Parma vs Sassuolo

Serie AMatchweek 38
Full Time
10
HT: 00
Ref: Niccolo Turrini, ItalyStadio Ennio Tardini, Parma · 22,885 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinlowMiss

Match recap

Parma beat Sassuolo 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Pellegrino scored for Parma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.22 for Parma versus 0.92 for Sassuolo. Parma sit 13th in the Serie A table while Sassuolo are 11th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
01
HT 0–0
Final Result
10
HT 0–0
45%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review26 May 2026

Analysis

As the Serie A season nears its climax, Parma host Sassuolo in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both sides have had their moments this season, but Sassuolo's creative spark and Parma's injury setbacks could prove decisive.

Parma sit 13th with 42 points, while Sassuolo are 11th with 49 points. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with Parma winning 6 of 13 matches and Sassuolo 4, alongside 3 draws. The average goals per match between them is 2.4, suggesting a moderate scoring affair.

Sassuolo's attacking duo, Armand Laurienté and Domenico Berardi, offer a creative edge that Parma's injury-hit midfield, missing key man Adrián Bernabé, will struggle to contain. Parma's top scorer Mateo Pellegrino has been less prolific recently, while Sassuolo's Andrea Pinamonti remains a consistent threat. Defensively, Parma concedes more goals than the league average, which Sassuolo could exploit.


Prediction

Expect a tight first half with no goals, but Sassuolo's slight quality advantage and Parma's midfield frailties should see the visitors edge a 1-0 win by full time. The match is also likely to be disciplined, with around four cards expected.

Outcome probability

Parma 32%Draw 32%Sassuolo 36%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Sassuolo's Creative Edge

Sassuolo's Laurienté and Berardi provide strong creative outlets, exploiting Parma's midfield injury gaps.

Statistical Edgehigh

Parma's Defensive Vulnerability

Parma concedes 1.24 goals/game, higher than league average, increasing Sassuolo's scoring chances.

Form Momentummedium

Parma's Striker Form Dip

Pellegrino has limited recent goals (0 in last 5), reducing Parma's attacking threat.

Injury Impacthigh

Bernabé's Absence Weakens Parma Midfield

Missing key midfielder Bernabé reduces Parma's creativity and passing accuracy.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Keita's Defensive Dominance

Keita's high duel win rate and tackling can disrupt Sassuolo's midfield rhythm.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Sassuolo's creativity and Parma's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a narrow away win. Parma will need to tighten up and find some attacking spark to avoid a disappointing end to their season.

  • Parma have won 6 of 13 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo.
  • Sassuolo currently sit 11th in Serie A with 49 points, Parma 13th with 42.
  • Average goals per match in their meetings is 2.4, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Parma concedes 1.24 goals per game, above the league average.
  • Sassuolo's Armand Laurienté leads with 9 assists this season.
  • Mateo Pellegrino is Parma's top scorer with 8 goals.
  • Andrea Pinamonti is Sassuolo's leading scorer with 9 goals.
  • Adrián Bernabé's injury weakens Parma's midfield creativity.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeParma

Mateo Pellegrino

Mateo Pellegrino

Attacker

Parma

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.04
36 played
33 starts
2905 mins
~81 mins/game

AwaySassuolo

Andrea Pinamonti

Andrea Pinamonti

Attacker

Sassuolo

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.04
35 played
31 starts
2493 mins
~71 mins/game
Domenico Berardi

Domenico Berardi

Attacker

Sassuolo

Total Goals
8
League avg: 1.04
25 played
23 starts
1885 mins
~75 mins/game
Armand Laurienté

Armand Laurienté

Attacker

Sassuolo

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.04
37 played
32 starts
2553 mins
~69 mins/game