Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
Match recap
Philadelphia Union beat FC Cincinnati 5–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Sullivan, Damiani, Damiani, Damiani, and Iloski scored for Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union held 66% possession to 34% for FC Cincinnati.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-1 Philadelphia Union win
Actual
5–0
Outcome probability
Philadelphia Union look primed to continue their strong home performances as they face FC Cincinnati in this regular season clash. With a sharp attack and consistent scoring, the Union are favourites to secure a convincing win.
Match factors
Philadelphia's potent strike duo in form
Iloski and Damiani combine high scoring rates and recent form, likely to exploit Cincinnati's defense
Westfield's creative output from defense
Westfield leads assists for Philadelphia with 8, providing key chances from wide areas
Cincinnati missing key playmaker Evander
Evander's confirmed absence reduces Cincinnati's creative midfield options and assist potential
Philadelphia's strong home scoring streak
Philadelphia has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 4 goals in this match
Doubtful defenders may weaken Cincinnati's backline
Doubtful status of Robinson and Nwobodo may disrupt defensive stability against Philadelphia's attack
The context
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 24. Philadelphia Union have demonstrated solid form at home, while FC Cincinnati face challenges with key players doubtful or absent, impacting their creative and defensive stability.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
League-leading scorer with 17 goals and strong recent form, making him a key threat in attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 28 apps, 0.61 goals/game
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
Consistent goal scorer with 9 goals, particularly effective at home, boosting Philadelphia's offensive power.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 28 apps, 0.32 goals/game
F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Top assister with 8 assists, providing crucial chances from wide areas and supporting the attack.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 23 apps, 0.35 assists/game
- E
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Key playmaker who is out injured, significantly reducing Cincinnati's creativity and assist potential.
Analysis
Philadelphia Union's attacking duo, Milan Iloski and Bruno Damiani, have been in fine form this season, combining for a significant number of goals and recent scoring streaks. Iloski leads with 17 goals, while Damiani adds 9, both contributing heavily to the Union's offensive threat. Defender F. Westfield also plays a crucial role, leading the team with 8 assists and providing key chances from wide positions. On the other hand, FC Cincinnati are missing their key playmaker Evander, which diminishes their creativity. Doubtful defenders Robinson and Nwobodo may further weaken their backline, making it difficult to contain Philadelphia's attack. The statistical edge and current form heavily favour the home side.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against FC Cincinnati.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, with Philadelphia scoring 39 and Cincinnati 27 in total.
- 3.Milan Iloski is the league's top scorer with 17 goals this season.
- 4.Bruno Damiani has scored 9 goals, with a strong home scoring record.
- 5.F. Westfield leads Philadelphia with 8 assists, contributing significantly from defence.
- 6.FC Cincinnati's key playmaker Evander is out, reducing their attacking creativity.
- 7.Doubtful defenders Robinson and Nwobodo may weaken Cincinnati's defensive stability.
- 8.Philadelphia has scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive form.
Prediction
We predict a strong home win for Philadelphia Union with a 4-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-0, reflecting their early dominance. The match should feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — FC Cincinnati
The verdict
In summary, Philadelphia Union's potent strike force and creative support from defence should see them comfortably overcome FC Cincinnati. The visitors' injury concerns and defensive doubts add to the challenge, making a 4-1 home victory the most likely outcome.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:14 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Card upgrade confirmed
Nwobodo
Red Card
Evander
Yellow Card
Sullivan
Penalty
Damiani
Assist: Sullivan
Evander
Denkey
Echenique
Damiani
Assist: Sullivan
Damiani
Assist: Sullivan
Valenzuela
Lukić
Alladoh
Sullivan
Goal cancelled
Sullivan
Damiani
Jabbari
Goal cancelled
Anunga
Yellow Card
Iloski
Penalty
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 10M. IloskiF
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 16B. BenderM
- 19I. VassilevM
- 28A. AnelloF
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 76A. RickG
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 10EvanderM
- 12M. RobinsonD
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 20P. BuchaM
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 24K. SmithD
- 66E. EcheniqueM
- 88A. ChirilaD
- 99A. JabbariF
Substitutes
- 2A. PowellD
- 4N. HagglundD
- 11S. GidiM
- 13E. LouroG
- 15T. HadebeD
- 16T. BarlowF
- 17K. Mboma DemF
- 27B. AnungaM
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónD
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Damiani | F | 75 | 9.5 | 3 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 75 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | 3/8 |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 24 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 66 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 25 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Lukić | M | 65 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Barlow | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jabbari | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Denkey | F | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Robinson | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evander | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Smith | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Echenique | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| S. Gidi | M | 15 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 62 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 28 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Celentano | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Powell | D | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| N. Hagglund | D | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Bucha | M | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Chirila | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 16 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hadebe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Louro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against FC Cincinnati.
- What score did Fipster predict for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati.
- What were the win probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's model gave Philadelphia Union a 87% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati a 6% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 87% confidence — a high-confidence call.