PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag
Match recap
PEC Zwolle beat ADO Den Haag 1–0 in their Eredivisie fixture. Mbayo scored for PEC Zwolle. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.48 for PEC Zwolle versus 0.52 for ADO Den Haag. PEC Zwolle sit 13th in the Eredivisie table while ADO Den Haag are 17th.
Outcome probability
PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams sit near the bottom of the league table, making every point crucial as the season progresses.
Match factors
Key attackers missing for PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle misses key attackers Krastev and Namli due to injury, weakening scoring options
ADO Den Haag's creative midfield strength
J. Kilo's high passing accuracy and volume provide ADO Den Haag a creative edge in midfield
Defensive solidity from O. Aertssen for PEC Zwolle
Aertssen's tackling and duel success rates exceed league averages, key to PEC Zwolle's defense
N. Thomas in good scoring form for ADO Den Haag
Thomas scored multiple goals recently, including a brace in last home match, boosting ADO's attack
The context
PEC Zwolle currently occupy 15th place with 8 points from 10 games, while ADO Den Haag are just behind in 16th with 6 points from 9 games. This close proximity in the standings highlights the competitive nature of this fixture.
Key insights
- O
O. Aertssen
PEC Zwolle
Aertssen's tackling rate of 3.25 per game and duel win rate near 60% provide crucial defensive stability for PEC Zwolle.
Eredivisie 26/273.25 tackles per game, ~60% duel win rate
- J
J. Kilo
ADO Den Haag
Kilo's high passing volume and accuracy give ADO Den Haag a creative edge in midfield, essential for their attacking play.
Eredivisie 26/27~65 passes per game at 89% accuracy
- N
N. Thomas
ADO Den Haag
Thomas is in good scoring form with multiple recent goals, including a brace in the last home match, boosting ADO's attack.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple recent goals, including 2 in last home match
Analysis
ADO Den Haag boast creative midfield strength through J. Kilo, who averages around 65 passes per game at 89% accuracy, providing a key playmaking role. Meanwhile, PEC Zwolle rely on defensive solidity from O. Aertssen, who leads the team with 3.25 tackles per game and a duel win rate near 60%, crucial for their defensive stability. However, PEC Zwolle face a challenge with key attackers Krastev and Namli sidelined due to injury, which may limit their scoring options. ADO Den Haag's N. Thomas is in good form, having scored multiple goals recently, including a brace in the last home match, making him a significant threat.
Key facts
- 1.PEC Zwolle are 15th in the league with 8 points from 10 games (W2 D2 L6).
- 2.ADO Den Haag sit 16th with 6 points from 9 games (W1 D3 L5).
- 3.PEC Zwolle miss key attackers Krastev and Namli due to injury.
- 4.J. Kilo of ADO Den Haag averages 65 passes per game at 89% accuracy.
- 5.O. Aertssen leads PEC Zwolle with 3.25 tackles per game and a ~60% duel win rate.
- 6.N. Thomas has scored multiple goals recently, including a brace in the last home match.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for PEC Zwolle with a 2-1 scoreline. A 1-1 halftime score is expected, reflecting a balanced first half before Zwolle pull ahead in the second. While the margin is narrow, the home side's defensive resilience and ability to capitalise on chances should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — PEC Zwolle
Away — ADO Den Haag
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with both sides eager to climb the table. PEC Zwolle's defensive strengths and home advantage should just about see them claim the three points in a closely fought encounter.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 20:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Jensen-Abbew
Mbayo
Assist: Namli
Hawkins
Eduardo
Yellow Card
Mulder
Yellow Card
Namli
Thomas
Šín
Aertssen
Yellow Card
Waem
Yellow Card
Mbayo
Aertssen
Eduardo
van der Wal
Yellow Card
Cissoko
Yellow Card
Sommer
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
PEC Zwolle
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 3O. AertssenD
- 7Y. NamliF
- 8T. SommerM
- 11D. MbayoF
- 17S. van HooijdonkF
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 28S. GravesD
- 30R. ThomasM
- 33D. van der HaarD
- 37Gilles van der WalM
Substitutes
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 6Jan BürgerD
- 9E. SørensenF
- 10K. KostonsF
- 16T. de GraaffG
- 20G. ReizigerM
- 22I. CissokoF
- 25T. OostingM
- 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
- 34N. FichtingerM
- 41D. VerduinG
- 42Dylan RuwardD
ADO Den Haag
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 11E. RottierM
- 15M. HokkeD
- 17J. HawkinsF
- 25J. KiloM
- 27N. ThomasF
- 33M. ŠínM
- 46Y. EduardoF
Substitutes
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 7D. van MieghemF
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 9J. BalF
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 14M. JiménezM
- 16Finn de BruinM
- 18S. SyllaD
- 21C. PeupionF
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 77D. BárányF
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mbayo | F | 73 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Y. Namli | F | 60 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| N. Viergever | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| O. Aertssen | D | 74 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Graves | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Sommer | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Jan Bürger | D | 16 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Thomas | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| T. Velthuis | D | 2 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Oosting | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Schendelaar | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M | 0 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. van der Haar | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gilles van der Wal | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| S. van Hooijdonk | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| I. Cissoko | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Reiziger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Ruward | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fichtinger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. de Graaff | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Verduin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sørensen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kostons | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ADO Den Haag
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nikiéma | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kilo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| M. Hokke | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Hawkins | F | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mulder | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Šín | M | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. van Mieghem | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Waem | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Bárány | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Raterink | D | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Bal | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Thomas | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Peupion | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. Eduardo | F | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Jensen-Abbew | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Rottier | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| N. Thiede | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sylla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Žambůrek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Wilhelm | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jiménez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn de Bruin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Illaijh de Ruijter | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
- Fipster's AI model predicted PEC Zwolle to win against ADO Den Haag.
- What score did Fipster predict for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
- Fipster predicted a final score of PEC Zwolle 2–1 ADO Den Haag.
- What were the win probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?
- Fipster's model gave PEC Zwolle a 44% chance of winning, ADO Den Haag a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.