Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc stuns Plzen with early blitz
Three first-half strikes set Sigma on course for a narrow win.
Sigma Olomouc took control early with goals from A. Ghali and D. Tkáč before V. Sejk added a third shortly after the break, putting Plzen on the back foot. Despite a late goal from B. Faal and an own goal by A. Sylla, Plzen's missed penalty in stoppage time proved costly. The 3-2 result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Plzen win, marking a notable upset in the Czech Liga.
Outcome probability
Plzen and Sigma Olomouc face off in the Czech league's eighth round, with both sides eager to climb the table. Sigma currently hold the upper hand in the standings, but Plzen's attacking options promise an exciting contest.
Match factors
Plzen's attacking midfield depth
Plzen has multiple midfielders with goal and assist contributions, providing varied attacking options
Amar Memić's assist threat
Memić's 3 assists in 6 games exceed league average for defenders, boosting Plzen's chance creation
Sigma's strong home scoring form
Sigma has scored in 3 consecutive home games, led by Baráth and Sejk's recent goals
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so teams can field strongest lineups
The context
Sigma Olomouc sit fourth in the league with 13 points from seven games, while Plzen are ninth with 10 points. Historically, Plzen have dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning 13 of 19 matches, though recent data suggests Sigma could start strong.
Key insights
Christophe Kabongo
Plzen
Top scorer for Plzen with 3 goals in 5 games, providing a key attacking threat at home.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game
Amar Memić
Plzen
Leading assister with 3 assists in 6 games, boosting Plzen’s chance creation especially from set-pieces.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 6 appearances, 0.5 assists/game
Péter Baráth
Sigma Olomouc
Consistent starter and leading scorer with 3 goals in 7 games, spearheading Sigma’s attack.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 7 appearances, 0.43 goals/game
Analysis
Despite Sigma's higher league position and a plausible halftime lead of 1-0, Plzen's attacking midfield depth and key players like Christophe Kabongo and Amar Memić provide them with the tools to stage a comeback. Kabongo leads Plzen's scoring charts with three goals in five games, while Memić's three assists in six appearances highlight his creative threat. Sigma's Péter Baráth and Václav Sejk have been reliable scorers, but Plzen's varied attacking options and home advantage should see them edge the match.
Key facts
- 1.Plzen have won 13 of 19 head-to-head matches against Sigma Olomouc.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match stand at 2.6, aligning with the predicted 3 goals.
- 3.Sigma Olomouc rank 4th in the league with 13 points from 7 games.
- 4.Plzen are 9th with 10 points from 7 games (2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss).
- 5.Christophe Kabongo is Plzen's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 appearances.
- 6.Amar Memić leads Plzen's assists with 3 in 6 games.
- 7.Péter Baráth is Sigma's leading scorer with 3 goals in 7 games.
- 8.Both teams have full squad availability for this match.
Prediction
We predict Plzen will overturn a 0-1 halftime deficit to win 2-1 by full time. The home side's ability to create chances and convert them, combined with Sigma's defensive vulnerabilities, points to a thrilling second-half comeback.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Plzen
Away — Sigma Olomouc
The verdict
This encounter promises goals and drama, with Plzen's resilience likely to shine through. Fans can expect a tightly contested match where the home side's attacking prowess makes the difference in the end.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Krivak
Ghali
Assist: Sejk
Yellow Card
Sylla (OG)
Soldo
Yellow Card
Tkáč
Penalty confirmed
Červ
Missed Penalty
Unknown
Sejk
Assist: Hadaš
Ghali
Yellow Card
Lawal
Ladra
Gabriel
Soldo
Červ
Hrošovský
Beran
Yellow Card
Tkáč
Faal
Assist: Sojka
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Sigma Olomouc | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Teplice | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Baník Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Plzen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2T. PališčákD
- 6L. ČervM
- 7S. LawalF
- 12A. SojkaM
- 14Merchas DoskiD
- 17P. HrošovskýM
- 18T. LadraM
- 29A. GabrielD
- 40S. DwehD
- 44F. WiegeleG
- 99A. MemićM
Substitutes
- 9D. VišinskýM
- 10M. ToureF
- 13M. TvrdoňG
- 19C. SouaréM
- 20Jiří Maxim PanošM
- 23B. FaalF
- 25C. KabongoF
- 30V. BaierG
- 36S. PirgiÄM
- 80P. AduF
- 98F. PrebslD
Sigma Olomouc
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2A. SyllaD
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 7M. BeranM
- 10V. SejkF
- 14M. SoldoM
- 23F. KrivakF
- 33M. MalýD
- 39D. JanošekF
- 70A. GhaliM
- 91Jan KoutnýG
Substitutes
- 6J. ŠípM
- 8J. SpáčilM
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 17J. DembeF
- 19Daniel BaratF
- 22M. HadašD
- 24D. TkáčM
- 26S. NoumbissieD
- 29A. EkerothD
- 98M. HruškaG
Plzen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sojka | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| B. Faal | F | 27 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dweh | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Adu | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. Kabongo | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| P. Hrošovský | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Lawal | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gabriel | D | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| L. Červ | M | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Pališčák | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/4 |
| A. Memić | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jiří Maxim Panoš | M | 20 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. PirgiÄ | M | 18 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ladra | M | 63 | 5.6 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| F. Wiegele | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tvrdoň | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Souaré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Prebsl | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Višinský | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Baier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sigma Olomouc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sejk | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Tkáč | M | 73 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| L. Lurvink | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jan Koutný | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Ghali | M | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| H. Mikaelsson | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Krivak | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Malý | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Janošek | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Beran | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Soldo | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hadaš | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Šíp | M | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sylla | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Noumbissie | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hruška | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Spáčil | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ekeroth | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dembe | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Barat | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Plzen to win against Sigma Olomouc.
- What score did Fipster predict for Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Plzen 2–1 Sigma Olomouc.
- What were the win probabilities for Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?
- Fipster's model gave Plzen a 65% chance of winning, Sigma Olomouc a 17% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 65% confidence — a medium-confidence call.