Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
Iloski's hat-trick powers Union past Orlando
Philadelphia Union dominate early and hold on despite late Orlando rally.
M. Iloski was the star of the show with a penalty and two more goals, including one just after the break, helping Philadelphia Union build a commanding lead. I. Vassilev also contributed to the home side's tally before Orlando City SC's I. Angulo and M. Ojeda scored late goals that proved too little too late. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
As the regular season approaches its final stages, Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC prepare to face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have shown attacking intent in their recent fixtures, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Philadelphia's potent attacking trio in form
Iloski, Damiani, and Sullivan show strong recent scoring form, likely to exploit Orlando's defense
Orlando's reliance on Ojeda and Griezmann for goals
Ojeda and Griezmann lead Orlando's scoring and creative output, key to their attack
Westfield's assist threat from defense
Westfield's 6 assists this season surpass league defender averages, boosting Philadelphia's chance creation
Philadelphia's strong home scoring streak
Philadelphia has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals in this match
Doubtful defender Ndinga's availability uncertain
Ndinga's hamstring injury status is doubtful, could affect Philadelphia's defensive stability if absent
The context
This match is part of the 27th round of the regular season in competition 253. Historically, these two sides have produced lively contests, averaging 3.6 goals per game in their 20 meetings. Philadelphia Union have a slight edge in recent home performances, while Orlando City SC rely heavily on key attacking players to make an impact.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Leads team scoring with 12 goals, including 0.6 goals per game in last 5 home fixtures, making him a key threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 24 apps, 0.5 avg per game
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
In excellent recent form with 5 goals in last 5 games, providing a strong attacking presence.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 24 apps, 0.29 avg per game
Francis Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Top assister with 6 assists, well above average for a defender, boosting Philadelphia's chance creation especially from set pieces.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 20 apps, 0.3 avg per game
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Leading scorer for Orlando with 11 goals, key to their offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 19 apps, 0.58 avg per game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Creative midfielder with 6 goals in 8 games, strong recent form with 5 goals in last 5 matches.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 8 apps, 0.75 avg per game
Analysis
Philadelphia Union boast a potent attacking trio in Milan Iloski, Bruno Damiani, and Cavan Sullivan, all in fine form with consistent goal contributions this season. Iloski leads the charge with 12 goals, including a strong home scoring record, while Damiani has netted five goals in his last five games. Defender Francis Westfield adds creativity from the back with six assists, enhancing Philadelphia's threat on set pieces and crosses. Orlando City SC depend largely on Martín Ojeda and Antoine Griezmann for goals and creativity, but their recent form suggests they may struggle to contain Philadelphia's attacking momentum. The predicted halftime score of 2-0 aligns with Philadelphia's strong start tendencies, setting them up for a comfortable 3-1 victory.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC have met 20 times, averaging 3.6 goals per match.
- 2.Philadelphia Union have scored 40 goals in these encounters, Orlando City SC 32.
- 3.Philadelphia Union's Milan Iloski leads his team with 12 goals this season.
- 4.Bruno Damiani has scored 7 goals, including 5 in the last 5 games.
- 5.Francis Westfield provides 6 assists, a high tally for a defender.
- 6.Orlando City's Martín Ojeda has 11 goals this season, their top scorer.
- 7.Antoine Griezmann has scored 6 goals in just 8 appearances this season.
- 8.Philadelphia Union have scored in their last 5 home games.
Prediction
Expect Philadelphia Union to take an early lead and maintain control, finishing the match 3-1 in their favour. The home side's attacking efficiency and creative support from key players should prove decisive against Orlando City SC's defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
In summary, Philadelphia Union's blend of goal-scoring prowess and creative support looks set to outshine Orlando City SC. With a predicted 2-0 halftime lead and a final score of 3-1, the Union should secure a well-earned victory to boost their position in the league standings.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 02:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Iloski
Penalty
Atuesta
Yellow Card
Iloski
Assist: Vassilev
Iago
Yellow Card
Gerbet
Yellow Card
Vassilev
Assist: Bueno
Iloski
Assist: Vassilev
Gerbet
Taifi
Rhein Goncalves
Sullivan
Yellow Card
Sery Larsen
Yellow Card
Angulo
Assist: Griezmann
Sullivan
Iloski
Angulo
Yellow Card
Damiani
Vassilev
Dike
Bender
Ojeda
Assist: Sarajian
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 16B. BenderD
- 19I. VassilevM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 76A. RickG
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 31G. MarksG
- 40R. UzcáteguiD
- 66F. SundstromD
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6R. JanssonD
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 9D. DikeF
- 10M. OjedaM
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesD
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
Substitutes
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 21N. MillerD
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
- 65Gustavo Caraballo DelgadoM
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Vassilev | M | 85 | 9.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0/3 |
| M. Iloski | F | 79 | 9.3 | 3 | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | -1 | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 5 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Bedoya | M | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | D | 91 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Rick | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Sundstrom | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Uzcátegui | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Marks | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ojeda | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| I. Angulo | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/6 |
| A. Griezmann | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Atuesta | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Tiago | F | 1 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Jansson | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 54 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luis Otávio | M | 36 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | D | 54 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vinícius Nogueira | D | 36 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Iago | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Taifi | D | 54 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caraballo Delgado | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against Orlando City SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Philadelphia Union 3–1 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave Philadelphia Union a 85% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.