Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders
Iloski's strike secures Union win
Philadelphia Union edge out Seattle Sounders with a solitary goal.
A single goal from M. Iloski in the first half was enough for Philadelphia Union to claim a narrow 1-0 victory over Seattle Sounders in this Major League Soccer clash. The match was tightly contested, with the Union holding on to their slim lead. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Analysis
Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders face off in this MLS regular season clash, with the Union looking to capitalise on their recent attacking momentum.
Seattle Sounders currently sit 6th in their league with 24 points from 14 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses), showing solid but not unassailable form. Philadelphia Union aim to leverage their home advantage and recent scoring prowess to climb the table.
Philadelphia's attacking duo, Milan Iloski and Bruno Damiani, have been in fine form, combining multiple goals and consistent shot volume. Iloski, in particular, boasts a 75% probability of scoring, having netted several times recently including penalties. Seattle's defence is weakened by doubtful defenders, which could disrupt their organisation and increase Philadelphia's chances. Meanwhile, Seattle's captain Cristian Roldán, despite being doubtful, remains a key creative force with recent goals and high involvement in build-up play. Philadelphia's defensive solidity and attacking threat are expected to outmatch Seattle's current vulnerabilities.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Philadelphia Union home win with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 2-0. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with an estimated four total cards reflecting a moderately physical encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at 74%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Philadelphia's attacking duo in form
Iloski and Damiani show strong recent scoring form, likely to capitalize on Seattle's defensive vulnerabilities.
Seattle's defensive injuries weaken backline
Multiple confirmed outs in defense reduce Seattle's defensive stability, increasing Philadelphia's scoring chances.
Cristian Roldán's leadership and form
Roldán's recent high ratings and goal contributions boost Seattle's midfield creativity despite doubtful status.
Seattle's doubtful defenders may limit defensive cohesion
Doubtful status of key defenders like Yeimar Gómez and Alex Roldán may disrupt defensive organization if they miss out.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Philadelphia Union's attacking form and Seattle Sounders' defensive doubts set the stage for a 2-0 home victory. Expect the Union to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, securing three valuable points.
- Philadelphia Union's Milan Iloski has a 75% probability of scoring, with multiple recent goals including penalties.
- Seattle Sounders are 6th in the league with 24 points from 14 games (7W, 3D, 4L).
- Philadelphia Union's predicted fulltime scoreline is 2-0, with a halftime lead of 1-0.
- Four total cards are expected in the match, indicating a moderately physical game.
- Seattle's defence is weakened by doubtful defenders, potentially disrupting their organisation.
- Bruno Damiani is a consistent attacking presence for Philadelphia with recent goals and shots.
- Cristian Roldán is a key creative player for Seattle, though his availability is doubtful.
- Philadelphia Union's home form and attacking duo give them a tactical advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — Seattle Sounders
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dotson
Yellow Card
Iloski
Assist: Westfield
Arriola
Kossa-Rienzi
Lopez
Vassilev
Damiani
Dotson
De Rosario
Jean-Jacques
Sullivan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 |
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 39F. WestfieldD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 76A. RickG
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 11A. RusnákM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 17P. ArriolaM
- 26A. ThomasG
- 31H. DotsonM
- 35A. LopezD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 95O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
- 9J. FerreiraF
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 28Y. GómezD
- 45P. KingstonM
- 50M. AnchorG
- 90S. GomezM
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Iloski | F | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Kai Wagner | D | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Geiner Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quinn Sullivan | M | 24 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Arriola | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Stuart Hawkins | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nouhou Tolo(C) | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Antino Lopez | D | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Max Anchor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeimar Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Jesús Ferreira | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |