Philadelphia Union vs DC United
Match recap
Philadelphia Union and DC United drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.27 for Philadelphia Union versus 0.66 for DC United.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Philadelphia Union win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Philadelphia Union and DC United face off in this MLS regular season clash, with both sides eager to make their mark in Round 8. The Union have shown promising attacking prowess, while DC United rely heavily on their leading scorer to keep hopes alive.
Match factors
Philadelphia's prolific strike duo in form
Iloski and Damiani have strong recent scoring form and good home records, likely to exploit DC United's defense
Philadelphia's creative midfield and wingbacks
Westfield, Sullivan, and Vassilev provide high assist rates and key passes, enhancing scoring chances
DC United's top scorer Baribo remains a threat
Baribo has 14 goals this season and consistent minutes, but team scoring is lower overall
DC United missing Munteanu weakens attack
Munteanu is confirmed out, reducing DC United's attacking options and creativity
The context
This fixture is part of the MLS regular season, where Philadelphia Union have historically enjoyed the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning more than half of their encounters. DC United, meanwhile, have struggled to find consistent scoring form, making this a challenging outing for them.
Key insights
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Iloski leads the team with 17 goals and has been in excellent form, scoring 6 in the last 5 games, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 28 appearances, 0.61 goals/game
B. Damiani
Philadelphia Union
Damiani is the second top scorer with 9 goals and has a strong home scoring record, contributing significantly to the attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 28 appearances, 0.32 goals/game
F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Westfield is the top assister among defenders with 8 assists, providing crucial creativity from the back.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 23 appearances, 0.35 assists/game
T. Baribo
DC United
Baribo remains a consistent threat with 14 goals this season, though his team struggles to match his scoring output.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Analysis
Philadelphia Union boast a potent strike duo in M. Iloski and B. Damiani, both in fine recent form with multiple goals in their last five games. Their creative midfielders and wingbacks, including F. Westfield and Cavan Sullivan, provide ample assists and key passes, enhancing the team's attacking threat. DC United's main hope lies with T. Baribo, their top scorer, but the absence of Munteanu weakens their attacking options. The statistical edge and recent performances suggest Philadelphia will dominate proceedings.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against DC United.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 3.3, with Philadelphia scoring 50 and DC United 16 in total.
- 3.M. Iloski leads Philadelphia with 17 goals this season, including 6 in the last 5 games.
- 4.B. Damiani has scored 9 goals this season, with a strong home scoring record.
- 5.T. Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 6.Philadelphia's F. Westfield has provided 8 assists, the highest among defenders.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
We anticipate Philadelphia Union to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime scoreline, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with around four total cards issued as tempers flare moderately.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Philadelphia Union
Away — DC United
The verdict
In summary, Philadelphia Union's attacking firepower and creative support should prove decisive against DC United. Expect a confident home win with a 3-1 scoreline, as the Union continue to build momentum in the MLS season.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baribo
Yellow Card
Peglow
Yellow Card
Markovic
Yellow Card
Vassilev
Peglow
Hopkins
Bueno
Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiM
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 26N. HarrielD
- 29O. MakhanyaD
- 39F. WestfieldD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 20P. Ndinga OssibadjouoD
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 76A. RickG
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 9T. BariboF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 22A. HerreraM
- 25J. HopkinsF
- 27Nikola MarkovicM
Substitutes
- 8J. StroudM
- 12C. AntleyD
- 17J. MurrellF
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 24J. FarrG
- 26A. BonoG
- 30C. ClarkM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Westfield | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Iloski | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Malik Jakupovic | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Rafanello | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Markovic | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| João Peglow | M | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | F | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tai Baribo | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Brandon Servania | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Farr | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caden Clark | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Philadelphia Union 3–1 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Philadelphia Union a 95% chance of winning, DC United a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.