Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
Revolution snatch late win at Philadelphia
New England's D. Turgeman and Carles Gil seal a dramatic 2-1 victory with goals in stoppage time.
In a nail-biting MLS clash, New England Revolution edged Philadelphia Union 2-1 thanks to a stoppage-time brace from D. Turgeman and Carles Gil, including a penalty just after the 90th minute. Philadelphia's Neil Pierre pulled one back deep into added time, but it was too little, too late. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 3-2 home win, proving the Revolution's resilience in the dying moments.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution prepare for what promises to be a high-scoring and competitive fixture. Both sides have shown similar form, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.
Match factors
Iloski's prolific home scoring form
Milan Iloski has scored 5 goals in his last 3 home games, leveraging home advantage effectively.
Westfield's creative output from defense
Francis Westfield leads with 8 assists this season, providing key set-piece and crossing threat.
Damiani's recent scoring surge
Bruno Damiani has netted 5 goals in his last 5 matches, showing strong finishing form.
Gil's dual threat as scorer and assister
Carles Gil contributes both goals (11) and assists (5), making him a central attacking figure.
Sullivan's balanced goal and assist contribution
Cavan Sullivan has 6 goals and 7 assists, exceeding league averages for midfielders.
The context
This match is part of the 31st round of the regular season, with Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution having met 19 times previously. Philadelphia have the upper hand historically, winning 11 of those meetings, while New England have claimed 5 victories and 3 matches ended in draws. Their head-to-head clashes average 2.4 goals per game, indicating an open and attacking style when these teams meet.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Iloski’s prolific home scoring form makes him a key threat, with 5 goals in his last 3 home games.
Major League Soccer 26/2719 goals in 29 apps, 7 goals last 5 games
Francis Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Westfield’s creativity from defence, leading with 8 assists, provides crucial set-piece and crossing opportunities.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 24 apps, 2 assists last 5 games
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
Damiani’s recent scoring surge with 5 goals in last 5 games adds firepower to the Union attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 29 apps, 5 goals last 5 games
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil’s dual threat as scorer and assister makes him central to New England’s attacking play.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 28 apps, 2 goals last 5 games
Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
Sullivan’s balanced contribution of goals and assists exceeds league averages for midfielders, boosting the Union’s creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 28 apps, 2 goals last 5 games
Analysis
Philadelphia Union boast a potent attacking threat at home, led by Milan Iloski who has netted 5 goals in his last 3 home games and totals 19 goals this season. His form is complemented by Bruno Damiani, who has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches, making the Union's frontline a handful for any defence. Francis Westfield’s creativity from defence, with 8 assists this season, adds another dimension to their attack. New England’s Carles Gil remains a key figure, contributing both goals and assists, while Cavan Sullivan offers balanced goal and assist contributions. The predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects the attacking prowess on display from both sides, with a halftime score of 2-1 suggesting an early edge for Philadelphia.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 11 of 19 meetings against New England Revolution.
- 2.Average goals in head-to-head matches is 2.4, indicating a high-scoring fixture.
- 3.Milan Iloski has scored 5 goals in his last 3 home games, showcasing strong home form.
- 4.Bruno Damiani has netted 5 goals in his last 5 matches, adding to Philadelphia’s attacking threat.
- 5.Francis Westfield leads Philadelphia with 8 assists, providing key creativity from defence.
- 6.Carles Gil is New England’s top scorer with 11 goals and 5 assists this season.
- 7.Cavan Sullivan has contributed 6 goals and 7 assists, exceeding league averages for midfielders.
Prediction
The forecast is for Philadelphia Union to secure a narrow 3-2 victory over New England Revolution. The home side’s attacking form, particularly Iloski’s clinical finishing and Westfield’s creative deliveries, should just tip the balance in their favour. Expect a lively match with goals at both ends and a closely fought contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — New England Revolution
The verdict
In what should be an entertaining fixture, Philadelphia Union’s home advantage and recent scoring form give them the slight edge needed to overcome New England Revolution. Fans can look forward to a match filled with attacking intent and a few twists before the final whistle.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 01:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Turgeman
Assist: Miller
Damiani
Yellow Card
Lukić
Yellow Card
Yueill
Yellow Card
Vassilev
Gazdag
Harriel
Gil
Penalty
Turgeman
Langoni
Gil
Yueill
Pierre
Assist: Wagner
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 47K. LeBlancM
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 76A. RickG
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 14J. YueillM
- 16D. GazdagF
- 22E. KohlerD
- 25P. MillerD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 2M. FofanaD
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 15C. BakerD
- 21B. RainesM
- 27W. HarrisF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 65J. SiqueiraM
- 77D. FagundezM
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Westfield | D | 42 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Iloski | F | 42 | 6.8 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | G | 42 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Damiani | F | 42 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Wagner | D | 42 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Lukić | M | 42 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 42 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 68 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 42 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 42 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. LeBlanc | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Turgeman | F | 92 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Wynder | D | 42 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | D | 42 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Turner | G | 42 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 42 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Polster | M | 42 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Carles Gil | M | 97 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| I. Feingold | D | 42 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Yueill | M | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | F | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 92 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| W. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Baker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Parisian | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Yow | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Philadelphia Union 3–2 New England Revolution.
- What were the win probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's model gave Philadelphia Union a 35% chance of winning, New England Revolution a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.