Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Match recap
Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy drew 1–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Velde scored for Portland Timbers; João Klauss replied for Los Angeles Galaxy. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.40 for Portland Timbers versus 1.76 for Los Angeles Galaxy. Portland Timbers sit 11th in the Major League Soccer table while Los Angeles Galaxy are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-2 Portland Timbers win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Portland Timbers
Away — Los Angeles Galaxy
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Velde
Assist: Antony
Card upgrade
Miller
Red Card
Kelsy
João Klauss
Assist: Reus
Bye
Yellow Card
Thommy
Yamane
Velde
Pereira da Costa
Wynder
Aude
Smith
Yellow Card
Bonetig
Yellow Card
Antony
Sanabria
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4K. MillerD
- 5B. ByeD
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 11AntonyM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 21D. CharáM
- 27J. ForyD
- 41J. PantemisG
- 80J. OrtizM
- 99K. VeldeM
Substitutes
- 6A. BonetigD
- 7A. LassiterF
- 9F. MoraF
- 15E. MillerD
- 23Ian SmithD
- 25T. MuseG
- 28A. AravenaF
- 73E. IzoitaM
- 88Andrew GuerraF
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. YamaneD
- 3J. AudeD
- 6E. CerrilloM
- 11Gabriel PecM
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 15J. HaakD
- 18M. ReusM
- 22E. WynderM
- 25C. GarcésD
- 27E. ThommyM
- 99João KlaussF
Substitutes
- 1N. MićovićG
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 9Matheus NascimentoF
- 14J. NelsonD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 19M. CuevasD
- 24R. RamosF
- 26Harbor MillerD
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Pantemis | G | 94 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | M | 68 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Diego Chará(C) | M | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jímer Fory | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brandon Bye | D | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Antony Alves | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David da Costa | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kamal Miller | D | 19 | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gage Guerra | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Lassiter | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Izoita | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bonetig | D | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Mora | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 94 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Carlos Garcés | D | 94 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Erik Thommy | M | 63 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Julián Aude | D | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Justin Haak | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Klauss | F | 94 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Pec | M | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Miki Yamane | D | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Reus(C) | M | 94 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | 0/1 |
| James Marcinkowski | G | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Isaiah Parente | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Ramos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novak Mićović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maya Yoshida | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Nelson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Nascimento | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cuevas | D | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Portland Timbers to win against Los Angeles Galaxy.
- What score did Fipster predict for Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Portland Timbers 4–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
- What were the win probabilities for Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Fipster's model gave Portland Timbers a 95% chance of winning, Los Angeles Galaxy a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.