Parma vs Torino
Torino stroll past Parma with Simeone brace
A commanding 3-0 win for Torino, led by G. Simeone's early and late strikes.
Torino dismantled Parma with a confident 3-0 victory in Serie A, featuring a brace from G. Simeone and a goal from C. Adams. Simeone's early strike set the tone, followed by Adams doubling the lead before half-time, and Simeone sealing the win after the break. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Parma win, proving Torino's dominance on the day.
Outcome probability
Parma and Torino, both hovering near the bottom of the league table with 4 points each, face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. With a balanced head-to-head record and moderate scoring averages, this fixture could go either way, but Parma's recent home scoring form gives them a slight edge.
Match factors
Parma's attacking trio in form
Romero leads Parma's scoring with 2 goals; Lontani and Almqvist add support, boosting home attack potential
Ché Adams key for Torino attack
Adams has 2 goals in 3 games with strong away scoring form, vital for Torino's goal threat
Mandragora's creative influence
Mandragora leads Torino in assists (1 in 3 games) and passing, key to unlocking Parma defense
Parma's defensive stalwarts provide stability
Troilo and Comuzzo excel in tackles and interceptions, crucial to limit Torino's attack
Parma's recent home scoring streak
Parma scored in last 2 home games, showing improved offensive form at home
The context
This is a regular season match in the league where Parma currently sit 18th and Torino 15th. Both teams have struggled for consistent form, each managing just one win and one draw so far. Their previous encounters have been fairly even, with Parma winning six times, Torino five, and five draws in sixteen meetings, averaging 2.8 goals per game.
Key insights
José Romero
Parma
Leads Parma's scoring with 2 goals in 5 games and has strong recent home scoring form, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 5 appearances, 0.4 goals/game
Ché Adams
Torino
Torino's top scorer with 2 goals in 3 games, showing a high goals per 90 minutes rate and strong away form, vital for Torino's attack.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 3 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Rolando Mandragora
Torino
Key playmaker with 1 assist in 3 games and high passing accuracy, crucial for unlocking Parma's defense.
Serie A 26/271 assist in 3 appearances, 0.33 assists/game
- M
Mariano Troilo
Parma
Provides defensive stability with high passing accuracy and interception numbers, important for limiting Torino's chances.
Serie A 26/2788% passing accuracy, 12 interceptions in 6 games
Analysis
Parma's attacking trio, led by José Romero who has netted twice in five games, looks poised to make an impact at home. Simone Lontani and Pontus Almqvist add further threat, bolstering Parma's offensive potential. Defensively, Parma rely on stalwarts like Mariano Troilo and Pietro Comuzzo to keep Torino's attack at bay. Torino's main goal threat comes from Ché Adams, who boasts two goals in three appearances and has shown strong away form. Midfielder Rolando Mandragora is key for Torino's creativity, contributing both goals and assists. Despite the balanced history and similar league positions, Parma's recent home scoring streak and defensive solidity give them a slight advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Parma and Torino have a balanced head-to-head record: 6 wins for Parma, 5 for Torino, and 5 draws in 16 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals, indicating moderate scoring potential.
- 3.Parma are 18th in the league with 4 points from 6 games (W1 D1 L4).
- 4.Torino are 15th with 4 points from 5 games (W1 D1 L3).
- 5.José Romero leads Parma's scoring with 2 goals in 5 games, showing strong home form.
- 6.Ché Adams is Torino's top scorer with 2 goals in 3 games, demonstrating strong away form.
- 7.Parma have scored in their last 2 home games, showing improved offensive form at home.
- 8.Defenders Mariano Troilo and Pietro Comuzzo provide Parma with defensive stability through tackles and interceptions.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a Parma win by 2-1. While the match is finely balanced, Parma's home form and attacking options make them the slight favourites to edge this encounter. Expect a competitive game with both sides finding the net, but Parma just shading it in the end.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Parma
Away — Torino
The verdict
In a match where margins are tight, Parma's home advantage and attacking form could prove decisive. Torino will pose a threat, especially through Ché Adams, but Parma's balanced squad and recent performances suggest they will take the three points in a 2-1 victory.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Simeone
Assist: Belghali
Adams
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
Ismajli
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos
Fabbian
Britschgi
Yellow Card
Mandragora
Adams
Simeone
Assist: Belghali
Britschgi
Touré
Vlašić
Belghali
Comuzzo
Yellow Card
Bernabé
Goal cancelled
Simeone
Troilo
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Parma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 9D. RomeroF
- 10Adrián BernabéM
- 14E. ValeriM
- 15E. Del PratoD
- 16M. KeitaM
- 19E. TouréM
- 27S. BritschgiM
- 34Diego CarlosD
- 37M. TroiloD
- 40E. CorviG
- 80G. FabbianM
Substitutes
- 3A. N'DiayeD
- 4V. SierroM
- 8B. CremaschiM
- 20M. FriganF
- 22S. GhidottiG
- 25T. De MartisF
- 29F. CarboniD
- 30G. DaffaraG
- 32C. OrdoñezM
- 47Abdou KonateM
- 72D. DrobnicD
- 76S. LontaniF
Torino
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 10N. VlašićM
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 19C. AdamsF
- 20Lucas PerriG
- 21Daniel BragançaM
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 44A. IsmajliD
- 45R. BelghaliM
- 77A. CacciamaniM
Substitutes
- 2N. PattersonD
- 3C. BiraghiD
- 5E. CömertD
- 7Z. AboukhlalF
- 9P. PellegriF
- 11G. OristanioM
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 17S. KulenovićF
- 22C. CasadeiM
- 26D. MascardiG
- 28K. Fitz-JimM
- 66G. GineitisM
- 76L. SivieroG
- 91D. ZapataF
Parma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián Bernabé | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
| E. Valeri | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1/3 |
| M. Troilo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Romero | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Frigan | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Diego Carlos | D | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lontani | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 1/3 |
| D. Drobnic | D | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Fabbian | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| E. Del Prato | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Touré | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ordoñez | M | 10 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Britschgi | M | 70 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Corvi | G | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Konate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ghidotti | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sierro | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. N'Diaye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Carboni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Daffara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cremaschi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. De Martis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Torino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Simeone | F | 83 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Belghali | M | 73 | 8.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Perri | G | 90 | 8.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Adams | F | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| P. Comuzzo | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Saúl Coco | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Ismajli | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Casadei | M | 17 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Gineitis | M | 27 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Cacciamani | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| N. Vlašić | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Z. Aboukhlal | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Zapata | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kulenović | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mandragora | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Fitz-Jim | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Cömert | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Biraghi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Patterson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Oristanio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pellegri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Rodríguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mascardi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Siviero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Parma vs Torino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Parma to win against Torino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Parma vs Torino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Parma 2–1 Torino.
- What were the win probabilities for Parma vs Torino?
- Fipster's model gave Parma a 35% chance of winning, Torino a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.