers
Contributed 8 goals and 6 assists this season, vital in build-up play and attacking output.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 27 apps, 0.30 goals/game
André Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
Exceptional scoring rate with 7 goals in 7 games, key offensive threat despite team's struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 7 apps, 1.00 goals/game
Analysis
Portland's offensive strength is led by Kevin Kelsy, who has netted 9 goals this season and scored twice in this fixture. Alongside Kristoffer Velde and A. Lassiter, they form a potent attacking trio responsible for 22 goals this campaign. Midfielder David Pereira da Costa's creativity, with 7 assists, is key to unlocking Sporting's defence. Sporting Kansas City's André Luiz has been in fine form with 7 goals in 7 games, but their defensive frailties and multiple absences in defence may prove costly.
Key facts
- 1.Portland Timbers have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Sporting Kansas City.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 total goals, with Portland scoring 38 and Sporting Kansas City 28.
- 3.Portland Timbers are ranked 10th in their league with 33 points from 28 games.
- 4.Sporting Kansas City are ranked 15th in their league with 22 points from 28 games.
- 5.Portland Timbers have a better goal difference (-3) than Sporting Kansas City (-33) this season.
- 6.Kevin Kelsy scored 2 goals in this fixture for Portland Timbers.
Prediction
We predict a home win for Portland Timbers with a final scoreline of 4-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, consistent with Portland's ability to start strong and maintain pressure. The match should feature moderate disciplinary action, with around 4 cards expected. Portland's attacking firepower and home advantage should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Portland Timbers
Away — Sporting Kansas City
The verdict
In summary, Portland Timbers' attacking trio and creative midfield presence give them the edge over Sporting Kansas City. Despite Sporting's recent scoring streak, their defensive issues and Portland's superior goal difference suggest a convincing home victory. Fans can look forward to an entertaining, goal-filled encounter.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Velde
Assist: Pereira da Costa
Kelsy
Assist: Pereira da Costa
Johnsen
Yellow Card
Bassett
Assist: Kelsy
Davis (OG)
Caicedo
Yellow Card
Davis
Yellow Card
Reid
Yellow Card
Manu García
Suleymanov
Caicedo
Bartlow
Yellow Card
Johnsen
Bassett
Pereira da Costa
Fory
Antony
Lassiter
Joveljić
Kelsy
Assist: Lassiter
Capita
Yellow Card
Capita
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4K. MillerD
- 5B. ByeD
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 11AntonyM
- 17C. BassettM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 27J. ForyD
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 41J. PantemisG
- 99K. VeldeM
Substitutes
- 6A. BonetigD
- 7A. LassiterF
- 9F. MoraF
- 16S. JuraD
- 21D. CharáM
- 23Ian SmithD
- 25T. MuseG
- 28A. AravenaF
- 80J. OrtizM
Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4L. JohnsenM
- 6Manu GarcíaF
- 7CapitaM
- 8J. DavisD
- 9D. JoveljićF
- 16J. BartlettM
- 23E. BartlowD
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 30S. ClevelandG
- 93M. SuleymanovM
- 99J. ReidD
Substitutes
- 1J. PulskampG
- 2I. JamesD
- 11C. HarrisF
- 14M. TschantretM
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 22Z. BassongD
- 36R. ScheweG
- 41P. LurotD
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0/1 |
| Cole Bassett | M | 61 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kamal Miller(C) | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 61 | 7.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Pantemis | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 61 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| José Caicedo | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jímer Fory | D | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brandon Bye | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Felipe Mora | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sawyer Jura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bonetig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Lassiter | F | 29 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Chará | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
Sporting Kansas City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejan Joveljić(C) | F | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Lasse Berg Johnsen | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu García | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Shapi Suleymanov | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Bartlett | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Capita | M | 76 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Cleveland | G | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Reid | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Davis | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| John Pulskamp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Macielo Tschantret | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Schewe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierre Lurot | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylor Calheira | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Afrifa | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ian James | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zorhan Bassong | D | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Portland Timbers to win against Sporting Kansas City.
- What score did Fipster predict for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Portland Timbers 4–2 Sporting Kansas City.
- What were the win probabilities for Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster's model gave Portland Timbers a 93% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City a 3% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 93% confidence — a high-confidence call.