Pisa vs Genoa

Serie AMatchweek 33
Full Time
12
HT: 11
Ref: Valerio Crezzini, ItalyArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa · 17,500 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawhighMiss

Match recap

Genoa beat Pisa 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Canestrelli scored for Pisa; Ekhator and Colombo replied for Genoa. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.13 for Pisa versus 1.65 for Genoa. Pisa sit 20th in the Serie A table while Genoa are 16th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
11
Final Result
12
HT 1–1
18%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review22 Apr 2026

Analysis

As Pisa host Genoa in this Serie B clash, both teams look evenly matched on paper, promising a competitive game with goals at both ends.

Genoa currently boast a superior points-per-game and goal difference compared to Pisa, highlighting their stronger season form. However, Pisa's home advantage and set-piece threat keep the contest finely poised.

Genoa's leading scorer L. Colombo and Pisa's top marksman S. Moreo are key players to watch, both with six goals this season. Pisa's captain A. Caracciolo adds a set-piece edge, while Genoa's Aarón Martín provides creativity from defence. The absence of Genoa's defender Østigård due to injury could be a slight chink in their armour.


Prediction

The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of the teams and their recent encounters. Both sides have the firepower to score but also the defensive resilience to keep the game tight.

Outcome probability

Pisa 17%Draw 66%Genoa 17%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Pisa's Set-Piece Threat from Caracciolo

Caracciolo's recent scoring form and aerial ability provide Pisa a key advantage on set pieces.

Statistical Edgehigh

Genoa's Superior Assist Creators

Genoa's Aarón Martín and Vitinha lead in assists, enhancing their attacking creativity.

Injury Impactmedium

Genoa Missing Key Defender Østigård

Injury to Østigård weakens Genoa's defense, potentially exploitable by Pisa's attackers.

Form Momentumhigh

Moreo's Consistent Scoring Form

Moreo's steady goal-scoring and recent match ratings suggest he will be pivotal for Pisa.

Head To Head Factormedium

Recent Matches Show Balanced Scoring

Both teams have scored in recent encounters, supporting the predicted 1-1 draw outcome.

Key Takeaways

In summary, expect a hard-fought draw with goals from the main strikers and tactical battles in midfield. Neither side is likely to dominate, making this a classic Serie B tussle.

  • Genoa have a better points-per-game (1.18) than Pisa (0.55) this season.
  • Genoa's goal difference (+30) significantly surpasses Pisa's.
  • In four recent head-to-head matches, Genoa won twice, Pisa none, with two draws.
  • Top scorers S. Moreo (Pisa) and L. Colombo (Genoa) each have 6 goals this season.
  • Pisa's A. Caracciolo is a set-piece threat with 2 goals this season.
  • Genoa's Aarón Martín leads with 5 assists, contributing creatively from defence.
  • Genoa's key defender L. Østigård is injured, potentially weakening their backline.
  • The modal fulltime score prediction is a 1-1 draw with 66% confidence.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomePisa

Total Goals
6
League avg: 1.04
31 played
23 starts
1853 mins
~60 mins/game
Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.04
30 played
29 starts
2624 mins
~87 mins/game
Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.04
26 played
20 starts
1545 mins
~59 mins/game

AwayGenoa

Total Goals
6
League avg: 1.04
32 played
25 starts
1965 mins
~61 mins/game