Plzen vs Pardubice
Pardubice snatch shock win at Plzen
S. Ďatko's early strike and a Kabongo own goal secure a surprise away victory.
Pardubice stunned the home crowd by taking a 2-0 lead through S. Ďatko's early goal and an own goal by C. Kabongo before Plzen's A. Memić pulled one back after the break. Despite Plzen's efforts, Pardubice held on for a narrow 2-1 win, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable home victory.
Outcome probability
Plzen and Pardubice face off in the 12th round of the regular season, with Plzen expected to assert their superiority early and maintain it to the final whistle.
Match factors
Plzen's attacking trio in strong form
Kabongo, Memić, and Hrošovský combine goal scoring and creative assists, boosting home attack potential
Plzen's home scoring streak
Plzen has scored in all last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive consistency at home
Drchal's recent scoring impact for Pardubice
Drchal has 2 goals in last 5 games, providing Pardubice with a key scoring threat despite overall team struggles
Mahuta's set-piece creativity for Pardubice
Mahuta's 3 assists from defense highlight his role in Pardubice's attacking build-up and set-pieces
The context
Plzen currently sit 11th in the league standings with 13 points from 10 games, edging out Pardubice who are 12th with 11 points from 11 games. Historically, Plzen have the upper hand, winning 8 of their 12 meetings against Pardubice, with an average of 3.1 goals per match in their encounters.
Key insights
Christophe Kabongo
Plzen
Kabongo is the focal point of Plzen's attack, boasting 3 goals in 9 appearances and strong recent form.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 9 appearances, 0.33 avg per game
Amar Memić
Plzen
Memic contributes significantly for a defender with 2 goals this season, boosting Plzen's scoring options.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals in 9 appearances, 0.22 avg per game
Patrik Hrošovský
Plzen
Hrošovský leads in assists with 3 in 9 games, providing creative spark and key passes.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 9 appearances, 0.33 avg per game
Václav Drchal
Pardubice
Drchal is Pardubice's main attacking threat with 2 goals, crucial for their scoring chances.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals in 10 appearances, 0.2 avg per game
Analysis
Plzen's attacking trio, featuring Christophe Kabongo, Amar Memić, and Patrik Hrošovský, have been in fine form this season. Kabongo leads with 3 goals in 9 appearances, Memić contributes unusually well for a defender with 2 goals, and Hrošovský provides creativity with 3 assists. Plzen have scored in all of their last five home games, indicating strong offensive consistency. Pardubice's main threat comes from Václav Drchal, their leading scorer with 2 goals, and Ryan Mahuta, who is key in set-piece situations with 3 assists. However, Pardubice's overall form and goal difference lag behind Plzen, suggesting a tough outing for the visitors.
Key facts
- 1.Plzen have won 8 of 12 meetings against Pardubice.
- 2.Average goals in head-to-head matches is 3.1.
- 3.Plzen rank 11th with 13 points from 10 games.
- 4.Pardubice rank 12th with 11 points from 11 games.
- 5.Plzen have a better goal difference by 7 goals this season.
- 6.Plzen have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- 7.Christophe Kabongo is Plzen's top scorer with 3 goals in 9 games.
- 8.Václav Drchal leads Pardubice with 2 goals in 10 games.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-1 victory for Plzen, with a halftime lead of 2-0. This scoreline reflects Plzen's expected dominance from the start and their ability to maintain control while Pardubice manage a consolation goal. The match is likely to feature four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Plzen
Away — Pardubice
The verdict
Plzen look set to continue their strong home form and head-to-head dominance over Pardubice. With key players in good form and a solid tactical setup, a 3-1 win seems the most plausible outcome, giving fans a match with goals and some spirited moments.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kabongo
Yellow Card
Halinský
Yellow Card
Ďatko
Kabongo (OG)
Višinský
Jiří Maxim Panoš
Červ
Memić
Assist: Doski
Botos
Ďatko
Hlavatý
Yellow Card
Mahuta
Yellow Card
Memić
Drchal
Hrošovský
Icha
Tanko
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +25 | 31 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 10 |  Bohemians 1905 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Plzen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6L. ČervM
- 9D. VišinskýM
- 14Merchas DoskiD
- 17P. HrošovskýM
- 20Jiří Maxim PanošM
- 25C. KabongoF
- 29A. GabrielD
- 40S. DwehD
- 44F. WiegeleG
- 98F. PrebslD
- 99A. MemićM
Substitutes
- 1D. ŤapajG
- 2T. PališčákD
- 3D. VavroD
- 7S. LawalF
- 10M. ToureF
- 11M. VydraF
- 12A. SojkaM
- 18T. LadraF
- 19C. SouaréM
- 23B. FaalF
- 36S. PirgiÄM
Pardubice
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6M. IchaM
- 15E. GodwinD
- 17V. DrchalF
- 19M. HlavatýM
- 20A. TankoF
- 33D. HalinskýD
- 35S. ĎatkoF
- 37D. KrčíkD
- 40T. BoledoviÄD
- 46V. NeumanG
- 90G. BotosM
Substitutes
- 1J. ŠerákG
- 9D. SmékalF
- 11J. ZimaM
- 12J. TrédlD
- 16T. JelínekM
- 21M. TraoreD
- 25R. MahutaD
- 27M. ReilD
- 43J. NoslinD
Plzen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Memić | M | 69 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Merchas Doski | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| S. Dweh | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Ladra | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| S. PirgiÄ | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Prebsl | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Višinský | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| P. Hrošovský | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | 6 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| B. Faal | F | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Vydra | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Wiegele | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Červ | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jiří Maxim Panoš | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Souaré | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Kabongo | F | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 8 | — | 2 | 3/6 |
| A. Sojka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ťapaj | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Pališčák | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lawal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Pardubice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ďatko | F | 56 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Halinský | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| D. Krčík | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Botos | M | 56 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Neuman | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hlavatý | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Godwin | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Smékal | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Jelínek | M | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Trédl | D | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Drchal | F | 74 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Tanko | F | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/3 |
| M. Icha | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| R. Mahuta | D | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. BoledoviÄ | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Šerák | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Traore | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Reil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Noslin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Plzen vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Plzen to win against Pardubice.
- What score did Fipster predict for Plzen vs Pardubice?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Plzen 3–1 Pardubice.
- What were the win probabilities for Plzen vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's model gave Plzen a 95% chance of winning, Pardubice a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.