Pisa vs Lecce

Serie AMatchweek 35
Full Time
12
HT: 00
Ref: Daniele Doveri, ItalyArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa · 17,500 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowMiss

Match recap

Lecce beat Pisa 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Léris scored for Pisa; Banda and Cheddira replied for Lecce. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.23 for Pisa versus 1.14 for Lecce. Pisa sit 20th in the Serie A table while Lecce are 17th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
11
HT 0–0
Final Result
12
HT 0–0
30%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review3 May 2026

Analysis

Pisa host Lecce in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie B fixture. Both teams have struggled for consistency this season, making a draw a likely outcome.

Lecce currently sit 17th with 29 points, while Pisa languish at the bottom in 20th with 18 points. Historically, Lecce have a slight edge with three wins to Pisa's two in their five meetings, but no draws so far. Both sides have injury concerns that could impact their attacking and defensive setups.

Pisa's top scorer S. Moreo leads the attack with six goals this season, supported by playmaker M. Léris who tops the assists chart for Pisa. However, the absence of defender A. Caracciolo due to injury weakens their defensive line. Lecce, missing key players A. Gallo and L. Coulibaly, will find creativity and defensive stability compromised. The expected goals difference is minimal, supporting a draw outcome. Recent form and home advantage for Pisa suggest a tight match with goals at both ends.


Prediction

The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half giving way to goals in the second. The match is expected to be competitive with four total cards, reflecting the intensity and stakes for both teams fighting to climb the table.

Outcome probability

Pisa 28%Draw 44%Lecce 28%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Pisa's key defender Caracciolo missing

Caracciolo's absence due to suspension weakens Pisa's defense and aerial threat.

Injury Impacthigh

Lecce missing top assister Gallo and midfielder Coulibaly

Both players' injuries reduce Lecce's creativity and defensive stability.

Statistical Edgehigh

Moreo leads Pisa's attack with consistent scoring

Moreo's 6 goals and regular starts make him Pisa's main scoring threat.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Léris as primary playmaker for Pisa

Léris' assist record and passing stats position him as key to creating chances.

Form Momentumhigh

Pisa struggles defensively with recent conceding streak

Pisa has conceded in last 5 home games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Takeaways

Both Pisa and Lecce will be eager to avoid defeat, making a draw the sensible prediction. Key players like Moreo and Léris for Pisa, despite injury setbacks, should keep the game lively. Fans can expect a balanced contest with moments of quality from both sides.

  • Lecce lead head-to-head with 3 wins to Pisa's 2 in 5 meetings, no draws.
  • Lecce have a significantly better goal difference (+13) than Pisa (-37) this season.
  • Pisa rank 20th with 18 points; Lecce 17th with 29 points after 34 games.
  • Pisa's top scorer S. Moreo has 6 goals in 33 appearances this season.
  • M. Léris leads Pisa with 3 assists, playing a key creative role.
  • Pisa's defender A. Caracciolo is injured, weakening their defense.
  • Lecce miss top assister A. Gallo and midfielder L. Coulibaly due to injury.
  • Pisa have conceded in their last 5 home games, showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomePisa

S. Moreo

S. Moreo

Attacker

Pisa

Total Goals
6
League avg: 1.04
33 played
25 starts
2037 mins
~62 mins/game
A. Caracciolo

A. Caracciolo

Defender

Pisa

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.04
32 played
31 starts
2808 mins
~88 mins/game
M. Tramoni

M. Tramoni

Attacker

Pisa

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.04
27 played
21 starts
1615 mins
~60 mins/game

AwayLecce

No standout top scorers flagged for Lecce