Pisa vs Napoli
Match recap
Napoli beat Pisa 3–0 in their Serie A fixture. McTominay, Rrahmani, and Højlund scored for Napoli. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.80 for Pisa versus 1.08 for Napoli. Pisa sit 20th in the Serie A table while Napoli are 2nd.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Pisa host Napoli in a match that looks set to underline the gulf in class between the two sides. Napoli, sitting comfortably in second place, face a Pisa side struggling near the foot of the table.
Napoli come into this fixture with 70 points and a strong goal difference of +59, while Pisa languish with just 18 points and a leaky defence conceding nearly two goals per game. The only previous meeting this season saw Napoli emerge victorious, setting the tone for this encounter.
Napoli's attacking depth and consistent form contrast sharply with Pisa's woes. Key attackers are missing on both sides, but Napoli's squad depth and tactical superiority should see them dominate. Pisa's defender Caracciolo poses a set-piece threat, but Napoli's defence is expected to keep things tight.
Prediction
We confidently predict a 2-0 away win for Napoli, with the scoreline already 2-0 at halftime. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled game. Napoli's quality and recent form make them clear favourites.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Napoli's superior attacking depth
Napoli's attackers have higher scoring rates and more consistent form than Pisa's struggling offense.
Key attackers missing for both teams
Napoli missing top scorer R. Højlund and Pisa missing M. Tramoni and R. Durosinmi, affecting attacking options.
Pisa's defensive frailty
Pisa concedes 1.8 goals per game on average, likely to be exploited by Napoli's strong attack.
Napoli's better recent form
Napoli has a 58% win rate and positive recent results; Pisa is on a long losing streak with poor scoring.
Set-piece threat from Pisa's Caracciolo
Caracciolo's goal scoring as defender suggests set-piece threat Napoli must address.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Napoli's superior league standing, attacking prowess, and recent form point to a straightforward victory on the road. Pisa will need a miracle to upset the odds, but for now, the smart money is on Napoli to take all three points.
- Napoli rank 2nd with 70 points; Pisa are 20th with 18 points.
- Napoli have a +59 goal difference; Pisa's defence concedes 1.8 goals per game.
- Napoli won the only previous meeting this season against Pisa.
- Pisa's top scorer Moreo has 6 goals, but Napoli's attack is more potent.
- Napoli have a 58% win rate recently; Pisa are on a long losing streak.
- Pisa's defender Caracciolo is a set-piece threat with 2 goals this season.
- Total cards expected around 4, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Pisa
Away — Napoli
No standout top scorers flagged for Napoli
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
McTominay
Assist: Højlund
Rrahmani
Assist: Elmas
Elmas
Yellow Card
Calabresi
Yellow Card
Buongiorno
Elmas
Akinsanmiro
Stojilković
Léris
Calabresi
Moreo
Santos
Yellow Card
Caracciolo
Yellow Card
Spinazzola
Santos
Di Lorenzo
Højlund
Assist: Mazzocchi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 |  Napoli | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 73 |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 |  Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Pisa
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3S. AngoriM
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 7M. LérisM
- 8M. HøjholtM
- 14E. AkinsanmiroM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 32S. MoreoF
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 81F. StojilkovićF
Substitutes
- 6M. MarinM
- 9H. MeisterF
- 11J. CuadradoM
- 12NícolasG
- 15I. TouréM
- 17R. DurosinmiF
- 19S. Iling-JuniorF
- 21İ. VuralM
- 22S. ScuffetG
- 23C. StengsM
- 36G. PiccininiM
- 39Raúl AlbiolD
- 42B. BettazziM
Napoli
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 4A. BuongiornoD
- 8S. McTominayM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 20E. ElmasF
- 22G. Di LorenzoM
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 37L. SpinazzolaM
- 68S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 5Juan JesusD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 17M. OliveraD
- 23GiovaneF
- 26A. VergaraM
- 30P. MazzocchiD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Pisa
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehdi Léris | M | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Adrian Šemper | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Angori | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stefano Moreo | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Arturo Calabresi | D | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebenezer Akinsanmiro | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Stojilković | F | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Michel Aebischer | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Malthe Højholt | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Caracciolo(C) | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Canestrelli | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Simone Scuffet | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marius Marin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brando Bettazzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafiu Durosinmi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Albiol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Iling Junior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nícolas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Stengs | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Piccinini | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cuadrado | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Henrik Wendel Meister | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Vural | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Touré | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Scott McTominay | M | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Alex Meret | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 59 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo(C) | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Eljif Elmas | F | 59 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juan Jesus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Antonio Vergara | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |