PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen seals solid win at Zwolle
Two early penalties from T. Chery set the tone for NEC's comfortable victory.
NEC Nijmegen took control early with two penalty goals from T. Chery within the first 23 minutes, putting PEC Zwolle on the back foot. Although K. Kostons pulled one back for Zwolle just before half-time from the spot, a missed penalty later and a late goal from P. Schuurs secured a 3-1 win for NEC. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win was on the money, even if the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen prepare to face off in what promises to be a telling encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, with NEC Nijmegen bolstered by key signings and PEC Zwolle adjusting after some departures. This match will set the tone for their campaigns ahead.
Key facts
- 1.PEC Zwolle finished 15th last season with 37 points from 34 games.
- 2.NEC Nijmegen secured 3rd place with 59 points from 34 games.
- 3.NEC Nijmegen have a superior goal difference (+24) compared to PEC Zwolle (-27).
- 4.NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.74 points per game last season, PEC Zwolle 1.09.
- 5.PEC Zwolle lost Jamiro Monteiro to free agency over the summer.
- 6.NEC Nijmegen signed K. Sierhuis and Jamiro Monteiro on free transfers and loaned Danilo.
- 7.NEC Nijmegen transferred out K. Sano and B. Önal during the summer.
- 8.Prediction models assign a 95% probability to an NEC Nijmegen away win.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive outing of the season for both sides. PEC Zwolle have parted ways with Jamiro Monteiro, while NEC Nijmegen have strengthened their ranks with the arrivals of K. Sierhuis and Jamiro Monteiro on free transfers, plus Danilo on loan. NEC also saw the departures of K. Sano and B. Önal through transfers. These changes suggest NEC Nijmegen have enhanced their squad depth and quality heading into this opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — PEC Zwolle
Away — NEC Nijmegen
Analysis
Looking at the broader picture, NEC Nijmegen hold a significant advantage in league standing and goal difference from last season, finishing comfortably higher than PEC Zwolle. Their points-per-game ratio also reflects a stronger campaign. The prediction models strongly favour NEC Nijmegen to dominate this match, with a likely scoreline of 3-0. The consistency between projected halftime and fulltime scores supports this outlook, indicating NEC could establish control early and maintain it throughout.
Prediction
The forecast is for NEC Nijmegen to claim a decisive 3-0 victory over PEC Zwolle. Their summer acquisitions and superior previous season metrics suggest they will impose themselves effectively. PEC Zwolle will find it tough to breach NEC's defence, while NEC's attack is expected to be clinical.
The verdict
In summary, NEC Nijmegen appear well-positioned to start their season on a high note with a comprehensive win. PEC Zwolle face a challenging task to counter NEC's strengthened squad. Fans can anticipate a match where NEC's quality and preparation shine through.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chery
Penalty
Chery
Penalty
Goal Disallowed - offside
Kostons
Penalty
Fonville
Goal Disallowed - offside
Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Yellow Card
Sørensen
Oosting
Tahaui
Bischoff
Tadić
Yellow Card
Kostons
Missed Penalty · Assist: Kostons
Storm
Yellow Card
Linssen
Nuytinck
Schuurs
Assist: Chery
Sommer
Aertssen
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 16 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 2 |
Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 2S. FloranusD
- 3O. AertssenD
- 8T. SommerM
- 9E. SørensenM
- 10K. KostonsF
- 11D. MbayoM
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 25T. OostingM
- 28S. GravesD
- 30R. ThomasM
Substitutes
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 16T. de GraaffG
- 18O. VelanasM
- 20G. ReizigerM
- 22I. CissokoF
- 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
- 33D. van der HaarD
- 34N. FichtingerM
- 41D. VerduinG
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 9T. CheryF
- 10D. TadićM
- 17B. NuytinckD
- 19Adam TahauiM
- 20N. LebretonM
- 21T. StormD
- 24Deveron FonvilleD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 2B. PereiraD
- 4P. SchuursD
- 7E. MorF
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 12N. PolsterG
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 34Kevin KersF
- 36Freek EntiusG
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
- 73Gabriel BrásD
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Graves | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dylan Mbayo | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Elias Sørensen | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Olivier Aertssen | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Thomas(C) | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tobias Sommer | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sherel Constancio Floranus | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thijs Oosting | M | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koen Kostons | F | 92 | 5.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nick Viergever | D | 92 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jasper Schendelaar | G | 92 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Odysseus Velanas | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tijs Velthuis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duke Verduin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom de Graaff | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian van der Haar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Fichtinger | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilles van der Wal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | F | 28 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Reiziger | M | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tjaronn Chery(C) | F | 92 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Bryan Linssen | F | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noé Lebreton | M | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bram Nuytinck | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Storm | D | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Dušan Tadić | F | 92 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Gonzalo Crettaz | G | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Adam Tahaui | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 45 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Isak Hansen Aarøen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vito van Crooij | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaj Sierhuis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Polster | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Freek Entius | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kers | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Perr Schuurs | D | 12 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Almugera Kabar | D | 47 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayann Pereira | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Emre Mor | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEC Nijmegen to win against PEC Zwolle.
- What score did Fipster predict for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of PEC Zwolle 0–3 NEC Nijmegen.
- What were the win probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster's model gave PEC Zwolle a 32% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.