Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
Portland and Dallas share spoils in MLS thriller
A late equaliser from Felipe Mora ensured Portland Timbers salvaged a point against FC Dallas.
FC Dallas looked set for victory with goals from P. Delgado just after the break and P. Musa late on, but Portland Timbers fought back with K. Kelsy and a 90+2' strike from F. Mora to secure a 2-2 draw. The result defied Fipster's confident prediction of a 3-2 home win, proving once again that MLS matches can be as unpredictable as British weather.
Analysis
The Portland Timbers face off against FC Dallas in what promises to be a high-scoring affair. Both teams have shown attacking prowess this season, but Portland's home advantage and recent form suggest they will just about come out on top.
Portland Timbers sit 13th in the league with 14 points from 14 games, while FC Dallas are comfortably placed 4th with 25 points from 15 matches. Despite Dallas's superior points-per-game and goal difference, Portland's home form and attacking midfield creativity could prove decisive.
Portland's attacking threat is spearheaded by Kevin Kelsy, who boasts multiple goals and assists recently, making him a key figure at home. Creative midfielders David Pereira Da Costa and Cole Bassett provide the ammunition, exploiting FC Dallas's moderate defensive solidity. FC Dallas rely heavily on Petar Musa, their top scorer, and defensive stalwart Kamal Miller to keep things tight. However, Portland's ability to score early and maintain pressure is likely to tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction
The prediction leans heavily towards a Portland Timbers home win with a 3-2 scoreline, supported by a 95% confidence level. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, indicating an open and competitive first half. Expect four cards in total, suggesting a fiercely contested match.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Portland's attacking midfield creativity vs FC Dallas defense
Portland's David Pereira Da Costa and Cole Bassett provide creative threat exploiting FC Dallas's moderate defensive solidity.
Kevin Kelsy's strong recent scoring form
Kelsy has multiple goals and assists in recent matches, making him a key scoring threat for Portland.
Petar Musa's consistent goal scoring for FC Dallas
Musa leads FC Dallas's attack with multiple goals recently, showing strong finishing and form.
Portland missing O. Fernandez reduces attacking options
Confirmed out O. Fernandez weakens Portland's attacking depth, increasing reliance on Kelsy and Velde.
FC Dallas's defensive solidity with Kamal Miller
Miller's strong defensive stats and recent form provide FC Dallas a defensive edge against Portland's attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, while FC Dallas have the statistical edge in the league, Portland's home advantage and attacking midfield creativity should see them edge this encounter. Fans can look forward to a thrilling, goal-filled match with plenty of drama.
- Portland Timbers are 13th with 14 points from 14 games (W4 D2 L8).
- FC Dallas are 4th with 25 points from 15 games (W7 D4 L4).
- FC Dallas have a significantly better goal difference (+14) than Portland.
- FC Dallas average 1.67 points per game, Portland 1.00.
- Kevin Kelsy has multiple goals and assists recently, key for Portland.
- Petar Musa is FC Dallas's top scorer with strong recent form.
- David Pereira Da Costa leads Portland's creative midfield with multiple assists.
- Prediction confidence for a Portland win is 95% with a 3-2 scoreline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Portland Timbers
Away — FC Dallas
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Miller
Yellow Card
Delgado
Assist: Valiente
Lassiter
Caicedo
Johansson
Yellow Card
Farrington
Moreno
Delgado
Kelsy
Bassett
Kelsy
Valiente
Johansson
Musa
Mora
Assist: Velde
Chará
Yellow Card
Ibeagha
Yellow Card
Bye
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 5 |  Real Salt Lake | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 |  Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4K. MillerD
- 5B. ByeD
- 7A. LassiterM
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 11AntonyM
- 17C. BassettM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 27J. ForyD
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 41J. PantemisG
Substitutes
- 6A. BonetigD
- 9F. MoraF
- 15E. MillerD
- 21D. CharáM
- 23Ian SmithD
- 25T. MuseG
- 28A. AravenaF
- 80J. OrtizM
- 99K. VeldeF
FC Dallas
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 10S. MorenoF
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonD
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 32N. NorrisD
- 42DanielG
- 55KaickM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 9P. MusaF
- 11A. JulioF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 27C. SwannM
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 40J. SiroisG
- 77B. KamungoF
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Kamal Miller | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 81 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Finn Surman | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| José Caicedo | M | 55 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ariel Lassiter | M | 55 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Bye | D | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jímer Fory | D | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| James Pantemis(C) | G | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Bassett | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alex Bonetig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Ortíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Mora | F | 16 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kristoffer Velde | F | 42 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Diego Chará | M | 42 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 16 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrickson Delgado | M | 62 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Christian Cappis | M | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaq Moore(C) | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel | G | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nolan Norris | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Logan Farrington | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Herman Johansson | D | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Caleb Swann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sirois | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson Julio | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 35 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Bernard Kamungo | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Sam Sarver | F | 35 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |