Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union dominate with clinical 4-1 win
Cavan Sullivan's brace and two penalties seal a commanding victory over Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union delivered a commanding performance in Major League Soccer, cruising to a 4-1 victory over Toronto FC. Cavan Sullivan was the standout, netting twice including an early first-half goal and another after the break, while Q. Sullivan and B. Damiani added penalties to extend the lead. Toronto FC's J. Sargent managed a consolation goal deep into stoppage time, but it was too little too late. Fipster's high-confidence prediction nailed the exact scoreline, proving spot on for this one-sided affair.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its conclusion, Philadelphia Union look poised to deliver a strong performance against Toronto FC. With key attackers in fine form and a solid defensive setup, the Union aim to assert their authority early on.
Match factors
Philadelphia's potent attacking duo in form
Iloski and Damiani combine high goal tallies and recent form, likely to exploit Toronto's defense
Philadelphia's superior assist providers
Westfield and Sullivan provide strong creative support, exceeding league averages for their positions
Toronto's key attackers showing moderate form
Sargent and Sallói have consistent scoring and assisting but face tough Philadelphia defense
Toronto missing key defenders
Franklin and Zimmerman are out, weakening Toronto's defensive stability against Philadelphia's attack
Philadelphia's defensive solidity with Wagner and Jean-Jacques
Strong defensive midfield and fullback pairing to contain Toronto's attackers
The context
This fixture is part of the 34th round of the regular season. Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC have met 20 times previously, with Toronto holding a slight edge in wins. Matches between these sides tend to be lively, averaging 3.5 goals per game, promising an entertaining encounter.
Key insights
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Leads team scoring with 19 goals and strong home scoring rate, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2719 goals in 30 apps, 0.63 goals/game
B. Damiani
Philadelphia Union
Second top scorer with 12 goals and excellent recent form, likely to add to the tally.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 31 apps, 0.39 goals/game
F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Top assister with 8 assists, providing crucial creative support from defence.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 27 apps, 0.30 assists/game
J. Sargent
Toronto FC
Toronto's leading scorer with 8 goals, but faces tough defensive opposition.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 23 apps, 0.35 goals/game
Analysis
Philadelphia Union's attacking duo, M. Iloski and B. Damiani, have been prolific this season, combining for 31 goals and showing excellent recent form, especially at home. Their creative support from F. Westfield and Cavan Sullivan adds to their threat. Toronto FC's key players, J. Sargent and D. Sallói, have contributed consistently but face a weakened defence due to injuries. Philadelphia's defensive pairing, including K. Wagner and D. Jean-Jacques, should contain Toronto's advances effectively.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC have met 20 times, with Toronto winning 9 and Philadelphia 6.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 3.5 goals per game.
- 3.Philadelphia Union's M. Iloski leads with 19 goals this season.
- 4.B. Damiani has scored 12 goals, showing excellent recent form.
- 5.F. Westfield provides creative support with 8 assists.
- 6.Toronto FC's J. Sargent has 8 goals, their top scorer.
- 7.Toronto FC are missing key defenders Franklin and Zimmerman.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours a Philadelphia Union home win with a 4-1 scoreline. The Union are expected to take a 2-0 lead by halftime, reflecting their early control and attacking potency. Toronto FC may find the net once but are unlikely to keep pace with Philadelphia's firepower.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — Toronto FC
The verdict
In summary, Philadelphia Union's blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity should see them comfortably outscore Toronto FC. Expect a high-scoring game with the Union firmly in charge from the outset.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 23:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Sullivan
Assist: Vassilev
Sullivan
Penalty
Goal cancelled
Sargent
Assist: Mihailović
Blake
Lukić
Yellow Card
Sullivan
Assist: Sullivan
Piedrahita
Morgan
Monlouis
Osorio
Yellow Card
Damiani
Penalty
Cimermancic
Lukić
Sargent
Damiani
Bender
Yellow Card
Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Yellow Card
Osorio
Sullivan
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanF
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 68J. GriffinD
- 76A. RickG
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9J. SargentF
- 10D. MihailovićM
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 21J. OsorioM
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 27A. PiedrahitaM
- 38J. GilmanD
- 71M. CimermancicM
- 90L. MorganM
- 96R. ChukwuD
Substitutes
- 3Matheus PereiraD
- 6N. DorschM
- 7T. CorbeanuF
- 11D. EtienneF
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 19K. FranklinD
- 20D. SallóiF
- 44R. EdwardsD
- 77A. De RosarioG
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1/1 |
| Q. Sullivan | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 82 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Alladoh | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Rick | G | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | G | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Anello | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Griffin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sargent | F | 78 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| W. Yarbrough | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mihailović | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| T. Corbeanu | F | 28 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Laryea | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sallói | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Osorio | M | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Gilman | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Monlouis | D | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Piedrahita | M | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Morgan | M | 62 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| N. Dorsch | M | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Chukwu | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cimermancic | M | 74 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | D | 28 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Franklin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Etienne | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. De Rosario | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against Toronto FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Philadelphia Union 4–1 Toronto FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster's model gave Philadelphia Union a 93% chance of winning, Toronto FC a 3% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 93% confidence — a high-confidence call.