PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle storms back to thrash GO Ahead Eagles
A stunning turnaround sees Zwolle overturn an early deficit with a commanding 4-1 victory.
GO Ahead Eagles took an early lead through S. Sigurðarson at 22 minutes, but PEC Zwolle responded immediately after the break with S. van Hooijdonk's equaliser. T. Oosting then turned the game on its head with a brace, followed by a late goal from K. Kostons to seal a dominant 4-1 win. This emphatic home victory defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the Eagles' early advantage was no more than a false dawn.
Outcome probability
PEC Zwolle face a tough challenge against GO Ahead Eagles, who have been showing solid form this season. With key players in fine scoring and assisting form, the Eagles look set to impose their game and take control early on.
Match factors
GO Ahead Eagles' midfield dominance
GO Ahead Eagles' midfielders Tengstedt, Edvardsen, and Suray show superior scoring and assisting rates compared to PEC Zwolle's lack of top scorers, indicating midfield control advantage
GO Ahead Eagles' consistent scoring streak
GO Ahead Eagles have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum versus PEC Zwolle's struggles to score at home
PEC Zwolle missing key attackers
PEC Zwolle confirmed out players include key attacker Y. Namli, weakening their offensive threat significantly
Tengstedt's high scoring form
Søren Tengstedt has scored 3 goals in last 5 games, boosting GO Ahead Eagles' attacking threat
Defensive organization led by Kramer
Joris Kramer leads GO Ahead Eagles in passing and defensive actions, providing stability and transition advantage
The context
This fixture is part of the Regular Season - 9 in the league. GO Ahead Eagles have demonstrated a notable points-per-game advantage over PEC Zwolle, with a better goal difference and a strong recent scoring streak. Historically, GO Ahead Eagles have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, adding to their psychological edge.
Key insights
Søren Østergaard Tengstedt
GO Ahead Eagles
Leads team scoring with 5 goals, including 3 in last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat.
Eredivisie 26/275 goals in 7 appearances, 0.71 goals/game
Victor Edvardsen
GO Ahead Eagles
Top assister with 2 assists and also contributes goals, providing creative spark in midfield.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances
Mathis Suray
GO Ahead Eagles
Consistent starter with 2 assists, strong passing and link-up play supporting the attack.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 7 appearances
Analysis
GO Ahead Eagles boast a midfield trio that has been pivotal in their attacking success. Søren Østergaard Tengstedt leads the charge with 5 goals in 7 appearances, including 3 in the last 5 games, making him a constant threat. Victor Edvardsen complements this with both goals and assists, while Mathis Suray provides solid link-up play. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, are missing key attackers, which weakens their offensive threat. The Eagles' ability to score consistently, combined with their midfield dominance and defensive organisation led by Joris Kramer, suggests they will take an early lead and maintain control throughout.
Key facts
- 1.GO Ahead Eagles have a 1.38 points-per-game average compared to PEC Zwolle's 0.57 this season.
- 2.In 14 head-to-head matches, GO Ahead Eagles have won 7, PEC Zwolle 3, with 4 draws.
- 3.GO Ahead Eagles have a superior goal difference by 16 goals this season.
- 4.Søren Østergaard Tengstedt leads GO Ahead Eagles with 5 goals in 7 games, including 3 in the last 5.
- 5.PEC Zwolle are missing key attacker Y. Namli, weakening their offensive options.
- 6.GO Ahead Eagles have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
We expect GO Ahead Eagles to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The match is likely to feature moderate disciplinary action, with around four cards expected. The Eagles' attacking momentum and midfield control should prove decisive against a struggling PEC Zwolle side.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — PEC Zwolle
No standout top scorers flagged for PEC Zwolle
Away — GO Ahead Eagles
The verdict
In summary, GO Ahead Eagles are well placed to continue their strong run with a confident away win. PEC Zwolle will need to find answers quickly, but the current form and player availability suggest the Eagles will have the final say in this encounter.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sigurðarson
Floranus
van Hooijdonk
Assist: Mbayo
Oosting
Linthorst
James
Suray
Oosting
Assist: van der Haar
Mbayo
Sampsted
van Zwam
van der Wal
van Hooijdonk
Thomas
Kostons
Assist: Cissoko
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 2S. FloranusD
- 3O. AertssenD
- 8T. SommerM
- 11D. MbayoM
- 17S. van HooijdonkF
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 25T. OostingM
- 28S. GravesD
- 30R. ThomasM
- 37Gilles van der WalM
Substitutes
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 6Jan BürgerD
- 9E. SørensenF
- 10K. KostonsF
- 16T. de GraaffG
- 18O. VelanasM
- 20G. ReizigerM
- 22I. CissokoF
- 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
- 33D. van der HaarD
- 34N. FichtingerM
- 41D. VerduinG
GO Ahead Eagles
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 25G. van ZwamD
Substitutes
- 3G. NauberD
- 6T. JukićD
- 11O. SivertsenF
- 15R. WeijenbergM
- 18R. MargaretF
- 23T. BaetenF
- 26J. DirksenD
- 27Tomas GalvezD
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 30T. HullemanG
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 34Y. RahmouniM
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Oosting | M | 89 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | — |
| S. van Hooijdonk | F | 80 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Kostons | F | 9 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Schendelaar | G | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mbayo | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| T. Sommer | M | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Velthuis | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Graves | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. van der Haar | D | 65 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gilles van der Wal | M | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| N. Viergever | D | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Aertssen | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| S. Floranus | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Thomas | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jan Bürger | D | 9 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Reiziger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fichtinger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. de Graaff | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Verduin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sørensen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Velanas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GO Ahead Eagles
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sigurðarson | F | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Tengstedt | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| T. Baeten | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Meulensteen | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| O. Sivertsen | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Flataker | F | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Kramer | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. van Zwam | D | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Tomas Galvez | D | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. James | D | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Linthorst | M | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Y. Rahmouni | M | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sampsted | D | 71 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Edvardsen | M | 89 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| K. Haug | G | 89 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Suray | M | 65 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| R. Margaret | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Nauber | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dirksen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Jukić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Verdoni | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Weijenberg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hulleman | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster's AI model predicted GO Ahead Eagles to win against PEC Zwolle.
- What score did Fipster predict for PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster predicted a final score of PEC Zwolle 1–3 GO Ahead Eagles.
- What were the win probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles?
- Fipster's model gave PEC Zwolle a 7% chance of winning, GO Ahead Eagles a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.